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  • No coincidences
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 01-18-10
    • 76300

    #736
    Originally posted by pacocn
    N.C. are these Pinny lines? What time do they come out? Thanks
    I compare the Pinny lines to my recreational books, and if I see a discrepancy, I go after it.

    Pinny posts their team totals pretty early. The rec. books take a while longer. If you're seeing Pinny juice an under at -160 or whatever, it's a pretty good indication (though not perfect) that you might want to consider the over -- especially if the game total is moving up and the side number is favoring the dog (same thing happened with Detroit today).
    Comment
    • BigDofBA
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 09-30-09
      • 19313

      #737
      Originally posted by No coincidences
      I compare the Pinny lines to my recreational books, and if I see a discrepancy, I go after it.

      Pinny posts their team totals pretty early. The rec. books take a while longer. If you're seeing Pinny juice an under at -160 or whatever, it's a pretty good indication (though not perfect) that you might want to consider the over -- especially if the game total is moving up and the side number is favoring the dog (same thing happened with Detroit today).
      Very good strategy.

      I did that for like a month and made profit. It's something you have to be patient with though because it doesn't always hit but it seems to hit more than it loses.
      Comment
      • pacocn
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 07-05-10
        • 12934

        #738
        N.C. Thanks for the info.
        Comment
        • No coincidences
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 01-18-10
          • 76300

          #739
          Originally posted by BigDofBA
          Very good strategy.

          I did that for like a month and made profit. It's something you have to be patient with though because it doesn't always hit but it seems to hit more than it loses.
          Exactly. You have to pick and choose, and it's far from perfect, but the point is to turn a profit -- not hit every bet you make.

          It's definitely a grinder strategy, but the closest thing to a loophole you'll find in posted lines.

          No problem pacocn.
          Comment
          • BigDofBA
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 09-30-09
            • 19313

            #740
            Originally posted by No coincidences
            Exactly. You have to pick and choose, and it's far from perfect, but the point is to turn a profit -- not hit every bet you make.

            It's definitely a grinder strategy, but the closest thing to a loophole you'll find in posted lines.

            No problem pacocn.
            I blindly did this with NBA totals for a while and quit keeping track when I was like 17-10. It's hard to do because a lot of the plays Pinny liked were plays I normally wouldn't play.

            With that said, I kept at it for a while and grinded out some nice profit.
            Comment
            • No coincidences
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 01-18-10
              • 76300

              #741
              Originally posted by No coincidences
              4-0, +4.78U so far today
              LAA -153 (3.06U to win 2)
              TOR +107 (1U to win 1.07)
              MIL -133 (1.33U to win 1)
              BAL +142 (1U to win 1.42)
              Originally posted by No coincidences
              ATL -106 (1.06U to win 1)
              8-1, +9.2U today
              150-129, +26.92U thread
              Comment
              • No coincidences
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 01-18-10
                • 76300

                #742
                LAD over 3 (1.2U to win 1)

                Think the Dodgers win, but I'll stay away from the side.
                Comment
                • ebbearsfb1
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 12-07-08
                  • 18815

                  #743
                  Damn coin slot... crushing it this year... didn't realize how solid you were doing... I'm still working out this theory I have going... good luck boss hog
                  Comment
                  • No coincidences
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 01-18-10
                    • 76300

                    #744
                    Like the Rockies a little.
                    Comment
                    • No coincidences
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 01-18-10
                      • 76300

                      #745
                      Originally posted by ebbearsfb1
                      Damn coin slot... crushing it this year... didn't realize how solid you were doing... I'm still working out this theory I have going... good luck boss hog
                      Thanks buddy.
                      Comment
                      • No coincidences
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 01-18-10
                        • 76300

                        #746
                        No real push for Colorado. Books think Lince will show up.
                        Comment
                        • ParlayininHTown
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 06-27-10
                          • 7561

                          #747
                          Originally posted by No coincidences
                          LAD over 3 (1.2U to win 1)

                          Think the Dodgers win, but I'll stay away from the side.

                          Good luck NC. I'm having a pretty good day, but I blindly bet a little on Dodgers runline so I'll have something to follow after the Kings game. Good to see you think they'll win tonight.
                          Comment
                          • No coincidences
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 01-18-10
                            • 76300

                            #748
                            Originally posted by ParlayininHTown
                            Good luck NC. I'm having a pretty good day, but I blindly bet a little on Dodgers runline so I'll have something to follow after the Kings game. Good to see you think they'll win tonight.
                            Maybe. I think there will be runs scored. Hope the Dodgers are the ones who score more for you.

                            One more:

                            COL TT under 3 (1.1U to win 1)
                            Comment
                            • BigDofBA
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 09-30-09
                              • 19313

                              #749
                              Originally posted by ebbearsfb1
                              Damn coin slot... crushing it this year... didn't realize how solid you were doing... I'm still working out this theory I have going... good luck boss hog
                              Yeah he is. I can just look at box scores and know he had a good day because sometimes it's obvious where the value is.

                              Baseball is the purest sport to bet on imo. It's not rigged. It's just shitty closers that kill you.

