SBR's Dustin Saracini shares his best No Run First Inning (NRFI) bets for Monday, June 23rd (31-22, +4.63 on the season):
Rangers vs. Orioles (+104 FanDuel)
Patrick Corbin (3.91 ERA) vs. Trevor Rogers (3.12 ERA)
NRFI record: Rangers (45-33) vs. Orioles (39-38)
"I love a good value bet, and whenever I see a plus-money NRFI, it gets my attention. The pitching matchup in Baltimore is a fun one, too.
Corbin is enjoying somewhat of a career renaissance in Texas and has allowed a run in the first frame just once over his last eight outings. Baltimore hasn't gotten the best of him, either, and is hitting just .192 across 28 plate appearances while owning a paltry .282 xwOBA against the 35-year-old. Look for a sweat-free first from Corbin as part of our best NRFI bets today.
On the other side, we have somewhat of a wild card, as Rogers has logged just 8.2 innings this season. He's also had some mixed results. After a strong 6.1 innings of shutout baseball against the Boston Red Sox in May, Rogers gave up three across 2.1 frames against the Tampa Bay Rays. So why do I love this play? Well, Corey Seager is just 1-for-6 all-time against Rogers, and the No. 2 hitter in Wyatt Langford is 0-for-3. Fire up Rogers to get us three outs, let's get a quick W."
Mariners vs. Twins (-113 FanDuel)
Bryan Woo (3.12 ERA) vs. Bailey Ober (4.54 ERA)
NRFI record: Mariners (33-43) vs. Twins (33-44)
"This is such a conflicting play for me.
On one side, we have a pitcher in the top five for AL Cy Young odds in Bryan Woo, who has cashed us a ton of NRFIs this year. On the other hand, I told myself time and again that I wouldn't bet against the Twins in the first inning - they're one of the best YRFI teams in baseball. But here we are, highlighting them as part of our best NRFI bets today.
Woo has some pretty solid numbers against the high-flying Twins, and more importantly, Byron Buxton, who seems impossible to get out right now. Buxton is 0-for-3 against Woo with a strikeout, so we're banking on him to be one of three easy outs.
The last time these two played in late May, Ober cashed us a NRFI. So, we're going back to the well. In that game, he struck out Cal Raleigh and Randy Arozarena, and popped Julio Rodriguez up for a sweat-free inning. Let's ride that high again today."
Rangers vs. Orioles (+104 FanDuel)
Patrick Corbin (3.91 ERA) vs. Trevor Rogers (3.12 ERA)
NRFI record: Rangers (45-33) vs. Orioles (39-38)
"I love a good value bet, and whenever I see a plus-money NRFI, it gets my attention. The pitching matchup in Baltimore is a fun one, too.
Corbin is enjoying somewhat of a career renaissance in Texas and has allowed a run in the first frame just once over his last eight outings. Baltimore hasn't gotten the best of him, either, and is hitting just .192 across 28 plate appearances while owning a paltry .282 xwOBA against the 35-year-old. Look for a sweat-free first from Corbin as part of our best NRFI bets today.
On the other side, we have somewhat of a wild card, as Rogers has logged just 8.2 innings this season. He's also had some mixed results. After a strong 6.1 innings of shutout baseball against the Boston Red Sox in May, Rogers gave up three across 2.1 frames against the Tampa Bay Rays. So why do I love this play? Well, Corey Seager is just 1-for-6 all-time against Rogers, and the No. 2 hitter in Wyatt Langford is 0-for-3. Fire up Rogers to get us three outs, let's get a quick W."
Mariners vs. Twins (-113 FanDuel)
Bryan Woo (3.12 ERA) vs. Bailey Ober (4.54 ERA)
NRFI record: Mariners (33-43) vs. Twins (33-44)
"This is such a conflicting play for me.
On one side, we have a pitcher in the top five for AL Cy Young odds in Bryan Woo, who has cashed us a ton of NRFIs this year. On the other hand, I told myself time and again that I wouldn't bet against the Twins in the first inning - they're one of the best YRFI teams in baseball. But here we are, highlighting them as part of our best NRFI bets today.
Woo has some pretty solid numbers against the high-flying Twins, and more importantly, Byron Buxton, who seems impossible to get out right now. Buxton is 0-for-3 against Woo with a strikeout, so we're banking on him to be one of three easy outs.
The last time these two played in late May, Ober cashed us a NRFI. So, we're going back to the well. In that game, he struck out Cal Raleigh and Randy Arozarena, and popped Julio Rodriguez up for a sweat-free inning. Let's ride that high again today."