1. #1
    Dollars2Donuts
    Deadly
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    Braves +118 Today

    Felty recovers from a terrible start against the Cards and Urena blows up after all of the press about his impending 'emergence' as a star after one good start.

    I am on the ML, ff (+110) and the RL here (+190). I see a 7-2 type of Braves win here.

  2. #2
    jjgold
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    Atlanta better than I thought this year

    They are capable of pulling off wins vs good teams

  3. #3
    beavis13
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    And it's a good number. Like this one D2D!

  4. #4
    TTA_President
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    I want to be greedy and parlay the over. Torn between that and just a semi safe wash ml. And braves ml. But best of luck with your play. I am in miami and a braves fan. I piss off sections routinely. May go sunday

  5. #5
    trobin31
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    Velocity for Folty down this season, makes me wonder about his health, seems like a nice spot for Atlanta though

  6. #6
    funnyb25
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    Get um Donuts!

  7. #7
    thedenthead
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    Like it. Tailing.

  8. #8
    Dollars2Donuts
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    Quote Originally Posted by trobin31 View Post
    Velocity for Folty down this season, makes me wonder about his health, seems like a nice spot for Atlanta though
    Actually his velocity has been among the best in MLB, but not in his last start.

    He was having some issues in the game early and I have seen hundreds of younger pitchers and their reactions to early troubles, and they almost inevitably do one of two things...begin to overthrow, which for some pitchers can results in throwing into the dirt or they can slow everything down and try to 'place the ball'. That's what Folty was doing last game. He is an emotional guy. I think he comes in here with a clear head and gets it done.

  9. #9
    lakerboy
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    D2D good luck.

  10. #10
    trobin31
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dollars2Donuts View Post
    Actually his velocity has been among the best in MLB, but not in his last start.

    He was having some issues in the game early and I have seen hundreds of younger pitchers and their reactions to early troubles, and they almost inevitably do one of two things...begin to overthrow, which for some pitchers can results in throwing into the dirt or they can slow everything down and try to 'place the ball'. That's what Folty was doing last game. He is an emotional guy. I think he comes in here with a clear head and gets it done.
    I've only seen him pitch a few innings this year and only thing stood out to me was avg 94 vs 95-96 last year, he's got great stuff, I really like Folty, and, Urena had a great and lucky spot going agst mets, same day Harvey was suspended and they called up that gas can and benched key players, let's get this.

  11. #11
    crackerjack
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    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
    Atlanta better than I thought this year
    Lol. You expected them to be worse? They are the worst team in baseball...

  12. #12
    crackerjack
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    I am big on Marlins today. Love them in this spot at a good number. Also like Miami -150 for the series. Atlanta is garbage.

  13. #13
    reigle9
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    Must be a millwood outing. Maddux, smoltz, or glavine, all -150 at least.

  14. #14
    unusialsusp5
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    Quote Originally Posted by crackerjack View Post
    I am big on Marlins today. Love them in this spot at a good number. Also like Miami -150 for the series. Atlanta is garbage.
    braves have lost every one of folty's 6 starts mostly on account of him. urena tossed a 1 hitter (6 ip) last time in his first start. don't see the logic of taking atlanta here. miami not even overpriced even at home. there are better dogs than this one tonight or any night or day.

  15. #15
    Dollars2Donuts
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    Quote Originally Posted by unusialsusp5 View Post
    braves have lost every one of folty's 6 starts mostly on account of him. urena tossed a 1 hitter (6 ip) last time in his first start. don't see the logic of taking atlanta here. miami not even overpriced even at home. there are better dogs than this one tonight or any night or day.
    In Folty's four consecutive quality starts (prior to Cards) he looked excellent and the Braves scored 0, 0, 1 and 3 runs.

    Not sure how they lost those games 'on account of how bad he was'.

    Good luck either way.

  16. #16
    pickle_texas
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    Tailing all 3 of your plays.

  17. #17
    unusialsusp5
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dollars2Donuts View Post
    In Folty's four consecutive quality starts (prior to Cards) he looked excellent and the Braves scored 0, 0, 1 and 3 runs.

