MLB Home Run Predictions for July 11

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  • SBR Andy
    Administrator
    • 02-09-22
    • 3879

    #1
    MLB Home Run Predictions for July 11
    After cashing Pete Crow-Armstrong +360 yesterday, SBR's Andrew Brennan is back with his best home run predictions for Friday, July 11th:

    James Wood to hit a home run (+450 via ESPN BET)
    Taylor Ward to hit a home run (+390 via FanDuel)
    Ketel Marte to hit a home run (+245 via bet365)
    Brent Rooker to hit a home run (+310 via bet365)

    Parlay odds: +28128 via FanDuel ($10 to win $2,812.80)

    ​Best Bet: James Wood (Nationals) to hit a home run (+450 ESPN BET)

    "Wood has been simply unbelievable in his second year in the majors. He flashed some of his upside in his abbreviated rookie campaign last year, but I think he's surprising even his biggest fans at this point.

    The young Nationals outfielder is a legitimate NL MVP candidate thanks to his jaw-dropping power and impressive speed (especially for someone who's 6-foot-7). He's crushed 24 home runs already this season, and that number would be even higher if he sorted out his launch angle.

    I've made a lot of money this season by backing Wood, and sports betting sites still haven't adjusted properly. To be honest, I'm kind of hoping he has a stinker in the Home Run Derby so he doesn't get any additional attention, because a big performance in Monday's event would likely cause the public to smash his Overs during the second half of the season.

    Until then, let's keep taking advantage of these generous odds. Wood's home run prop is almost universally priced at +450 today. Meanwhile, he has one of the best home run projections of any player. This is a no-brainer."​
  • stevenash
    Moderator
    • 01-17-11
    • 65433

    #2
    ^
    Wood's a terrific play, I'm impressed with Brennan's eye for these props.

    I can't recall a bigger projection number than the .476 next to Judge's name tonight.
    Judge is currently +155 at DK, Stanton is +225, I'm looking at Austin Wells myself at +340

    Projections via RotoWire


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    • SBR Andy
      Administrator
      • 02-09-22
      • 3879

      #3
      Most bet home run props (tickets) at BetMGM for Friday:
      1. Aaron Judge Over 0.5 Home runs +180
      2. Seiya Suzuki Over 0.5 Home runs +400
      3. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 0.5 Home runs +400


      Most bet home run props at DraftKings for Friday:

      Click image for larger version

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      Comment
      • stevenash
        Moderator
        • 01-17-11
        • 65433

        #4
        Clay Bellinger
        3-5, 3 HRs, 6 RBI.
        Comment
        • stevenash
          Moderator
          • 01-17-11
          • 65433

          #5
          Cal Raleigh just smacked his second HR tonight.
          Cal's now 2-5, 2HR, five RBI for the night.
          Mariners abused the presumed 2025 American League Cy Young Award winner (Skubal) tonight and the top dog Tigers.
          Comment
          • OVAKUL
            SBR MVP
            • 09-16-17
            • 1541

            #6
            This is the time of the year some of the top arms will really get shelled because of overuse
            Comment
            • OVAKUL
              SBR MVP
              • 09-16-17
              • 1541

              #7
              Please post these predictions every day!
              Comment
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