June 26 Ganchalysis

[Ganchrow]

Detroit 69% - This is a bad spot for Houston. Detroit has significant edges in all areas for this game, combining to give them a large edge overall.

Yankees 58% - This game will have 2 starters with great reputations who have been struggling this year, 2 sub-par bullpens, and 2 underachieving offenses. The Yankees rate a modest edge with their lineup and bullpen, but overall this game is more evenly matched than it might at first seem.

Florida 53% - Johnson has had some control problems which are likely to hurt him in the future, and could do so here. Shields has been great and is likely to throw a good game, although as a rookie on the road, the confidence factor of that likelihood is relatively low. The lineups and bullpens rate roughly even.

[bigboydan]

i have no opinion on that game at all ganchrow.

what are your numbers on the brewers/Cubs game tonight ?

[Ganchrow]

Milwaukee 57% - Capuano is likely to throw another quality start. He has had a very low degree of volatility this year, which benefits Milwaukee here. Both Maddux' great record at home this year, and Milwaukee's poor record on the road, are trends that are not likely to continue in the next few months.

Minnesota 53% - This game rates very even, with 2 very questionable starters and 2 strong lineups. Minnesota rates a bullpen edge for this game, however, which is more likely than usual to factor in significantly.

[Ganchrow]

St Louis 54% - St Louis has a significant lineup edge, Cleveland has a significant starting picthing edge, and both teams have very vulnerable bullpens, giving this game an overall even rating. Marquis' high volatility this year actually benefits St Louis slightly in this spot, and their pen also rates an edge over Cleveland's pen.

[Ganchrow]

Angels 52% - Colorado rates a sizable lineup edge here. The bullpens rate roughly even. The big question is Jennings, who has had an extremely high degree of volatility this year. He is likely to throw another quality start. Lackey has been consistent and is likely to throw a decent game as well, but the Colorado lineup poses more of a threat to be moderately productive than The Angels' lineup.