Cleveland Indians (+113) over Tampa Rays is my play of the evening.

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  • stevenash
    Moderator
    • 01-17-11
    • 65174

    #1
    Cleveland Indians (+113) over Tampa Rays is my play of the evening.
    Love Zach McAllister in this spot tonight.
    He's clearly a run and a half better pitcher than Alex Cobb tonight.

    Both starters have no history against their opposing teams, so that angle does not apply, but let's look at the basics first.

    McAllister's across the board numbers are solid. 3.40 American League ERA is nice, 1.28 WH/IP ratio is sound, 41 K's in 42 innings is attention getting.

    What McAllister isn't is an innings eater, (they are still stretching him out to be one though)he's not an eight inning guy yet, he'll give you 6 plus good innings, maybe seven, but this isn't a problem, Indians have three late inning relievers. Pestano is outstanding at what he does (holds leads-25 of them and counting so far) Joe Smith's solid work goes unnoticed, but he's a late in the game arm (5 relief wins, 1.14 WH/IP) and I got no problem with Perez saving the ninth.

    About McAllister, he's a 24 year old, signed straight of HS by the Yankees in the third round. Sent to Cleveland to complete the Austin Kearns deal. He started the year at AAA, got promoted by going 5-2, 2.97ERA, 1.23 WH/IP

    In 2011 at AAA he was 12-3 3.20 ERA and a WH/IP of 1.20
    Struck out 128 in 153 innings.

    The book on McAllister is he has a three pitch arsenal, a very good sinkerballer, keeps fly balls in the park.
    Throws three pitches with near perfect reproduction, outstanding control, quick check of his 4.1:1 K to BB ratio backs this up.

    He's the type of righty that should keep Tampa at bay, the Rays are trash against righties, they only hit .236

    Alex Cobb, who starts tonight, had a mediocre rookie 2011, going 3-2, 3.42 ERA and a 1.32 WH/IP
    Unlike McAllister, is regressing, this year he's fooling nobody, the numbers aren't pretty.
    4-5 record, 4.89 ERA, 1.3+ WH/IP

    Really like the Indians in this spot, decent road team, hits right handed pitching hard, dependable late inning bullpen, better starting pitcher.............


    Wager Type : Money Line
    Wager Status : PendingRisk / To Win Amount : 300.00 / 339.00(USD)
    Accepted : 7/16/2012 9:35AM - PST



    Sport / Period : MLB Baseball / Game
    Selection : Cleveland Indians
    Time : 7/16/2012 4:10:01PM - (PST)
    Line : +113
    Pitchers : Z. McAllister - R - Action / A. Cobb - R - Action
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