Baseball Underdog of the Day Contest - Monday, 7/21/08

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  • LT Profits
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 10-27-06
    • 90963

    #1
    Baseball Underdog of the Day Contest - Monday, 7/21/08
    Starting Tuesday (July 1), we will start a new July Baseball Underdog of the Day Contest with a prize of $100 account at 5 Dimes, 3 time roll-over. Last place will receive a $25 5 Dimes account with a 3 time roll over. If there is a tie for last place in both units and wins (20 plays minimum), there will be be multiple last place boobie prizes.

    *IMPORTANT*
    All players must have an account at 5 Dimes prior to making picks SIGN UP Here.

    Before participating, players must PM their 5 Dimes account ID to SBRforum Staff


    1. Check in the BASEBALL HANDICAPPING FORUM each day for the daily thread to be posted by LT Profits. Lines will be posted by 1:00 p.m. (ET) each day. Plays may be posted before that, but the official posted lines will be used for grading.

    2. Only the UNDERDOGS in games posted by LT will be eligible for selection, which will be only games that have underdog prices of greater than +110.

    3. All plays will be RISKING one unit, and selections may NOT be changed once posted.

    4. Here’s the catch: Your play must include a write-up! The write-up does not have to be long, just a sentence or two (or more) about why you are making your play.

    5. Entries that are past-post or do not have analysis will be NO ACTION. Any edited post will count as a LOSS! If you make a mistake, need to add analysis or wish to enter a corrected line, do so in a separate post. This holds true even if the first game on the schedule did not go off yet. It also holds true for past-posts and entries with no analysis. It does NOT hold true for posts that are not contest selections, i.e. standings, commentary posts, LT's notes to posters or congratulatory posts.
    *-EXCEPTION: If someone edits a post on the last day of the competition in an attempt to get an automatic loss in order to win the Last Place prize, then the original post will stand.

    6. And here’s the fine print:

    • Must be 18 years of age or older to participate.
    • One entry per home and computer.
    • Must use lines posted in daily thread by LT Profits
    • Maximum one underdog pick per day, minimum 20 underdog plays required to be eligible for monthly prize.
    • Tiebreaker for first place is total WINS. If still tied, combatants will carry on a head-to-head underdog match until winner is determined. This would begin on the first day of next month with no passes allowed. If co-leader passes during tie-breaking period, he or she is eliminated, even if other co-leaders lose.
    • All decisions made by SBR with regards to this contest are final.
    • SBR employees eligible to participate but are not eligible to win the monthly prize.
  • LT Profits
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 10-27-06
    • 90963

    #2
    Code:
    STANDINGS 
    [B]Name            W       L       Units[/B]
    thezbar      	8	6	5.06
    Nostradamus 	7	8	2.59
    msubulldog	5	5	2.30
    xstac2169  	5	5	1.51
    Odessa     	6	6	1.32
    fifawcs    	7	9	1.05
    Immortality  	5	6	1.05
    pokernut9999	7	9	0.33
    cobra king  	5	6	0.06
    Junkyard Dog	6	8	-0.66
    Shooter    	4	6	-1.08
    InTheHole  	5	9	-1.29
    FreeFall   	5	8	-1.32
    seaborneq     	6	10	-1.43
    soli        	4	7	-1.47
    Mr KLC      	6	10	-1.59
    reno cool  	3	6	-1.76
    awatkins011	5	9	-1.78
    LGBoots    	4	8	-1.96
    head strong 	5	10	-1.98
    Cabo        	4	8	-2.49
    element1286	5	9	-2.99
    rm18        	2	7	-3.02
    pavyracer    	5	12	-3.89
    brock      	3	8	-4.35
    Wrigley     	2	8	-4.72
    rake922      	4	11	-4.87
    oakas      	5	11	-5.07
    woodg8    	5	12	-5.60
    WonTooManyBets	1	8	-6.02
    Pigpen     	1	8	-6.12
    SexyMit     	2	10	-6.40
    Checkerboard	4	12	-6.67
    PureGuava  	1	8	-6.81
    sharktank1  	3	12	-7.11
    smitch124  	4	13	-7.58
    LT Profits	4	13	-7.97
    ertl09      	1	13	-11.78
    Comment
    • head_strong
      SBR MVP
      • 07-02-08
      • 4318

      #3
      Oakland A's +188
      I look for the A's to end their 5 game skid tonight when they travel to Tampa Bay to face the Rays. Kazmir hasn't been sharp of late.... in his last 3 starts he has allowed 11runs in just 16 innings pitched.
      Comment
      • LT Profits
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 10-27-06
        • 90963

        #4
        Mon 7/21 953 San Diego Padres +129
        7:10PM (EST) 954 Cincinnati Reds

