MLB Picks - Friday, 8/5/22

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  • LT Profits
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 10-27-06
    • 90963

    #1
    MLB Picks - Friday, 8/5/22
    3 MLB Sides Friday

    Nationals +178
    Pirates +142
    Rockies +117


    YTD: 216-237-12, -29.28 (Season Low)


    All plays are Listed Pitchers unless ACTION is stated
  • LT Profits
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 10-27-06
    • 90963

    #2
    5 MLB Plays Friday

    5 MLB Plays Friday

    Nationals +178
    Pirates +142
    Braves / Mets OVER 8.5 -103
    Yankees / Cardinals UNDER 8.5 -113
    Rockies +117
    Comment
    • dirtycash66
      SBR MVP
      • 04-13-12
      • 2958

      #3
      Originally posted by LT Profits
      3 MLB Sides Friday

      Nationals +178
      Pirates +142
      Rockies +117


      YTD: 216-237-12, -29.28 (Season Low)


      All plays are Listed Pitchers unless ACTION is stated
      I'm getting tired of seeing this.
      Comment
      • USCPHILLYGUY
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 12-15-12
        • 21744

        #4
        Love the Nats play. How Gibson is -206 is beyond me
        Comment
        • jjgold
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 07-20-05
          • 388179

          #5
          This guy can’t move the needle
          Comment
          • SlickFazzer
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 05-22-08
            • 20209

            #6
            Looks like the metrics might be improving.
            Comment
            • pavyracer
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 04-12-07
              • 82651

              #7
              LT is hanging tough. He fought all week to not break the critical -30 unit barrier. He is showing grit and determination this week to keep the fight going.
              Comment
              • SlickFazzer
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 05-22-08
                • 20209

                #8
                This is positive news Paver. The buy signals are lining up nicely for his model.

                Originally posted by pavyracer
                LT is hanging tough. He fought all week to not break the critical -30 unit barrier. He is showing grit and determination this week to keep the fight going.
                Comment
                • LT Profits
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 10-27-06
                  • 90963

                  #9
                  1 MLB Pick Addition

                  6 MLB Plays Friday

                  Nationals +178
                  Nationals / Phillies OVER 9 -103
                  Pirates +142
                  Braves / Mets OVER 8.5 -103
                  Yankees / Cardinals UNDER 8.5 -113
                  Rockies +117
                  Comment
                  • LT Profits
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 10-27-06
                    • 90963

                    #10
                    Another MLB Pick Addition

                    7 MLB Plays Friday

                    Nationals +178
                    Nationals / Phillies OVER 9 -103
                    Pirates +142
                    Braves / Mets OVER 8.5 -103
                    Reds / Brewers UNDER 8.5 +102
                    Yankees / Cardinals UNDER 8.5 -113
                    Rockies +117
                    Comment
                    • pavyracer
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 04-12-07
                      • 82651

                      #11
                      Originally posted by SlickFazzer
                      This is positive news Paver. The buy signals are lining up nicely for his model.
                      I'm predicting that he will have a small run up and then hit the two previous lows of -29.5 plus/minus. When a triple bottom is formed this is the time to start tailing as the only way is up. The techincal analysis of the model says the buy signals are getting closer.
                      Comment
                      • SlickFazzer
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 05-22-08
                        • 20209

                        #12
                        Paver is likely correct, if you can handle just a bit more short-term possible volatility, the risk/reward historical metrics are off the charts
                        going forward.
                        Comment
                        • 44 Mag
                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                          • 10-14-13
                          • 34490

                          #13
                          Originally posted by LT Profits
                          7 MLB Plays Friday

                          Nationals +178
                          Nationals / Phillies OVER 9 -103
                          Pirates +142
                          Braves / Mets OVER 8.5 -103
                          Reds / Brewers UNDER 8.5 +102
                          Yankees / Cardinals UNDER 8.5 -113
                          Rockies +117
                          Hey Boss, any thoughts on the Twins game? Thanks
                          Comment
                          • dirtycash66
                            SBR MVP
                            • 04-13-12
                            • 2958

                            #14
                            Originally posted by 44 Mag
                            Hey Boss, any thoughts on the Twins game? Thanks
                            LT is knocking on the door of -30 and you're asking for his thoughts on a game...LMAO come on men.
                            Comment
                            • jjgold
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 07-20-05
                              • 388179

                              #15
                              Pressure on
                              Comment
                              • SlickFazzer
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 05-22-08
                                • 20209

                                #16
                                I think paver said if the model goes -30 units, the technicals shift to probable +EV outcomes.
                                Comment
                                • eddycash
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 11-06-13
                                  • 4527

                                  #17
                                  I've been patiently waiting for -30 all year.
                                  Comment
                                  • dirtycash66
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 04-13-12
                                    • 2958