    Not sure how they lost those games 'on account of how bad he was'.

    Good luck either way.
    his first 4 starts were fine (no run support) but the last 2 10 ip 13 h 11 r only 8 earned would scare me off this. put much more stock in the last 2 than the first 4.

  18. #18
    CaptainKorea
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    Following your braves play!! Gl to us all!

  19. #19
    Dollars2Donuts
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    Quote Originally Posted by unusialsusp5 View Post
    his first 4 starts were fine (no run support) but the last 2 10 ip 13 h 11 r only 8 earned would scare me off this. put much more stock in the last 2 than the first 4.
    I get it. I love to fade young pitchers when they outperform their ability (Urena last game) and they start to buy the hype. I also think this is a very good bounce back spot for Folty.

    Anyway, they are a dog for a reason...we will see if my thoughts or correct or if I am just another clown. ��

  20. #20
    unusialsusp5
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dollars2Donuts View Post
    I get it. I love to fade young pitchers when they outperform their ability (Urena last game) and they start to buy the hype. I also think this is a very good bounce back spot for Folty.

    Anyway, they are a dog for a reason...we will see if my thoughts or correct or if I am just another clown. ��
    you're not a clown if this loses. it's just seems you're using reverse logic here. you want to play against a guy because he pitched good last time (6 scoreless ip and only 1 hit) and you want to bet on a guy because he's due to bounce back. could it happen. of course. they don't score for folty either and why wouldn't that trend continue. you'll probably be right as most games are a coin flip anyway.

  21. #21
    cankid
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    looks good GL

  22. #22
    FUqer
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    A few reasons why I took the Braves, is the Marlins lost 8 in a row vs Righties and 1-11 L12. I also looked into fading pitchers after a no hitter a while ago and if I remember it was profitable, so I wouldn't hesitate to fade someone like Urena off a lucky outing. And another reason I like the Braves is that teams on a -6 game streak as a Road dog has been profitable all time (+4.1% ROI), which is saying something and a +30.6% since 2015.

  23. #23
    ticklemepink1991
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    Quote Originally Posted by FUqer View Post
    A few reasons why I took the Braves, is the Marlins lost 8 in a row vs Righties and 1-11 L12. I also looked into fading pitchers after a no hitter a while ago and if I remember it was profitable, so I wouldn't hesitate to fade someone like Urena off a lucky outing. And another reason I like the Braves is that teams on a -6 game streak as a Road dog has been profitable all time (+4.1% ROI), which is saying something and a +30.6% since 2015.
    i have no idea what this means, or if this is even english. but i will tail just because of how fancy it seems to be. lets go!

  24. #24
    Dollars2Donuts
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    Bingo.

    My favourite spot is fading pitchers when they pitch far above their typical outing. Been doing this for ages and always liked it. I don't have to go so far as to look for a no hitter to do it, but I understand.

    Also, the omore experienced the pitcher is, the less likely this is to work. Young guys have tough games a ton off of great outings.

  25. #25
    eltoro17
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    Like over in this game

  26. #26
    Dollars2Donuts
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    Braves have made too many base running games errors and mental mistakes so far.

    Cashed the ff, but don't like the way this is going at all.

  27. #27
    xdodger19
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    I like the way Mike F is pitching,
    I think Braves close them out in the 9th
    good pitching performance

  28. #28
    xdodger19
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    Whats pathetic is the Braves need to hold teams down to 1 run just to win a game

  29. #29
    xdodger19
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    Hoston Dyanamo moneyline 54 win 40 soccer live

  30. #30
    FUqer
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    Braves got the bats going now, Marlins might be auto fade vs Righties for awhile.

  31. #31
    SBRMAN23
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    Great call D2D

  32. #32
    jjgold
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    Dollar knows what he doing

  33. #33
    thedenthead
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    👏👏👏

  34. #34
    crackerjack
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    Good call on this. I was wrong. I hope the Marlins can win the next two...

  35. #35
    pilebuck13
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    Marlins blow ass

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