2006 Preview - Los Angeles Dodgers

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  • Willie Bee
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 02-14-06
    • 15726

    #1
    2006 Preview - Los Angeles Dodgers
    2005 Record: 71-91, 4th in NL West

    It wasn’t as bad as 1992 when then-manager Tommy Lasorda was at the helm of an LA squad that came within an eyelash of a 100-loss season. Injuries certainly played a key role in 2005, with outfielders Milton Bradley and JD Drew each missing at least half a season, starting pitchers Brad Penny and Odalis Perez unable to make about 20 starts between them, and closer Eric Gagne shut down after just 14 appearances with a bad elbow on top of a bum knee. Even though it’s hard to blame all of that on a manager, the Dodgers found a way to do just that and canned Jim Tracy.

    Enter former Red Sox field boss Grady Little who will have his work cut out for him along with pitching coach Rick Honeycutt and hitting coach Eddie Murray. If LA stays healthy this year, the team could easily rebound from 20 games below .500 to 20 games above. If that happens, Little and his staff will get too much credit just like Tracy and his assistants bore too much blame last year.

    Like any other team, success starts with the rotation. Derek Lowe pitched his way into staff ace position with a decent year after coming over from Boston. His strikeouts were up and his walks were down. However, Lowe also surrendered a career-high 28 homers making half his starts in pitcher friendly Chavez Ravine.

    Penny and Perez need to stay healthy, and that’s something of a long shot for them both. The club signed Brett Tomko and traded for Jae Seo to fill the back of the rotation. Tomko isn’t going to excite many, but he has stayed healthy the last four years and can chew innings. Seo could really blossom with the Dodgers in his role as the #5 arm. DJ Houlton and Aaron Sele might be the two arms LA turns to when needed to fill a starting role or make a spot start. Houlton will likely leave camp in a middle relief role. Down on the farm is Chad Billingsley who could also get the call by mid-season to show off his mid-90s heater, hard curve and sucker change.

    Not being able to close out games was one of the bigger problems last year, so Gagne’s return is just as important to the Dodgers as Barry Bonds’ return is to the Giants. Gagne’s spring has been slowed a bit while he dealt with some personal matters, but he’s looked very good when he has pitched and reports no trouble with his elbow or knee. Los Angeles brought in Danys Baez to serve as the primary setup arm as well as insurance for Gagne. Yhency Brazoban will get more 7th-inning work now with Baez in uniform. Hong-Chih Kuo is a devastating lefty and unknown to many. Just 24, he’s had a pair of Tommy John surgeries while he was being used as a starter, but has really come on as a reliever. Other middle relief candidates include Houlton, Lance Carter, Brian Meadows, Joe Beimel and Takashi Saito.

    The Dodgers were looking to hand off catching chores to young Dionner Navarro this year, bringing in veteran Sandy Alomar Jr. as a backup and mentor for Navarro. But with Navarro struggling this spring, Alomar could play more than expected.

    The infield is new except for Jeff Kent at second. Nomar Garciaparra was signed to play first with his former 3B partner in Boston, Bill Mueller, brought in for the hot corner. Rafael Furcal was also a free agent acquisition and is expected to provide a spark at the top of the order, something the club has been missing for a few years. Nobody expects Garciaparra to hit for a ton of power. Few even expect him to remain healthy enough to play more than about 100 games.

    Infield backups include Olmedo Saenz, Hee Seop Choi, Oscar Robles and, once he returns from injury, Cesar Izturis.

    Keeping Garciaparra in the lineup all season isn’t nearly as crucial as keeping JD Drew healthy. One of the game’s best talents, Drew simply hasn’t been able to avoid injury except for his wonderful 2004 campaign. He should be in right with Jose Cruz Jr. in left and Kenny Lofton in center. Look for Jason Repko to spell Lofton in center against southpaws, with Ricky Ledee the backup for the outfield corners.

