thats some good work 70
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I took a bath on Seattle yesterday. MFer'sComment -
Ima place a unit on each, might increase it if the Braves pick hits. Thanks for the write up bro
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HOU V. ATL NO RUN 1ST INNING (-145) 4.65X
glComment -
I'm laying off the Atl game..GL Mac and whoever else is on it...It's already f*cking jumped to -155 and that's way too much juice for basically a 60/40 at best...I went to bet it right when it opened on 5dimes (-135) within 7 mins it jumped to -155 now obv i love that the line is moving in our direction but neither of these pitchers are that great where i wanna put that much juice down...GL to you guys tho as always
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Fcuk the books. These douch bags been juicing the lines since the 3rdI'm laying off the Atl game..GL Mac and whoever else is on it...It's already f*cking jumped to -155 and that's way too much juice for basically a 60/40 at best...I went to bet it right when it opened on 5dimes (-135) within 7 mins it jumped to -155 now obv i love that the line is moving in our direction but neither of these pitchers are that great where i wanna put that much juice down...GL to you guys tho as always
week of the season for the 1st inning bets.Comment -
Ya i know..Maybe i'm just a lil skeptical since thats the same movement for the M's game last night and they ******* shit on us and i'm not trying to go through this early this morning and have to chase all afternoon...That's why i said a couple posts back I think our free money gig is up hahahComment -
Now it just went back to -145
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On the HOU/ATL! Let's get it mac!Comment -
I already offered my opinion that WAS/PIT game was the better play but it got postponed just like I thought:
HOU/ATL no score 1st inn (-140) (3x) (I really shouldn't touch this pass (-130) but I believe it has a good chance).
SFO/COL no score 1st inn (-120) (3x)
(As I said earlier if a team scores in the first inning it will be the Giants with Sanchez on the mound who has only given up 1 1st inning run in 8 starts, whereas ubaldo is 2 first innning runs in 7 starts. This is the best way in my opinion to get both props or split one and loss a little juice). (I believe there is a good chance no runs will be scored and as usual ubaldo implodes in innings 2-4 his whip is unbelievable right now at 1.58 and an ERA of 6.68 even with the giants struggling bats getting one before Colorado shouldn't pose much of a problem.)
SFO To Score 1st (-125) (3x)Comment -
Will have next plays for anybody who tails me up in the next 2 hrs.Comment -
Thanks sct!Comment -
the sfo to score 1st and sfo/col no score seems pretty interesting.. ill see how the atl game goes and will make a decision based on itComment -
I was off the seattle game last night because of ichiro and figgins BA vs baker. I feel the same way in the early game today. Heyward back in the linu, chipper back in the lineup. At -150 theres no reason to be on this play. That being said, im on it for .5 units cus im bored as ****.
GL everyoneComment -
michael borne with a .462 avg vs lowe. in 13 at bats too. guy can fly, he gets on and its ova. -150 is rediclous, we really should start going the other way on these lines that r redicilousComment -
no chance this game has a scoreless 1st, im so not confident about it. I cant believe STC likes it.Comment -
lets see which wandy shows upComment -
$love being wrong$Comment -
so glad i found this site, great job guysComment -
i'm tailing as well...GL everybodyComment -
Lol I'm glad it went back down to -140 so it made me like it a little more and put a lil down and it didn't **** us...I wasn't gonna take it at -150+...Guess the gods were on my side on that one! Thnx Stc, the fact that i put my analysis out there and u still liked it I went ahead and put my $ down...(Scuurrred Money don't make MONEY!) Good shit guys
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Anybody have a line in the Liriano/Felix matchup (1st inning score)Comment -
hey, good hit on the atl game.. im going to try and do write-ups as much as possible now like 70kg.. I feel that it will help benefit all of us if we can all work together and break down games by the stats. With that said:
SFO V. COL NO RUN @ (-130) [8.5 TOT]
Giants have 24 runs in 1st inning ranked 10th
Sanchez: 3.68 ERA
Jonathan Sanchez: 23.3% in 1st inning
Rockies have 26 runs in 1st inning ranked 5
Jimenez: 6.67 ERA (based off past 3 games, resulting in all losses (NYM: 5-9), (SF: 3-4), (PITT: 4-8).
Ubaldo Jimenez: 16.7% in 1st inning
Proj. chance 1st-inn score: 41%
6 mph wind direction against home base (not a factor)
PARTLY CLOUDY, 40% CHANCE THUNDERSTORMS.
57 % Humid
proj. total score of game: 5
CONCLUSION: I kinda see this game as a toss up almost.. I would obviously lean more towards no run and i still may play it after i spend the next hour looking at games later on today... If i see a lot of better options for tonight ill prob end up staying away from this one
glComment -
posted it twice by accidentComment -
Mac I'm telling you the best way to bet it would be doing SFO to score 1st and no runs in the first inning. I'm going to look at the 7 pm games.Comment -
Got the first win, great call
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wow my only play for the rest of the night was sea v. min no run and its at -170 wtffComment -
SFG V. COL NO RUN 1ST INNING (-150) 1.5X {would play at 3x but the line is crazy on this**
SFG FIRST TO SCORE (-140) 1.5X
lets get this stcComment -
Today it does not have no run on the greek.
Know you why?Comment -
Final Card:
PHI/STL no score 1st inn (-140) (5x) (The matchup with these pitchers says it all its frankly the best matchup of the night in terms of the chance of a run being given up despite these clubs good stats in the first inning.)
NYY/TAM no score 1st inn (-115) (3x) (Now this one worries me slightly most of the players facing Shields have an average below .280 facing him but Cano is hitting .390 on him lifetime and Jeter has done well in the past but age doesn't wait on anybody Jeter is a shell of his former self with that being said he probably comes out and hits a hr but I like my chances. Shields has only given up one run in the first in 8 outings and that was at the start of the season he has been dominant. Nova hasn't given up a run in his 8 outings so far and has faced good hitting squads like Texas.) I think the under in this game would be a nice play as well for the first five.
BAL/BOS no score 1st inn (+100) (3x) (Despite Wakefields horrible ERA he has done well in baltimore in the past and I look forward to it continuing, and Britton has seen Bos only once I expect his dominance to continue he has good stuff and hasn't given up an earned run in any first inning to date).
LAA/OAK no score 1st inn (-140) (3x) (I like this matchup a young pitcher versus a proven starter both are good pitchers but we have to to worry about Chatwood walking unnecessary batter which only makes this a 3x play. Chatwood has still managed to get out of 5 of his seven starts unscatched. Gonzo has only been touched once in his eight starts.
MIN/SEA no score 1st inn (-150) (5x) I know Lirano has struggled this season but if it was any team that could help him out of his slump (despite the no hitter) its this team, Combine that with King Felix on the mound we're in for a treat. Despite Lirano's dismal performance as far as ERA is concerned he has only given up one run in 6 outings and that was the very first game versus Tampa. Felix on the other hand has given up only two first inning runs on 10 outings one game being his first.)
GL to all tonight I expect it to be a good one! Hope you enjoyed the writeups not much of a writer to lazy to do it correctly did was on the paper in high school just to lazy to display my grammar correctly.Comment -
Good start...SF 3 up 3 downComment -
someone posted yesterday that the greek no longer has no run in 1st bets.Comment
Way to go mac, and stc!