        Mon 7/21 955 Pittsburgh Pirates +135
        8:05PM (EST) 956 Houston Astros

        Mon 7/21 959 Los Angeles Dodgers +114
        9:05PM (EST) 960 Colorado Rockies

        Mon 7/21 961 Chicago Cubs
        9:40PM (EST) 962 Arizona Diamondbacks +123

        Mon 7/21 963 Minnesota Twins +123
        7:05PM (EST) 964 New York Yankees

        Mon 7/21 967 Oakland Athletics +180
        7:10PM (EST) 968 Tampa Bay Rays

        Mon 7/21 969 Texas Rangers +158
        8:10PM (EST) 970 Chicago White Sox

        Mon 7/21 973 Cleveland Indians +180
        10:05PM (EST) 974 Los Angeles Angels

        Mon 7/21 975 Boston Red Sox
        10:10PM (EST) 976 Seattle Mariners +134
        Comment
        • LT Profits
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 10-27-06
          • 90963

          #5
          DODGERS +114: Dodgers have some momentum after moving into first place tie with dramatic ninth inning comeback yesterday. Stults has been quite servicable, allowing three runs or less in four of his five starts. Kip Wells is making his first start for Colorado since being DLed with a blood clot in his pitching hand, and I've never been high on him anyway. Finally, the Dodgers are now second in the majors in bullpen ERA at 2.98.
          Comment
          • pavyracer
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 04-12-07
            • 82820

            #6
            Oakland Athletics +180

            They can't be losing all games by one run. Tonight they beat Rays who are playing bad for the last 2 weeks.
            Comment
            • fifawcs
              SBR MVP
              • 05-14-07
              • 2888

              #7
              Padres +129
              Josh Banks is a pretty good pitcher. Homer Bailey blows. The Pads are due here.
              Comment
              • InTheHole
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 04-28-08
                • 15243

                #8
                969 Texas Rangers +158

                Word from my inside contacts with the WhiteSox organization suggest marital problems for two players whose names with remain anonymous. Just follow this pick and cash. Good Luck
                Comment
                • thezbar
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 08-29-06
                  • 6422

                  #9
                  Dodgers +114 This looks like the safest play on todays menu. They should be on an emotional high after yesterday. Torre wants to stay on top and will say the right things to get a big effort today.
                  Comment
                  • Wilforth
                    Restricted User
                    • 05-10-08
                    • 16309

                    #10
                    Originally posted by thezbar
                    Dodgers +114 This looks like the safest play on todays menu. They should be on an emotional high after yesterday. Torre wants to stay on top and will say the right things to get a big effort today.
                    Plus the Dodgers have an awesome road record lately: 7-2.
                    Comment
                    • FreeFall
                      SBR MVP
                      • 02-20-08
                      • 3365

                      #11
                      Indians are 4-1 in Byrds last 5 Monday starts.
                      Cleveland Indians +180
                      Comment
                      • woodg8
                        SBR MVP
                        • 06-21-08
                        • 1349

                        #12
                        9:40PM (EST) 962 Arizona Diamondbacks +123

                        I think this is a pretty ridiculous price for who I consider to be the favourite. I'll be betting this value. Harden did well in his last outing, but the Cubs have no pen. We saw the comeback the Giants made AT WRIGLEY when he was taken out. Away from home, I don't see them winning.
                        Comment
                        • seaborneq
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 09-08-06
                          • 22556

                          #13
                          Arizona +123, after the terrible series against the Dodgers the D Backs will turn it around during this series with the nervous Cubbies.
                          Comment
                          • cobra_king
                            SBR MVP
                            • 08-07-06
                            • 2491

                            #14
                            LA Dodgers +114

                            This one is simply taking the better team at plus money and it's not like it's Aaron Cook on the mound, it's Kip freaking Wells.
                            Comment
                            • xstac2169
                              SBR Hustler
                              • 07-01-08
                              • 84

                              #15
                              Texas

                              Vasquez is 2-1 in his career vs texas with a 6.5 era. Texas is no joke hitting wise and is kept in any game by their offense. Vasquez has not started in over two weeks and I look for him to be rusty in his first start. Hurley is a young kid with a nice arm and should keep them in the game. White Sox pen was used up yesterday for a bit and squandered a lead to the Royals at home.
                              Comment
                              • Nostradamus
                                SBR High Roller
                                • 07-01-07
                                • 146

                                #16
                                Minnesota +123

                                In Blackburn's only start against the Yanks, he defeated them 5-1. The Twins are just playing better ball and the Yankee bats are still not impressing me.
                                Comment
                                • smitch124
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 05-19-08
                                  • 12566

