CK's 2025 MLB Thread

**atthehalf** · 06-22-25, 09:38 AM

1:30 Pale Hose/Jays UNDER 9 Houser/Bassitt
1:30 Pale Hose/Jays UNDER 4.5 FF

**atthehalf** · 06-22-25, 10:07 AM

Yikes! The wind is blowing out to dead center at 15 MPH at Wrigley today

**atthehalf** · 06-22-25, 10:19 AM

2:00 Red Leggins/Cardinals UNDER 9 Abbott/Mikolas
2:00 Brews/Twinkies UNDER 9.5 Priester/Festa

**atthehalf** · 06-22-25, 10:33 AM

Something smells fishy here. Brandon Pfaadt has 3, 4, 0, 2, and 5 K's in his last 5 starts. But all of a sudden he has a line of 5.5 for K's against the Rox today which is bizarre. I looked up Austin Jones (umpire for today) and he gives out a whopping 18.3 K's per game (WOW!) and Pfaadt has K'd up 34.3% of all of the Rox batters that he has faced. So where there's fire there's smoke....

He does have 63% rostership so don't go having him too high if you're streaming-the juice isn't worth the squeeze

Snakes (Pfaadt) OVER 5.5 K's +110

**atthehalf** · 06-22-25, 01:28 PM

Halos-110 Hendricks

**atthehalf** · 06-22-25, 01:36 PM

Wow! The Rays relivers just killed my under ticket LOL! The bad beats...oh the horror

**atthehalf** · 06-22-25, 01:54 PM

Just heard my move on the Twinkies got refunded-Festa didn't start-Danny Coulombe did. Be sure to check with your books and see if you were properly refunded for that move

**atthehalf** · 06-22-25, 02:02 PM

I think one of the Tigers home run balls just landed on my front lawn...

**atthehalf** · 06-22-25, 02:15 PM

4:00 Astronauts/Halos UNDER 9 Gusto/Hendricks
4:00 Guardians/A's UNDER 9.5 -120 Cecconi/Sears
4:00 Red Sox/Giants UNDER 7.5 -120 Giolito/Ray
4:00 Royals/Fathers UNDER 8.5 Lugo/Vasquez

**atthehalf** · 06-22-25, 02:19 PM

Pacers/Thunder UNDER 214.5 Game 7 2 UNITS

**atthehalf** · 06-22-25, 05:14 PM

Royals got bullpenitis! I went to the store for a six pack and came back and it's no longer 2-0 LOL!

**atthehalf** · 06-22-25, 05:36 PM

Giolito burned me with that last walk to go 6 frames but 5-2...pisser

**atthehalf** · 06-22-25, 05:52 PM

Alright on to the Metropolitans vs Blunts

Chric Conroy is your typical OVER umpire although he is by all means a "pitchers" umpire with 1704 K's per game, He is 9-5 for the OVER with an average of 10.50 RPG. When put up against a 9 he is 1-1-0. The home team is 7-7 so he is neutral as hell. I have both of these guys xwOBA estimated at over .340 which is in line with SAVANT.

However good teams at home losing big to other good teams as a favorite are usually good to go for the RL. Luzardo has the worse of the ERA tonight and is FAVORED. That's all you need to know. I have Luzardo ranked at #4 and Peterson at #11

Blunts-1.5 +164 RL Luzardo 2 UNITS

**atthehalf** · 2025-06-23T11:14:06+00:00

With some amazing one run losses approaching 50 in number...

RECORD UPDATE (MONITORED AT THE ACTION NETWORK)

493-495-7 +20.29 UNITS

**atthehalf** · 2025-06-23T11:39:50+00:00

Expect pitching changes throughout the day as this is a week with a lot of interleague action boys

**atthehalf** · 2025-06-23T21:04:36+00:00

6:30 Wanderers+113 Corbin
7:30 Sailors-135 Woo 2 UNITS
7:30 Cubs-115 Brown 3 UNITS

7:30 Sailors/Twinkies UNDER 9 Woo/Ober
7:00 Braves/Metropolitans UNDER 8.5 Schwellenbach/Blackburn
7:30 Snakes/Pale Hose UNDER 9 Rodriguez/Smith
7:30 Cubs/Cardinals UNDER 9 Brown/Liberator 2 UNITS

I have to be insane taking an under in a game which Blackburn is involved in

**atthehalf** · 2025-06-23T21:09:54+00:00

Gimme a second-I have some FF's

**atthehalf** · 2025-06-23T21:12:05+00:00

Ok here we go

Cubs/Cardinals UNDER 4.5 FF
Buccos/Brews UNDER 4.5 FF
Braves/Metropolitans UNDER 4.5 FF

**atthehalf** · 2025-06-23T21:53:04+00:00

Those FF's are vital-such wild stuff happens during the course of the game when the relieves come in. Like you can have a great total number-the umps can be lined up in your favor and then a guy comes in from the bullpen who doesn't have it that day and then your total is toast you know what I'm saying.

Anyway

CRUMBS POD Eduardo Rodriguez (Snakes) He absolutely demolishes poor hitting teams. Eduardo pitched well against the Jays and I'm encouraged that he can pull off a stream against the White Sox and possibly the Marlins after, too. However-stay away from betting on the Snakes in this spot. The Arizona Diamondbacks are 0-9 SU in E Rod's last 9 starts, following a start in which he recorded 3 or more K's. The Snakes were favorites in EIGHT of these games!

Still I do see him giving me my 5/3/1/K/W and a TASTY PAYOUT since he is rostered up just 6%. A 94% share split? I ain't passing on that homie

**atthehalf** · 2025-06-23T22:33:04+00:00

I know that this sounds strange....but the xwOBA numbers are there....

Nats+154 Parker

**atthehalf** · 2025-06-23T23:00:00+00:00

The xwOBA has Walker Buehler with a .456 (YIKES!) Let's go the other way

Halos-105 Kochanowicz

**atthehalf** · 2025-06-24T01:11:44+00:00

Damn the Cubs are sleep walking!

**atthehalf** · 2025-06-24T02:48:15+00:00

Big envelope comin in the morning for E-Rod. My man gave me 6 frames and 10 K's and 2 walks!

**atthehalf** · 2025-06-24T11:12:03+00:00

Chase Burns vs NYY - This is SO FUN. Grab him in every league. It's the Yankees in GABP (and it's hot out there so the ball will travel a bit) but pick him up and watch the actual live broadcast. I picked this guy up in the offseason and now it's time to unveil him. The Bombers have no idea what's coming from the jewel of the Red Leggins farm system

**ProSportsEdge** · 2025-06-24T11:26:49+00:00

Originally posted by atthehalf

It's not about the action. It's about building up your bankroll. Everyone who makes moves on MLB every day is going to end up with a record of around .500. It's about knowing when to go big.

Get that—smart bankroll management is everything. It’s not just about betting every day, it’s about picking your spots and pressing when the timing’s right. Solid advice.