CK's 2025 MLB Thread

**atthehalf** · 07-27-25, 04:15 PM

Totals lookin good but sides bleh...

**atthehalf** · 07-27-25, 04:17 PM

The one extremely good thing is Colton Gordon with 5 frames and 6 K's and 0 walks which will give me a wildly good amount of money once the tally has been figured out

**atthehalf** · 07-28-25, 04:05 PM

SIDES

Orioles+100 Eflin 2 UNITS
Brews+101 Misiorowski 2 UNITS
Red Sox-105 Fitts 2 UNITS
A's-101 Sears 2 UNITS
Rays+116 Rasmussen 2 UNITS
Snakes+116 Rodriguez 2 UNITS
Red Leggins+137 Burns 2 UNITS
Royals+149 Hill 2 UNITS
Metropolitans+114 Montas 2 UNITS
Buccos+117 Keller 2 UNITS

TOTALS

Rox/Guardians UNDER 9 Blalock/Cecconi
Rays/Bombers UNDER 8.5 Rasmussen/Schlittler
Dodgers/Red Leggins UNDER 9 Yamamoto/Burns
Nats/Astronauts UNDER 7.5 Lords/Valdez
Sailors/A's OVER 10.5 Castillo/Sears
Snakes/Tigers UNDER 9 Rodriguez/Melton
Buccos/Giants UNDER 7.5 Keller/Wisenhunt

CRUMBS POD for today is Slade Cecconi (Guardians) What's not to like? He only has 14% rostership-catches the Rox on the road. It's a temporary badge like the type you get in the hospital when you pass through security

**atthehalf** · 07-28-25, 04:44 PM

Added another move

Cubs/Brews UNDER 7.5 Boyd/Misiorowski

**atthehalf** · 07-28-25, 05:24 PM

Also

Cardinals-116 Pallante 2 UNITS

I don't know if Cabrera is going to be allowed to go 5 frames

**atthehalf** · 07-29-25, 08:20 AM

Cecconi gave me 7 frames but only 3 K's and 2 walks the little pisser...

Today for my CRUMBS POD Streamer I am rolling with (Giants) Justin Verlander! And get this-he has only 10% rostership which is a shocking drop off from his lofty heights of years past.

**atthehalf** · 07-29-25, 08:22 AM

I started to go with Colin Rea (your favorite and mine)-he's been reliable all season long as a dollar store budget version of Justin Steele-and he has cashed me some monster paydays-no doubt that I will be rolling with the Cubs today-just a matter of when stochastically speaking

**atthehalf** · 07-29-25, 11:54 AM

Remember that good day that happened a few days ago when I said that the situation kept coming up over and over again for underdogs? Well it's happening again.

I will be back in a few with those

**atthehalf** · 07-29-25, 12:21 PM

SIDES

Rays+168 Boyle 2 UNITS
Red Leggins+139 Lodolo 2 UNITS
Fish+145 Alcantara 2 UNITS
Nats+122 Soroka 2 UNITS
Halos-125 Kikuchi 3 UNITS
Buccos+146 Falter 2 UNITS
Cubs+110 Rea 2 UNITS
Pale Hose+1.5 -110 RL Cannon 2 UNITS
Snakes+122 Pfaadt 2 UNITS
A's+102 Severino 2 UNITS

TOTALS

Dodgers/Red Leggins UNDER 9 Glasnow/Lodolo
Red Sox/Twinkies UNDER 9 Giolito/Paddack
Snakes/Tigers UNDER 8.5 Pfaadt/Mize
Rox/Guardians UNDER 9 Gordon/Alen
Nats/Astronauts UNDER 8.5 Soroka/Alexander
Braves/Royals OVER 9.5 Fedde/Lugo
Fish/Cardinals UNDER 7.5 Alcantara/Gray

**atthehalf** · 07-29-25, 02:48 PM

I may end up getting me some Fathers late

**atthehalf** · 07-29-25, 02:57 PM

Also in a pure arbitrage move I also may get some Giants-1.5 RL which has some ROBUST CRUMBS on it at +127

**atthehalf** · 07-29-25, 02:59 PM

PURCHASE ORDER

Get some MORE

Fish/Cardinals UNDER 7.5 (NOW A 3 UNIT MOVE)

**atthehalf** · 07-29-25, 04:51 PM

Hard Rock BIG BETTORS are on these (typically they are buying insurance and rarely go ML)

Astronauts RL
Braves RL
Buccos RL
Pale Hose RL
Fish RL
Red Leggins RL

Hard Rock backed (What their rooting interest is on-you want these)