                              As for the Pinny stuff. Pinny had the first half total of the Spurs/Clippers game at 97 while every other book had it at 96.5. After one quarter there has been 58 points scored....
                              Comment
                              • No coincidences
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 01-18-10
                                • 76300

                                #750
                                Originally posted by BigDofBA
                                Yeah he is. I can just look at box scores and know he had a good day because sometimes it's obvious where the value is.

                                Baseball is the purest sport to bet on imo. It's not rigged. It's just shitty closers that kill you.

                                As for the Pinny stuff. Pinny had the first half total of the Spurs/Clippers game at 97 while every other book had it at 96.5. After one quarter there has been 58 points scored....
                                I love betting baseball. I didn't do well last year but killed it two seasons ago. Can't say this run will last, but it's nice to be comfortably in the black. I'm up 43 units since mid-April when I made a few tweaks to my approach.

                                Pinny is the sharpest book in the world -- hands-down. You should take advantage of its numbers every day in every sport.
                                Comment
                                • ebbearsfb1
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 12-07-08
                                  • 18815

                                  #751
                                  Yeah I think I've found a theory with betting home dogs... have a few criteria to use ... so far in 9 days there up about 6 units
                                  Comment
                                  • No coincidences
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 01-18-10
                                    • 76300

                                    #752
                                    Went to the well one too many times with my TT trick. Rockies were the play after all.

                                    Lincecum is just plain bad now.
                                    Comment
                                    • No coincidences
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 01-18-10
                                      • 76300

                                      #753
                                      150-131, +24.62U thread
                                      133-104, +42U since April 11
                                      232-207, +47.62U combined with NBA thread
                                      Comment
                                      • pacocn
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 07-05-10
                                        • 12934

                                        #754
                                        N.C. very nice numbers keep it going
                                        Comment
                                        • No coincidences
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 01-18-10
                                          • 76300

                                          #755
                                          Originally posted by pacocn
                                          N.C. very nice numbers keep it going
                                          Thanks pacocn. That's the idea. Never know with this stuff.

                                          Wednesday's leans:

                                          ATL -115
                                          CHW +118
                                          KC -130
                                          StL -108


                                          A play I'm already locking in:

                                          SD +116 (3U to win 3.48)

                                          I love the Padres in this spot. Despite the slow start this season, Richard has owned the Dodgers in his career and his ERA is 2.21 at home right now. LAD looks lost without Kemp at the plate. Capuano is beyond due for an off game.
                                          Comment
                                          • No coincidences
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 01-18-10
                                            • 76300

                                            #756
                                            BOS TT over 3.5 (1.3U to win 1)
                                            Comment
                                            • No coincidences
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 01-18-10
                                              • 76300

                                              #757
                                              Really worried that the Dodgers TT closed at 3.5 at Pinny vs. 3 at other books.

                                              Already 2-0 LA.
                                              Comment
                                              • hydrosmak
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 10-13-11
                                                • 1908

                                                #758
                                                When everyone on this forum was just gleaming about this play I was worried...
                                                Comment
                                                • No coincidences
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 01-18-10
                                                  • 76300

                                                  #759
                                                  Originally posted by hydrosmak
                                                  When everyone on this forum was just gleaming about this play I was worried...
                                                  Yeah, me too. When SD goes down 2-0 in their home park, they might as well be down 8-0.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • No coincidences
                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                    • 01-18-10
                                                    • 76300

                                                    #760
                                                    NYY -122 (2.44U to win 2)

                                                    Something's telling me not to do this because of the low price, but I can't pass on it given what I've seen out of Drabek -- Jeter or no Jeter.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • No coincidences
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 01-18-10
                                                      • 76300

                                                      #761
                                                      Kind of want to take Seattle now that it's down to -115, but one road fave is enough for now. Can't justify backing their offense on the road either, even against erratic Ubaldo.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • No coincidences
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 01-18-10
                                                        • 76300

                                                        #762
                                                        MIN +1.5 (1.2U to win 1)
                                                        Comment
                                                        • No coincidences
                                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                                          • 01-18-10
                                                          • 76300

                                                          #763
                                                          BOS +128 (.5U to win .64)
                                                          Comment
                                                          • mlb
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 12-04-09
                                                            • 10509

                                                            #764
                                                            pinny is saying indians, no?
                                                            Comment
                                                            • No coincidences
                                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                                              • 01-18-10
                                                              • 76300

                                                              #765
                                                              CIN +125 (1U to win 1.25)
                                                              Comment
                                                              • No coincidences
                                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                                • 01-18-10
                                                                • 76300

                                                                #766
                                                                Originally posted by mlb
                                                                pinny is saying indians, no?
                                                                Sort of. I'm always a little leery of that much late movement.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • No coincidences
                                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                                  • 01-18-10
                                                                  • 76300

                                                                  #767
                                                                  KC -128 (2.56U to win 2)
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • No coincidences
                                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                                    • 01-18-10
                                                                    • 76300

                                                                    #768
                                                                    CHC -153 (1.53U to win 1)
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • No coincidences
                                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                                      • 01-18-10
                                                                      • 76300

                                                                      #769
                                                                      KC RL +155 (1U to win 1.15)
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • No coincidences
                                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                                        • 01-18-10
                                                                        • 76300

                                                                        #770
                                                                        Yankees. Unreal.
                                                                        Comment
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