After cashing Shea Langeliers (+390) and Juan Soto (+425) on Sunday, SBR's Andrew Brennan looks to stay hot with his best home run predictions for Monday, July 28th:
Corbin Carroll to hit a home run (+370 via FanDuel)
Kyle Schwarber to hit a home run (+205 via DraftKings)
Seiya Suzuki to hit a home run (+450 via bet365)
Shea Langeliers to hit a home run (+400 via BetMGM)
Parlay odds: +25559 via FanDuel ($10 to win $2,555.90)
Best Bet: Corbin Carroll (Diamondbacks) to hit a home run (+370 FanDuel)
"Carroll has been ice-cold at the dish for much of the last month after serving as one of the most dangerous hitters in baseball early in the campaign. He owns just a .631 OPS with only one homer in the last 30 days, and though there are some troubling patterns developing, a lot of his struggles can be attributed to bad luck.
The outfielder owns just a .259 BABIP in July, which is unusually low for a player as fast as Carroll is. Additionally, Carroll's home run per fly ball rate has been unsustainably low this month at just 4.2%, especially when you consider he's still hitting the ball plenty hard.
We see that, too, with Carroll having 22.5 expected home runs this season, based on data via Statcast, but has only 21 actual homers.
Carroll should benefit from some positive regression soon, and his projections for today's game look promising. Let's back him to go yard at this very decent +370 price."
Corbin Carroll to hit a home run (+370 via FanDuel)
Kyle Schwarber to hit a home run (+205 via DraftKings)
Seiya Suzuki to hit a home run (+450 via bet365)
Shea Langeliers to hit a home run (+400 via BetMGM)
Parlay odds: +25559 via FanDuel ($10 to win $2,555.90)
Best Bet: Corbin Carroll (Diamondbacks) to hit a home run (+370 FanDuel)
"Carroll has been ice-cold at the dish for much of the last month after serving as one of the most dangerous hitters in baseball early in the campaign. He owns just a .631 OPS with only one homer in the last 30 days, and though there are some troubling patterns developing, a lot of his struggles can be attributed to bad luck.
The outfielder owns just a .259 BABIP in July, which is unusually low for a player as fast as Carroll is. Additionally, Carroll's home run per fly ball rate has been unsustainably low this month at just 4.2%, especially when you consider he's still hitting the ball plenty hard.
We see that, too, with Carroll having 22.5 expected home runs this season, based on data via Statcast, but has only 21 actual homers.
Carroll should benefit from some positive regression soon, and his projections for today's game look promising. Let's back him to go yard at this very decent +370 price."