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by eddycash
                                    I've been patiently waiting for -30 all year.
                                    The wait will soon be over, - 30 will be achieved by the end of the night. Guaranteed!
                                    Comment
                                    • jjgold
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 07-20-05
                                      • 388179

                                      #19
                                      Everybody’s piling on LT I feel bad for the kid
                                      Comment
                                      • clockwise
                                        SBR High Roller
                                        • 04-16-15
                                        • 120

                                        #20
                                        No play on the texas power rangers boss?
                                        Comment
                                        • SlickFazzer
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 05-22-08
                                          • 20209

                                          #21
                                          Paver explained this situational well:

                                          " Fazzer you got to be able to hold your horses and only bet when the time is right. I have been studying LT's model for a while and I know when it likes to spit out winners. Trust the science and don't make impulse bets before the time is right. "


                                          Originally posted by jjgold
                                          Everybody’s piling on LT I feel bad for the kid
                                          Comment
                                          • StackinGreen
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 10-09-10
                                            • 12140

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by clockwise
                                            No play on the texas power rangers boss?
                                            Cease all day
                                            Comment
                                            • spippen
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 03-17-09
                                              • 3874

                                              #23
                                              Shitty Nationals might go hit less.

                                              And the over still has a chance of this Loser Josiah Gray stays in the game.
                                              Was this Loser actually rated "good talent" by the Model?
                                              Comment
                                              • SlickFazzer
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 05-22-08
                                                • 20209

                                                #24
                                                Thats the thing I can't figure out about LTs model.

                                                Is it equally weighted between overall team season trends and data vs individual players stats and tendencies, or
                                                does one take more precedence over the other and how does that ratio change over the course of the season.

                                                Originally posted by spippen
                                                Shitty Nationals might go hit less.

                                                And the over still has a chance of this Loser Josiah Gray stays in the game.
                                                Was this Loser actually rated "good talent" by the Model?
                                                Comment
                                                • pavyracer
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 04-12-07
                                                  • 82651

                                                  #25
                                                  I may be wrong but the majority of his units lost was betting the Nationals and the Reds as big dogs.

                                                  He hit each 1 time but he bet them at least 15 tines as dogs to get that single win. I'm hoping the model is fixed by August 15th and those longshots he loves to bet become wins.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • SlickFazzer
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 05-22-08
                                                    • 20209

                                                    #26
                                                    I'm thinking LT will get the model's metrics fine tuned by the 15th of this month and
                                                    he will make a strong run to profitability by seasons end.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • spippen
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 03-17-09
                                                      • 3874

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by pavyracer
                                                      I may be wrong but the majority of his units lost was betting the Nationals and the Reds as big dogs.

                                                      He hit each 1 time but he bet them at least 15 tines as dogs to get that single win. I'm hoping the model is fixed by August 15th and those longshots he loves to bet become wins.
                                                      Yes that is true. It is also a fact that when you bet on arguably the worst offense in the league like the Nationals far too many times it adds up to large unnecessary losses. Just avoid the worst trash.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • clockwise
                                                        SBR High Roller
                                                        • 04-16-15
                                                        • 120

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by StackinGreen
                                                        Cease all day
                                                        decease*
                                                        Comment
                                                        • USCPHILLYGUY
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 12-15-12
                                                          • 21744

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by dirtycash66
                                                          LT is knocking on the door of -30 and you're asking for his thoughts on a game...LMAO come on men.
                                                          Hey Shittycash instead on trolling tell us your picks……oh I forgot. There are none
                                                          Comment
                                                          • dirtycash66
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 04-13-12
                                                            • 2958

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by USCPHILLYGUY
                                                            Hey Shittycash instead on trolling tell us your picks……oh I forgot. There are none
                                                            All the trolls in here and you chose to come at me....lol this guy.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • ChuckyTheGoat
                                                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                              • 04-04-11
                                                              • 37179

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by jjgold
                                                              This guy can’t move the needle
                                                              Anybody who piles on LT is a douche. Very hard to turn a profit in gaming. And sometimes Luck is just running against u.
                                                              Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                                                              Comment
                                                              • matt711
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 07-09-12
                                                                • 2283

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat
                                                                Anybody who piles on LT is a douche. Very hard to turn a profit in gaming. And sometimes Luck is just running against u.
                                                                Fkkk u douchebag
                                                                Comment
                                                                • GreatWallofTrump
                                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                                  • 02-27-16
                                                                  • 729

                                                                  #33
                                                                  -30 units is actually hard to do.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • SlickFazzer
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 05-22-08
                                                                    • 20209

                                                                    #34
                                                                    LTs model is designed to capitalize on all the metrics on or around Aug 15th according to Paver.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • spippen
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 03-17-09
                                                                      • 3874

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Kyle Gibson looked like an ACE against these bum Nationals.
                                                                      Comment
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