MLB - Friday, 5/12/17

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  • LT Profits
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 10-27-06
    • 90963

    #1
    MLB - Friday, 5/12/17
    1 MLB Side Friday

    Rangers -115 (Heritage)


    YTD: 147-139-10, +15.99

    Totals Coming
  • KANSAS24
    SBR MVP
    • 01-28-09
    • 2492

    #2
    HOW CAN U BET ON THE RANGERS ANYTIME??????????????
    BETTER GAMES OUT THERE!
    Comment
    • LT Profits
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 10-27-06
      • 90963

      #3
      Originally posted by KANSAS24
      HOW CAN U BET ON THE RANGERS ANYTIME??????????????
      BETTER GAMES OUT THERE!
      When they face worse team at home and model has them -133.
      Comment
      • LT Profits
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 10-27-06
        • 90963

        #4
        3 MLB Plays Friday

        3 MLB Plays Friday

        Rangers -115 (Heritage)
        Athletics / Rangers UNDER 9.5 -105 (Heritage)
        Padres / White Sox UNDER 8.5 -115 (Heritage)
        Comment
        • dirtycash66
          SBR MVP
          • 04-13-12
          • 2958

          #5
          Originally posted by LT Profits
          1 MLB Side Friday

          Rangers -115 (Heritage)


          YTD: 147-139-10, +15.99

          Totals Coming
          This number is slowly heading south
          Comment
          • LT Profits
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 10-27-06
            • 90963

            #6
            Originally posted by dirtycash66
            This number is slowly heading south
            Big Picture though. Nothing wrong with +16 in mid-May
            Comment
            • RavensFan2k3
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 08-18-12
              • 17378

              #7
              Hey LT how do you rate Jordan Montgomery and Lance McCullers? Thanks buddy, goodluck today
              Comment
              • CTOWNsCAPPIN
                SBR MVP
                • 02-11-11
                • 3079

                #8
                I like Oakland tonight. BOL LT
                Comment
                • LT Profits
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 10-27-06
                  • 90963

                  #9
                  Originally posted by RavensFan2k3
                  Hey LT how do you rate Jordan Montgomery and Lance McCullers? Thanks buddy, goodluck today
                  There is no comparison really, McCullers is way above average and Montomery is safely below, my rating difference between the two starters is a whopping 36%! However, this line stinks to high heaven to me as model has Houston 59% (-144). I'd actually like to see this line tick up while remaining below -130.
                  Comment
                  • juicername
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 10-14-15
                    • 6906

                    #10
                    Originally posted by LT Profits
                    Big Picture though. Nothing wrong with +16 in mid-May
                    +16 in May, but nearly 300 plays . Who am I to say anything though, I'm completely buried with bases so far this season ...
                    Comment
                    • LT Profits
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 10-27-06
                      • 90963

                      #11
                      Originally posted by juicername
                      +16 in May, but nearly 300 plays . Who am I to say anything though, I'm completely buried with bases so far this season ...
                      That indicates that the plays I am betting are collectively +EV (so far ). If someone made 300 plays on coin-flip plays, they would be buried. Ironic that we are talking about this on probably my lightest Friday card of the year.
                      Comment
                      • jjgold
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 07-20-05
                        • 388189

                        #12
                        LT I want you at 20
                        Units by Sunday night
                        Comment
                        • juicername
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 10-14-15
                          • 6906

                          #13
                          Originally posted by LT Profits
                          That indicates that the plays I am betting are collectively +EV (so far ). If someone made 300 plays on coin-flip plays, they would be buried. Ironic that we are talking about this on probably my lightest Friday card of the year.
                          Yeah man, was tongue in cheek. You're doing great with baseball so far .
                          Comment
                          • LT Profits
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 10-27-06
                            • 90963

                            #14
                            2 MLB Additions

                            5 MLB Plays Friday

                            Astros / Yankees UNDER 8.5 -115 (Heritage)
                            Braves / Marlins OVER 9 +100 (Heritage)

                            Rangers -115 (Heritage)
                            Athletics / Rangers UNDER 9.5 -105 (Heritage)
                            Padres / White Sox UNDER 8.5 -115 (Heritage)
                            Comment
                            • getlucky2win
                              SBR MVP
                              • 01-14-12
                              • 1112

                              #15
                              Thanks Lt. Quick questions. Is astros game under 8 +105 good? How do u decide between 8.5 or 8 in games like this? How much is buying or selling off the 8 worth?
                              Comment
                              • No coincidences
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 01-18-10
                                • 76300

                                #16
                                Originally posted by LT Profits
                                There is no comparison really, McCullers is way above average and Montomery is safely below, my rating difference between the two starters is a whopping 36%! However, this line stinks to high heaven to me as model has Houston 59% (-144). I'd actually like to see this line tick up while remaining below -130.
                                No, actually it doesn't. McCullers stinks on the road. This is no surprise or mystery.

                                Watch a game sometime.
                                Comment
                                • LT Profits
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 10-27-06
                                  • 90963

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by getlucky2win
                                  Thanks Lt. Quick questions. Is astros game under 8 +105 good? How do u decide between 8.5 or 8 in games like this? How much is buying or selling off the 8 worth?
                                  It is not just what the half run is worth but also what the model has. In this case it has 7.4, so the 8.5 is important to me and I would pass on 8.
                                  Comment
                                  • Roscoe_Word
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 02-28-12
                                    • 3999

                                    #18
                                    Comment
                                    • LT Profits
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 10-27-06
                                      • 90963

                                      #19
                                      Thisclose to 5-0 but I will take 4-1.
                                      Comment
                                      • FranchisePlayer
                                        SBR Sharp
                                        • 11-05-11
                                        • 334

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by LT Profits
                                        Thisclose to 5-0 but I will take 4-1.
                                        Nice! Seems you are in the zone right now! Or at least your model is lol
                                        Comment
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