Home Run Predictions for July 10

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  • SBR Andy
    Administrator
    • 02-09-22
    • 3880

    #1
    Home Run Predictions for July 10
    A rare night without a cash means it's bounce back time for today's best home run predictions from SBR's Andrew Brennan for Thursday, July 10th:

    Pete Alonso to hit a home run - Game 1 (+475 via bet365)
    Pete Crow-Armstrong to hit a home run (+360 via FanDuel)
    Aaron Judge to hit a home run (+210 via bet365)
    Ketel Marte to hit a home run (+375 via ESPN BET)

    Parlay odds: +20696 via FanDuel ($10 to win $2,069.60)

    Best Bet: Pete Alonso (Mets) to hit a home run - Game 1 (+475 bet365)

    "I was all over Alonso's hitting props yesterday, and that's not changing this afternoon. I also bet on Alonso to go Over 1.5 total bases, but it's his home run prop that I'm most interested in for Game 1.

    Of course, Alonso is tearing the cover off the ball this year. His Statcast page is among the most elite you'll see leaguewide, and he's crushed three homers in his last three games.

    However, I'm most interested in the odds we're getting on this prop. bet365 is offering a +475 price tag for Alonso to go yard in Game 1 of this doubleheader, while our other best sports betting sites are providing us with significantly shorter odds.

    FanDuel and DraftKings are at +320 and +330, respectively, and BetMGM has the second-best odds at +400. Based on that, I'd deem this a full-on pricing mistake by bet365. Take advantage."​​
  • SBR Andy
    Administrator
    • 02-09-22
    • 3880

    #2
    Most bet home run props (tickets) at BetMGM for Thursday:
    1. Pete Alonso Over 0.5 Home runs +400
    2. Juan Soto Over 0.5 Home runs +340


    Most bet home run props at DraftKings for Thursday:

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    Comment
    • SBR Andy
      Administrator
      • 02-09-22
      • 3880

      #3
      Originally posted by SBR Andy
      A rare night without a cash means it's bounce back time for today's best home run predictions from SBR's Andrew Brennan for Thursday, July 10th:

      Pete Alonso to hit a home run - Game 1 (+475 via bet365)
      Pete Crow-Armstrong to hit a home run (+360 via FanDuel)
      Aaron Judge to hit a home run (+210 via bet365)
      Ketel Marte to hit a home run (+375 via ESPN BET)

      Parlay odds: +20696 via FanDuel ($10 to win $2,069.60)

      Best Bet: Pete Alonso (Mets) to hit a home run - Game 1 (+475 bet365)

      "I was all over Alonso's hitting props yesterday, and that's not changing this afternoon. I also bet on Alonso to go Over 1.5 total bases, but it's his home run prop that I'm most interested in for Game 1.

      Of course, Alonso is tearing the cover off the ball this year. His Statcast page is among the most elite you'll see leaguewide, and he's crushed three homers in his last three games.

      However, I'm most interested in the odds we're getting on this prop. bet365 is offering a +475 price tag for Alonso to go yard in Game 1 of this doubleheader, while our other best sports betting sites are providing us with significantly shorter odds.

      FanDuel and DraftKings are at +320 and +330, respectively, and BetMGM has the second-best odds at +400. Based on that, I'd deem this a full-on pricing mistake by bet365. Take advantage."​​
      Pete Crow-Armstrong goes deep in the 3rd to cash the +360 dinger!

      Comment
      • stevenash
        Moderator
        • 01-17-11
        • 65449

        #4
        ^
        Pete goes deep for a second time in the seventh inning.

        I'm so mad at myself. Back in February, I thought Crow-Armstrong was overrated and overvalued on draft day.
        Wrong.

        That Cubs lineup is deep, and Swanson is a pest batting seventh.
        And to think, they're running away with that division without their staff ace.
        Comment
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