Cubs ML (HIGH MODERATE VALUE)
Red Leggins ML (MODERATE VALUE)
Fathers ML (MODERATE VALUE)
Royals RL (STRONG VALUE)
Giants RL (STRONG VALUE)
Fish/Cardinals UNDER 7.5 (STRONG VALUE)
Cubs/Brews UNDER 8.5 (STRONG VALUE)
Rox/Guardians UNDER 8.5 (MODERATE VALUE)

When I turn into a full service for The Action Network these are pretty much what I am going to be offering instead of doing a bunch of homework. My CRUMBS Streaming will be exclusively with my group however

**ProSportsEdge** · 07-30-25, 06:30 AM

Originally posted by atthehalf

Although I had a pretty good season last year making moves on traditional sides and totals-my streamers were off the chain as usual. The arms that I select rarely don't get the 5 frames and 3-1 k/w ratio. Case and point today with Pepiot; 8 K's 1 walk over 6 frames. the payout for this one in particular won't be a great one because of the margins and amount of moves made on Pepiot.. but Springs is a whole different deal and if I can get 6 frames and a 3/1 ratio from him that would put me in line for a sweet payday.

The Commish however CLEANED UP on Freeland with a 7 K 0 walks over 6 frames

love hearing about those pitching gems—pep riot was sharp, no doubt. even if the payout’s light, hitting those consistent arms with solid k/w ratios is a bankroll builder. springs could definitely cash if he goes deep. and props to the commish—freeland with 7/0 is nasty clean.

**atthehalf** · 07-30-25, 08:28 AM

Ok boys here are the Hard Rock backed sides and totals for today. These are exactly how I got them in my envelope this morning verbatim with no cut. In terms of how to read it i would say that light moderate is a 1 unit and moderate 2 units and above moderate would be 3 units. Don't be afraid-you're betting with shar money on these. These are the type of moves that i will be featuring when I fire up at Action Network on their staff

I will add a few of my own in a different post.

SIDES

Sailors-150 Woo (MODERATE) (I am going -1.5 +110 RL-I don't go over -145 for ANYTHING in MLB)
Rays+115 Littell (MODERATE)
Cubs+105 Imanaga (ABOVE MODERATE)
Cubs-1.5 +160 RRL (ABOVE MODERATE)
Royals-125 Zerpa (LIGHT MODERATE)
Twinkies-130 Matthews (MODERATE)
Red Leggins+142 Martinez (MODERATE) (I WENT RED LEGGINS +1.5 -120 RL)
Cardinals-144 Mikolas (ABOVE MODERATE)
Pale Hose+120 Houser (LIGHT MODERATE)

TOTALS

Blunts/Pale Hose OVER 9 Walker/Houser (LIGHT MODERATE)
Cubs/Brews UNDER 7.5 Imanaga/Peralta (ABOVE MODERATE)
Buccos/Giants OVER 7.5 Burrows/Webb (LIGHT MODERATE)
Sailors/A's OVER 9.5 (ABOVE MODERATE)
Nats/Astronauts OVER 7.5 Gore/Gusto (LIGHT MODERATE)

**atthehalf** · 07-30-25, 03:12 PM

Someone call the paramedics! The Cubs destroyed Peralta

**atthehalf** · 07-30-25, 03:17 PM

Zebby didn't have good control of his fastball today and that pretty much did him in as his secondaries work well off of it-and not as featured pitches. Surprisingly he didn't walk anyone but to a guy who is a daily streamer it was very noticeable that he didn't have his stuff today.

While I was out the support for the book on the total for the Buccos/Giants changed and now they are on the UNDER so

LIVE BET

Buccos/Giants UNDER 5.5

**atthehalf** · 07-30-25, 03:21 PM

No changes other than that no big changes other than some SLIGHT support for Rays/Bombers UNDER 9-very light support. In order for the Rays to beat the Bombers they will have to out slug them

**atthehalf** · 07-30-25, 08:01 PM

Hard Rock had more support came in while I was put and about for

Halos+105 Soriano (MODERATE)

**atthehalf** · 07-30-25, 08:05 PM

For tomorrow I am streaming with

Kumar Rocker (Wanderers) with only 10% rostership. Here's my message to Kumar-Hey. I know you elected to feature your cutter as your #4 pitch last time out. It didn't work. Please don't do that again.

**atthehalf** · 07-30-25, 08:18 PM

As for me personally I don't see how in an imperfect world how a stud like Eovaldi can lose this game given his Cy Young caliber type year; and the fact that the Wanderers stand to get swept if they lose this game. Traditionally road teams favored in the final game of a series perform well too. Soriano has some flash in the pan type of skills-and lacks consistency. Given what's going on in the game I am wondering somewhat if he is wagering on himself to not perform as he should-but that's another story. I did in fact get this one monitored but I am just going to watch this one with popcorn ad a beer

**atthehalf** · 07-30-25, 09:30 PM

That was a weak way to end the Rays/Bombers game...

