Hold on for a minute-I need to research Chayse McDermott of the Orioles-need to see if his skill set matches up with the Twinkies batters in game 2
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Damn..so as vast as my knowledge of arms is I can't find much on him other than he missed some time in 2024 with a stress reaction in his right shoulder. Let's stand down on this-I think that this may be the game when Brandon Hyde figures out that he may need to start going the route of mixing and matching his pitching staff with complete bullpen games to save his jobComment -
Ryan Weathers (Fish) He's back! And throwing hard in his rehab starts! And it's the Cubs in a fresh off the injured list start. Stash him on the IL, then leave him there for today. We'll assess what to do after his outing tonight.
It's still looking like a good spot to fade the ML parlay and grab some Fish+1.5 tonight-from what I know about James Taillon he's not the best at K's. It's the Marlins and despite Taillon's lack of strikeouts, he could return one per inning. I would leave him off of my squads altogetherComment -
Moving on
7:00 Rot.#907 Nats+145 Parker 2 UNITS
6:00 Rot.#934 Cardinals+125 Gray 2 UNITSComment -
Taillon allowed NINE hits and 5 earned in his last start vs the Metropolitans-so he is in bad form. From the research the Cubs are 0-8 straight up when he takes the mound following a bad quality start.
Let's start whittling away at the big ML parlay starting now with this and continue on selectively chipping
Fish+0.5 -105 FF RL WeathersComment -
Ok here are my TOTALS (Already have Red Sox/Tigers UNDER 7.5)
Buccos/Metropolitans OVER 8 -110
Nats/Braves OVER 9 -115
Rox/Wanderers OVER 9 -109
That's it for MLB for today-lemme sniff out the NBAComment -
El Paso NBAComment -
Damn.... I got Aaron Judged in the 8th frame! Dude is so awesome. He blasted the Sailors awayComment -
Welp-can't say that I didn't tell y'all that Weathers is back and he looked fantastic!
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CRUMBS STREAMER POD RECORD 34-14
Alright-today it's basically who isn't starting deGrom and Brown-after that it's slim pickins! Sugano has shown stellar command-but not enough K's. So I am forced to dig deep into my bag of tricks to come up with a guy who can give me the golden 5/3/1/K/W ratio.
The Red Leggins are averaging AVERAGING 9 K's per game-so Bryce Wilson (Pale Hose) it is. He has a 3.24 WRA on the highway and his xwOBA is set at .322 which isn't that great-but he does average 18.8 K's vs the Red Leggins lineup and an ERA of .222 and an 88.7% exit velocity.
CRUMBS POD
Bryce Wilson (Pale Hose)Comment -
Right back at ya
Osvaldo Bido has only 2% rostership-so you know that the books are rooting for the A's today and so am I. They have an amazing way of blasting away in road games after giving up 7 or more runs their previous games. Matt Sauer in only (get this) 8 at bats vs the Athletics he has an ERA of .625; BOP .625; 1.500 SLG and 2.125 OPS with 2 dingers and a double. Bido 22 AB; 6K's; 2 BB; .227 ERA, 292 OBP; .364 SLG; .655 OPS
I rarely go over -140 for a favorite so the RL it is for the Orioles
Pale Hose (Wilson) OVER 3.5 K's +100
A's+175 Bido
Orioles-1.5 +145 RL Sugano 2 UNITSComment -
Ok so at some point in these crazy ass NBA playoffs order has o be restored in terms of a good number right?
The NBA 216.5 has gone over 70% this season
Hell even the 216 is 57%
Only once during this series have the teams combined to have less than 216 points and that was game 4. this is an evident market over correction
Thunder/Nuggets OVER 216Comment -
CRU,MBS POD Record 34-15 now and Bryce was one K away from gold-just about sums up my season LOL!
Today I am rolling with Cade Horton (Cubs) He only has 15% rostership which makes for a good split. I wonder if we'll see more than cut-fastball + sweeper. I love the fastball's ability to induce outs and the White Sox should abide.
Ok I will be back later on with the goodsComment -
Right off the top there's line of the day. No doubt who the books will be rooting for in this one.
The Fish are 16-26 and the Rays are 20-23. The Fish are FAVORED -112 (O/U 8). This is definitely going to inspire bettors to take the Rays and eventually make the Fish into a dangerous underdog. When that happens I will be on them and the OVER. Let the patient waiting beginComment -
Some more oddity here. The Jays were just -178 in their last game and are now underdogs of -130 and rising to the Tigers-how does that happen? The same can be said of the Braves who were -210 their last game and are now underdogs to the Red Sox. Talk about variance! Tigers and Red Sox are looking pretty good right now-I may break my cycle of taking home underdogs FF ML for the Jays game-that variance is pretty fierce and very noticeable. Let's check out how the line moves on those and get back to them after the books assume their positionComment -
By far the best two moves on the board for the books are the Metropolitans and the Cardinals for value and situation with plus money involvedComment -
5/16/25
6:30 Red Leggins+100 FF Singer
7:00 Fish+100 ML FF Meyer
7:00 Rays/Fish OVER 8 or 8.5 depending on your book Bradley/Meyer
7:30 Cardinals+126 Pallante (FULL GAME)
8:00 Brews+105 FF ML Patrick
7:00 Braves-110 Sale FULL GAME
7:00 Jays+105 FF FrancisComment -
Hard Rock backed TOTALS - will be on these too -LIVE BET in on them if you are tardy to the party
Metropolitans/Bombers UNDER 8.5
Tigers/Jays UNDER 8.5
Braves/Red Sox UNDER 7.5
Cardinals/Royals UNDER 8.5
Astronauts/Wanderers UNDER 7.5
Twinkies/Brews UNDER 7.5
Sailors/Fathers UNDER 8.5
A's/Giants UNDER 7.5Comment -
For my CRUMBS POD today I am rolling with
(Royals) Noah Cameron. He kept the lights on with 6 frames earlier this year for me n a spot start when Cole Ragans was on the IL. This will in all likelihood be a very short stay on this level as Lugo isn't expected to be out for any sort of significant time.
This guy has 0% rostership and you know me-I am looking to always find a way to make 5 dimes or so on one move. I haven't figured out how I am gonna use him in this conventional way yet-gimme some hoursComment -
Get down on
Metropolitans/Bombers UNDER 9.5Comment -
BET OUT of the Metropolitans/Bombers UNDER by taking the OVER 10. Something is p with this gameComment -
3:00 Jays+100 ML FF Lauer
4:00 Rays/Fish OVER 8 Rasmussen/Alcantara
6:30 Red Leggins-103 FF ML Petty
7:00 Twinkies/Brews UNDER 7.5 Lopez/Myers
7:00 Cardinals/Royals UNDER 8.5 -105 Mikolas/Cameron
7:00 Braves/Red Sox UNDER 9.5 -120 Holmes/Giolito
7:00 Astronauts+104 Blanco 3 UNITS
8:30 Sailors/Fathers UNDER 8.5 -120 Hancock/Pivetta
9:00 A's/Giants UNDER 8 Severino/RouppComment -
Some of this chalk this weekend is absurd!Comment -
The jays played for me-after the fact from my FF move-no sweat. It all comes together tomorrowComment