MLB - Thursday, 7/20/17

**LT Profits** · 07-20-17, 06:52 AM

6 MLB Plays Thursday

6 MLB Plays Thursday

Brewers +121 (5 Dimes)
Blue Jays +113 (5 Dimes)
Orioles -106 (Heritage)
Rangers / Orioles UNDER 10 -105 (Heritage)
Tigers -113 (Heritage)
Yankees / Mariners UNDER 8 -105 (Heritage)

**RavensFan2k3** · 07-20-17, 08:45 AM

Brewers has caught my eye. Can you give me some insight on the pitching match up?

**LT Profits** · 07-20-17, 08:50 AM

Originally posted by RavensFan2k3

Brewers has caught my eye. Can you give me some insight on the pitching match up?

Love Nelson as he is highly underrated. Granted I have Taillon above average also, but not as much as Nelson. I actually have Brewers slightly favored at 51% (-104).

**juicername** · 07-20-17, 08:52 AM

No love for Hernandez and Mariners at +money?

**LT Profits** · 07-20-17, 09:00 AM

Originally posted by juicername

No love for Hernandez and Mariners at +money?

It is not 2014 any more, I have Severino rated much higher. I first downgraded Felix last year and he has not done enough yet this season to deserve an upgrade. I have Yankees 56% (-127).

**Conqueror** · 07-20-17, 09:20 AM

Originally posted by LT Profits

Love Nelson as he is highly underrated. Granted I have Taillon above average also, but not as much as Nelson. I actually have Brewers slightly favored at 51% (-104).

Did you also factor bullpens?

**LT Profits** · 07-20-17, 10:08 AM

Originally posted by Conqueror

Did you also factor bullpens?

Of course. I have the bullpens just about even (Pittsburgh 1% better) and I have Nelson working 6 innings.

**dtd069** · 07-20-17, 11:09 AM

brew crew

**LT Profits** · 07-20-17, 12:08 PM

1 MLB Addition

7 MLB Plays Thursday

Brewers +121 (5 Dimes)
Blue Jays +113 (5 Dimes)
Orioles -106 (Heritage)
Rangers / Orioles UNDER 10 -105 (Heritage)
Tigers -113 (Heritage)
Braves +197 (Heritage)
Yankees / Mariners UNDER 8 -105 (Heritage)

**brock** · 07-20-17, 02:57 PM

Tigers -113 (Heritage) My only play run line.
Good luck LT.

**Conqueror** · 07-20-17, 03:13 PM

I agree with you on the Braves. The Dodgers are now being overvalued because of their current record. But we gamble on a game-to-game basis.

**44 Mag** · 07-20-17, 03:35 PM

Originally posted by Conqueror

I agree with you on the Braves. The Dodgers are now being overvalued because of their current record. But we gamble on a game-to-game basis.

So, you guys are going on the "Due" theory. GL. Or, is it a "Value" play????

**LT Profits** · 07-20-17, 04:17 PM

Originally posted by 44 Mag

So, you guys are going on the "Due" theory. GL. Or, is it a "Value" play????

Always value plays for me regardless of price. I am not big on McCarthy and Atlanta lineup is surprisingly decent vs. righties these days, I have them rated 97 (3% below league average) vs. righties with normal lineup. Sure Dodgers are better but everything shakes out to LA "only" 62% (-163) for me.

**44 Mag** · 07-20-17, 04:53 PM

Originally posted by LT Profits

Always value plays for me regardless of price. I am not big on McCarthy and Atlanta lineup is surprisingly decent vs. righties these days, I have them rated 97 (3% below league average) vs. righties with normal lineup. Sure Dodgers are better but everything shakes out to LA "only" 62% (-163) for me.

Yes, Atlanta can hit once in a while, similar to Cincy. I am not crazy about McCarthy either, but he has been fairly consistent. If LA takes this game seriously, they should win. But then again, there is that damn winning streak????? GL Boss.

**JayDr3am** · 07-20-17, 05:28 PM

braves would have to be way more +197.. atleast 250-275 for me to shoot that shot lol sheesh. BOL

**andyh64000** · 07-21-17, 12:03 AM

Originally posted by LT Profits

It is not 2014 any more, I have Severino rated much higher. I first downgraded Felix last year and he has not done enough yet this season to deserve an upgrade. I have Yankees 56% (-127).

You should probably check your rankings...Felix was far and away the better pitcher.