                                  #17
                                  Seattle Mariners +134

                                  Will continue to fade the Boston Red Sox as favorites on the road, until the cows come home, or the playoffs start, whichever comes first...
                                  Comment
                                  • reno cool
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 07-02-08
                                    • 3567

                                    #18
                                    cleveland, Byrd let me down a lot this season, if he losses again I'm done.
                                    bird bird da bird's da word
                                    Comment
                                    • element1286
                                      Restricted User
                                      • 02-25-08
                                      • 3370

                                      #19
                                      Pittsburgh,

                                      Both pitchers are absolutely awful, taking the plus money for the win.
                                      Comment
                                      • Wilforth
                                        Restricted User
                                        • 05-10-08
                                        • 16309

                                        #20
                                        I'm not in the contest but just want to post this here:

                                        Mariners +135

                                        Washburn has given up two earned runs or less in six of his last seven starts, while Lester owns a road ERA of 3.92. The Red Sox are 3-11 against the Mariners in the last 14 games between these sides. Finally, in their last 19 road games, the Red Sox are 5-14.
                                        Comment
                                        • Immortality
                                          Restricted User
                                          • 12-20-07
                                          • 4599

                                          #21
                                          Rangers +158

                                          Not a big fan of Vazquez and I think he gets hit hard by the Rangers tonight.
                                          Comment
                                          • LGBoots
                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                            • 08-10-05
                                            • 742

                                            #22
                                            Texas +158 Decent price on a team who are hitting well, also Sox might suffer a hangover from their poor showing yesterday.
                                            Comment
                                            • SexyMit
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 10-12-06
                                              • 6139

                                              #23
                                              Cleveland Indians +180 Indians have won the last 5 starts on Mondays that Byrd has pitched. Angels had a grueling series in which they had to come back 2 out of 3 games to beat Boston. I see them being a little tired physically and emotionally. Cleveland sneaks away with one here.
                                              If it seems to good to be true it usually is!!

                                              I have a natural instinct to exploit market ineffieciencies!!
                                              Comment
                                              • pokernut9999
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 07-25-07
                                                • 12757

                                                #24
                                                Rangers +158 : Have to believe their bats will awake soon , and Sox looked terrible last 2 games.
                                                Comment
                                                • Terpman92
                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                  • 10-16-06
                                                  • 328

                                                  #25
                                                  Pirates +140
                                                  Comment
                                                  • soli
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 09-10-06
                                                    • 2503

                                                    #26
                                                    Texas +158

                                                    Going with Texas over Chicago Vazguez who is not having a good year with an ERA near 5 and the Rangers power hitters do well against righties
                                                    Comment
                                                    • awatkins011
                                                      SBR Sharp
                                                      • 04-14-07
                                                      • 397

                                                      #27
                                                      Dodgers +114

                                                      Wells will get lit in his 1st start back from the DL
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Shooter
                                                        SBR High Roller
                                                        • 02-05-06
                                                        • 144

                                                        #28
                                                        969 Texas Rangers +158

                                                        Vazquez is 2-1 in four career starts against the Rangers, despite posting a 6.29 ERA and hasn't won in over a month. Texas is just a young team that doesn't quit. Dye left yesterdays game with a knee issue, so hopefully he doesn't go which is a bonus.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • ertl09
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 12-10-07
                                                          • 1413

                                                          #29
                                                          dbacks +123 someone could be 13-1 ! if they took the opposite of my picks, thats what I do since I'm trying to take last

                                                          Johnson is 9-0 vs. the cubs and the Cubs are not as great on the road.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • oakas
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 02-17-07
                                                            • 1464

                                                            #30
                                                            Arizona +123

                                                            Have to like The BIG Unit at home.

                                                            Johnson is 12-0 with a 1.98 ERA against the Cubs.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • msubulldog
                                                              SBR Sharp
                                                              • 01-10-08
                                                              • 427

                                                              #31
                                                              arizona +123

                                                              will take future HOF johnson as dog against cub team which has been bad on road.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • 20Four7
                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                • 04-08-07
                                                                • 6703

                                                                #32
                                                                I seem to be missing LT. Here's my pick

                                                                LAD +114 Dodgers played very well against Arizona Rockies are 11 and 21 in the first game of a series. Seems too obvious so I'll lose here.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • LT Profits
                                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                                  • 10-27-06
                                                                  • 90963

                                                                  #33
                                                                  20Four7,

                                                                  I trimmed the standings to display only the players that could still meet the 20-play minimum to be prize eligible. You were one play short of the nine plays needed with 11 days left. If you feel you DO have nine plays, let me know and I will double check.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Odessa
                                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                                    • 06-04-07
                                                                    • 398

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Texas Rangers +158

                                                                    I prefer Rangers bats versus Vazquez tonight. At the same time White Sox are struggling, 2-5 in last 7 games.
                                                                    Comment
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