MLB - Wednesday, 8/28/19

**DeeNice007** · 08-28-19, 09:32 AM

You garbage quit betting already

**Sam Odom** · 08-28-19, 09:34 AM

Dee

Uncalled for

Relax

**shocka1212** · 08-28-19, 09:45 AM

any thoughts about the Astros game? I really like the under in that one

**LT Profits** · 08-28-19, 10:10 AM

2 MLB Additions

5 MLB Plays Wednesday

Yankees / Mariners UNDER 9.5 -105 (Heritage)
Pirates / Phillies UNDER 10 -110 (Heritage)
Cubs / Mets UNDER 7.5 +100 (Heritage)
Tigers +163 (Heritage)
Athletics / Royals UNDER 9 -103 (5 Dimes)

**LT Profits** · 08-28-19, 10:14 AM

Originally posted by DeeNice007

You garbage quit betting already

Still +17.30 over ALL Sports the past year (so +56.88 across other 5 leagues), just hoping I don't give it all back in MLB.

Thankfully football is here so finally something else to bet on.

**FOREVER HUSKERS** · 08-28-19, 10:52 AM

Shocka1212 Good pitching matchup. But the way the stros are hitting right now could be risky. Unless the bat-less Ray's only score 1, then you could smell the roses. GL

**matt711** · 08-28-19, 12:01 PM

Originally posted by DeeNice007

You garbage quit betting already

3 posts from this troll, post your plays

**KVB** · 08-28-19, 12:09 PM

Originally posted by LT Profits

...YTD: 276-321-14, -39.58...

611 plays LT, are you on pace or still a little behind in play generation? I know you were concerned when you weren't getting as many triggers. Did things catch up?

The Contrarian Fund has 567 plays as of yesterday but when you add the Contrarian Rl Fund's 95 plays I have 662 MLB plays tracked at SBR.

I'm ok with my number, I think things are moving along at a relatively normal rate and am not surprised at some of the market volatility this week. Things have been pretty flat last couple of weeks.

Good Luck!

**LT Profits** · 08-28-19, 12:29 PM

Originally posted by KVB

611 plays LT, are you on pace or still a little behind in play generation? I know you were concerned when you weren't getting as many triggers. Did things catch up?

The Contrarian Fund has 567 plays as of yesterday but when you add the Contrarian Rl Fund's 95 plays I have 662 MLB plays tracked at SBR.

I'm ok with my number, I think things are moving along at a relatively normal rate and am not surprised at some of the market volatility this week. Things have been pretty flat last couple of weeks.

Good Luck!

611 plays at this time of the year is light for me, I usually finish with around 1000 and I don't expect to come close to that this season.

**KVB** · 08-28-19, 12:33 PM

Yeah, I remember you saying you were behind pace.

That's kind of a double insult to the strategy, less overlay and big losses, but not necessarily the end of the world.

It's also a little give back from that big year you had not too long ago. That was going to be tough to hold onto all those gains for a couple years, you probably know that.

Football season is upon us, LT, lets make it happen.

**LT Profits** · 08-28-19, 02:47 PM

MLB 5-Inning Addition

6 MLB Plays Wednesday

Yankees / Mariners UNDER 9.5 -105 (Heritage)
Pirates / Phillies UNDER 10 -110 (Heritage)
Blue Jays +105 (5 innings) (Bookmaker)
Cubs / Mets UNDER 7.5 +100 (Heritage)
Tigers +163 (Heritage)
Athletics / Royals UNDER 9 -103 (5 Dimes)

**KVB** · 08-28-19, 03:09 PM

Originally posted by LT Profits

611 plays at this time of the year is light for me, I usually finish with around 1000 and I don't expect to come close to that this season.

If you don't my me asking, from yesterdays thread (but posted today?)...

Originally posted by KVB

LT, how are you doing vs the closing line?

Probably best to compare to closing lines at the books you bought, but however compared, what's your avg against it this year?

Even if you don't want to get into specifics, are you happy with it's performance?

**LT Profits** · 08-28-19, 03:21 PM

Originally posted by KVB

If you don't my me asking, from yesterdays thread (but posted today?)...

Even if you don't want to get into specifics, are you happy with it's performance?

Not as good as past years, which has been part of the problem. An outside source has my BTCL this season at just 54.6%, I have historically been in the low 60s.

**KVB** · 08-28-19, 04:56 PM

Well, that's less plays against the market, decreased performance against over still a bunch of plays, and then of course the negative units.

Add a little adverse variance and bam things go south quick amidst a perfect storm.

Interesting to see what happens here as the season unfolds.

**pavyracer** · 08-28-19, 06:33 PM

The definition of insanity is doing the same thing over and over again and expecting a different result .

Albert Einstein

**pilebuck13** · 08-28-19, 07:43 PM

Wish you the best of luck man ride it out...maybe make adjustments next year???