    With the signing of Furcal, the Dodgers decided to move Joel Guzman from shortstop into the outfield. He’s responded pretty well this spring and has a strong stick that could easily push Cruz aside in left plus a strong arm that could take over in right if/when Drew hits the DL once again. With no Triple-A experience, LA would be better off at least starting Guzman in Las Vegas this year. But new dugout commander Little claims he’s still toying with the idea of leaving camp with Guzman on the big league roster.

    Coming off their second-worst 162-game season ever, the Dodgers could easily rebound in 2006 since they’re playing in a rather weak NL West. Still, they're a fragile bunch, and one or two bad breaks here and there could plunge the Bums right back down the ranks.

    Key Performer(s): Gagne and Drew.

    Camp Question(s): Introducing the infield to one another.

    My Play: A best case scenario would see the Dodgers improve 15 games or so in the win column. That makes 86-87 wins their optimum performance. I’m seeing mid-80s (84½-85½) for o/u lines, and with the propensity for injuries several key players on this team have, I’m leaning u85½ to place my hard-earned cash.
  • bigboydan
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 08-10-05
    • 55420

    #2
    i question there bulpen this year. not to mention there clutch hitting.
    Comment
    • Illusion
      Restricted User
      • 08-09-05
      • 25166

      #3
      If you like playing unders this is your team.
      Comment
      • Willie Bee
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 02-14-06
        • 15726

        #4
        The Greek holds at 85½ with o(+110) and u(-130).

        Likewise, Pinnacle is still at 84½ ... o(-102) and u(-114).
        Comment
        • Willie Bee
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 02-14-06
          • 15726

          #5
          Current record 31-24

          My Play: A best case scenario would see the Dodgers improve 15 games or so in the win column. That makes 86-87 wins their optimum performance. I’m seeing mid-80s (84½-85½) for o/u lines, and with the propensity for injuries several key players on this team have, I’m leaning u85½ to place my hard-earned cash.
          After a low start that had them treading water in April, an 18-10 run in May pushed them up to a pace that calls for about 91 wins. Considering that they've managed this pace with several key players on the DL, things are looking up for the Dodgers as far as disproving my low-to-mid 80s prediction for the win column.

          The offense leads the NL with both a .277 batting average and 304 runs scored. The order has plated five or more runs in 32 games, and Nomar Garciaparra has been clutch since returning from the DL. Kenny Lofton, another veteran brought in this winter, is doing a good job in the 2-hole of the order. JD Drew leads the club with 9 HR and 40 RBI and the club can ill-afford to lose his bat to what has become an annual DL trip for him. Losing Jeff Kent to a wrist injury recently won't help in the present, especially with Bill Mueller already out of action. Getting a little more offense from Jose Cruz Jr could go a long way.

          Defense has been a bit of a problem with LA having been charged with 44 Errors up to now. A good chunk of those miscues sit on Rafael Furcal's ledger, possibly due to him trying to do too much to show he deserves the free agent contract he got last winter.

          Pitching has been a little better than I was expecting. A 3.98 staff ER is tied for 3rd-lowest in the NL, and the arms have issued just 160 free passes in almost 500 innings, 3rd-fewest BB in the league. Derek Lowe and Brad Penny have been solid, each with ERAs under three and just 7 HR allowed between them in 140 innings. Brett Tomko has been middle-of-the-road, with both him and Jae Seo hurt by long balls this season. Aaron Sele has been outstanding since stepping into the rotation slot initially held by Odalis Perez.

          Danys Baez and the bullpen held their own the first two months. Takashi Saito, Jonathan Broxton and Joe Beimel have emerged as the best no-name trio of middle relief and setup arms in the NL. Now that Eric Gagne is back, LA should be able to shorten games another inning.

          After hosting the Phillies ths weekend and the Mets next week, the Dodgers take off on a trip through Colorado, San Diego and Oakland. Home series against the Mariners and Pirates follow before they complete their interleague swing through Minnesota and Anaheim. That's a fairly easy schedule, at least on paper, to get them into early July before home matches against AL West rivals Diamondbacks and Giants take LA up to the All-Star Game.
          Comment
          • bigboydan
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 08-10-05
            • 55420

            #6
            alot of injuries for the dodgers right now, and there kids are playing better than i expected.
            Comment
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