**atthehalf** · 07-30-25, 10:30 PM

Who's gonna get Mackenzie Gore? Whoever gets him is going to vault upwards! Good pick up by the Cubs with Soroka-that arm with a good consistent offense behind him? Wow. the outlook is good when they get back Justin Steele next season with their existing rotation.

And how about that loss by the Cardinals! It seems like every time that I make a purchase for -145 it goes in the sink hole-that's why i utilized the RL for the Sailors. No way I go -145 more than once in a day!

**atthehalf** · 2025-07-31T10:29:38+00:00

Hard Rock backed 7/31/25

SIDES

Bombers-108 Stroman (ABOVE MODERATE)
Sailors-157 Kirby (ABOVE MODERATE) (YOU ALREADY KNOW I AM GOING RL THO)

TOTALS

Braves/Red Leggins OVER 9.5 Carrasco/Abbott (MODERATE)

Don't ask me-I would NEVER roll with Stroman over Pepiot -but this is what the Hard Rock sportsbook wants to happen and I am giving you what they are rooting for with no cut. I see that Pepiot does have a ton of support from joes and more than likely will end up being favored by game time. Maybe better value by waiting and making a move later on without juice? You decide-it's your money!

**atthehalf** · 2025-07-31T11:48:11+00:00

Obviously the late Eugenio Suarez deal will get some headlines with his return to the Sailors, but the deal I low-key loved from Wednesday was the Cubs acquiring Mike Soroka. Among pitchers with at least 80 IP, he's in the top 25 in K%, but has been hurt by a 68.4% LOB% that should be on the rise. His expected ERA (xERA) is over 1.5 runs lower than his actual ERA. The Cubs are one of the league's best defensive teams and the Nationals are one of the worst, so a team strapped for starting pitching help picked up a good one with a lot of positive signs moving forward.

**atthehalf** · 2025-07-31T11:57:43+00:00

Also I feel that the Metropolitans gave up too much in prospects for Helsley-the thing about New York is some guys get New Yorkitis and can't perform day in and day out under that much scrutiny. The Cardinals got IF Jesus Baez, RHP Nate Dohm, RHP Frank Elissalt all of which are GOLD. Then to get Tyler Rogers they gave up OF Drew Gilbert, RHP Jose Butto, RHP Blade Tidwell-all GOLD! Drew Gilbert can play any outfield position!

For Greg Soto they gave up RHP Wellington Aracena, RHP Cameron Foster. Again the Orioles won too! This was absurd to give a treasure trove of prospects and they would get beat in a short playoff series by a hot wildcard team like the Fish...

The Metropolitans gave up too much in my opinion...

**atthehalf** · 2025-07-31T12:06:15+00:00

Also me personally I like the Wanderers this evening vs the Sailors-too many moving parts and secondly they are off of a 7 game road trip with no rest

**atthehalf** · 2025-07-31T12:13:27+00:00

Here's my moves

Wanderers/Sailors UNDER 7.5 Rocker/Kirby 2 UNITS
Wanderers+135 Rocker 2 UNITS
Bombers-115 Stroman 2 UNITS (I TRIED IT-THEY MUST KNOW SOMEHTING THAT I DON'T-MY STOMACH HURT WHEN I GAVE HIM MY STAKE)
Braves/Red Leggins OVER 9.5 Carrasco/Abbott 2 UNITS (I MEAN IT IS CARLOS CARRASCO-DOES HE EVEN THROW 90 MPH ANYMORE?)

**atthehalf** · 2025-07-31T15:32:19+00:00

I couldn't do it. I had to bet out of Bombers.

**atthehalf** · 2025-07-31T18:07:50+00:00

Ok. I stand corrected. The sharps have spoken LOL!

**atthehalf** · 2025-07-31T20:36:34+00:00

Ok so support has been pulled for the Braves/Red Leggins in what is being called a big money blast to get the line up to 9.5 before the sharps came back and blasted the UNDER priced at 9.5 so feel free to go UNDER 9 now with alacrity

**atthehalf** · 2025-08-01T03:48:10+00:00

Welp-Hard Rock backed are about to go 3-0 today-since I am offering their stuff I am going to mind my own business and simply give out their offerings from here on out with no cut on them LOL!

Our runner is going to make rounds later on tomorrow than usual so I won't have the information readily available early in the day-so tune in by the evening say about an hour before the games begin. If they have an opinion on the early game between Orioles and Cubs then I will publish their wishes.

July was my first losing month of the season...what a piss off