**dawg58kahn** · 08-28-19, 08:49 PM

Originally posted by LT Profits

6 MLB Plays Wednesday

Yankees / Mariners UNDER 9.5 -105 (Heritage)
Pirates / Phillies UNDER 10 -110 (Heritage)
Blue Jays +105 (5 innings) (Bookmaker)
Cubs / Mets UNDER 7.5 +100 (Heritage)
Tigers +163 (Heritage)
Athletics / Royals UNDER 9 -103 (5 Dimes)

Potential 6-0 for fading today...you're on a roll dawg and you definitely know how to pick it lately...

Are you sure this thread is not a giant fuking troll and people have caught on by now that they need to fade and not tail lmao??

**pavyracer** · 08-28-19, 09:28 PM

Flipping coins would not go 0-6. It is very hard to go 0-6. But when jjgold trails all your plays you are doomed.

**pilebuck13** · 08-28-19, 09:41 PM

Don’t see why anyone cares not your money. Let the man make his own decisions

**LT Profits** · 08-28-19, 09:49 PM

Holy Mother of God, just now saw results for the first time (only score I knew before now was losing Yankees Under in bottom of 9th), this is becoming downright comical. I may just shut MLB down until next year, I will sleep on it.

**jolyolyolyman** · 08-28-19, 09:51 PM

Originally posted by pilebuck13

Don’t see why anyone cares not your money. Let the man make his own decisions

I say the same thing man. Not sure why they care so much. If anything, his numbers teach a lesson about the dangers of what can happen with a daily high volume of baseball bets.

**pilebuck13** · 08-28-19, 10:20 PM

Originally posted by LT Profits

Holy Mother of God, just now saw results for the first time (only score I knew before now was losing Yankees Under in bottom of 9th), this is becoming downright comical. I may just shut MLB down until next year, I will sleep on it.

Regardless of your decision, this is admirable, win or lose he tracked every single
Play he made and posted his results and kept a tally. Lots can be said about this, no chasing, no 5 unit plays to even out just unit plays daily for the complete duration of the season very rare around here

T

**bhoor** · 08-28-19, 10:23 PM

Originally posted by pavyracer

Flipping coins would not go 0-6. It is very hard to go 0-6. But when jjgold trails all your plays you are doomed.

And JJ put him in the top-3 capper list. lol!

**NiceforWhat** · 08-28-19, 10:30 PM

Seems the balls are loaded in MLB .🚧

**veriableodds** · 08-28-19, 10:30 PM

money management plays a key factor in inevitable bad runs like this

**DeeNice007** · 08-28-19, 11:42 PM

0-6 I admired your record for tonight lmao

**GreatWallofTrump** · 08-29-19, 12:19 AM

Just do what JJ does. Start a new spread sheet. 0-0 current record.

**dawg58kahn** · 08-29-19, 05:37 AM

Originally posted by LT Profits

Holy Mother of God, just now saw results for the first time (only score I knew before now was losing Yankees Under in bottom of 9th), this is becoming downright comical. I may just shut MLB down until next year, I will sleep on it.

finally some sense prevails...dont let your ego get the better of you dawg...its time to admit that you have just not been good enough

can you still post your plays though so that we can fade lmao

**Click_Clack** · 08-29-19, 10:59 AM

LT please don’t stop posting so help me God

**KVB** · 08-29-19, 01:10 PM

Originally posted by dawg58kahn

finally some sense prevails...dont let your ego get the better of you dawg...its time to admit that you have just not been good enough

can you still post your plays though so that we can fade lmao

Foolish post.

You clearly do not understand the mind set of bettors like us. It has nothing to do with ego, guy.

You couldn't be more wrong with your post and what you think of LT Profits.

Disgraceful and presumptive, some do it to troll, others, like you, just don't understand.

It's easy to tell the difference.

**KVB** · 08-29-19, 01:16 PM

Originally posted by LT Profits

Holy Mother of God, just now saw results for the first time (only score I knew before now was losing Yankees Under in bottom of 9th), this is becoming downright comical. I may just shut MLB down until next year, I will sleep on it.

Originally posted by pilebuck13

Regardless of your decision, this is admirable, win or lose he tracked every single
Play he made and posted his results and kept a tally. Lots can be said about this, no chasing, no 5 unit plays to even out just unit plays daily for the complete duration of the season very rare around here

T

That's because there is a program running.

Some of us, you included Piler, are not doing it to look good in front of others. It makes it easier to run a whole season and deal with the variance.

It can be tough when, like LT and I, we've come back from big time trouble in the past to watch things even out and reach expectations. We know not to jump out of the boat when the sharks are circling.

So when those sharks just don't go away, it's a little strange.

It's really not about a season too, it's a long term thing here and LT had like a +90 unit season not long ago.

Variance cuts both ways and these markets can really drag out sometimes, and turn quick like bettors often anticipate...much to their demise.

Hope all is well Piler!!