the best lock in baseball

AC1318 · 07-05-07, 11:41 PM

the best lock is don't bet, keep your $$$ in your pocket

shrax4 · 07-06-07, 01:26 AM

Originally posted by AC1318

the best lock is don't bet, keep your $$$ in your pocket

What fun would keeping your money be?

EaglesPhan36 · 07-06-07, 03:23 AM

I love betting OVERS - if you pick & choose your spots you can enjoy a nice wining % ... I much more like rooting for offense than for pitching/bullpens to hold a team down. I think I probably bet somewhere near a 10-1 ratio on overs vs. unders during a given stretch.

capitalist pig · 07-06-07, 07:24 AM

Lots of high scoring games yesterday.

Later

LT Profits · 07-06-07, 01:41 PM

Eagles,

I am the TOTAL OPPOSITE, as I would say 90% of my total bets are on the UNDER.

Anyhow, we digress! Crayzee, I have not done this season, but your approach would have been disastrous the last three years. From 2004 to 2006, excluding Pushes, the Over was 3415-3524, for an Over percentage of 49.2%. However, check out the breakdown between single-digit and double-digit totals:

Code:

Major League Baseball Totals - 2004 to 2006
Total      	Over	Under	Over%
9.5 or less	2704	2720	49.9%
10 or more	711	804	46.9%

All Games 	3415	3524	49.2%

The Over% for games with single-digit total was 49.9%, but double-digit totals only went Over 46.9% of the time! That means that with some filters, we could probably come up with some nice angles for playing the UNDER when the Total is set at 10+.

EBone · 07-06-07, 05:00 PM

The best lock in baseball is: my July selections. I don't think I've won in July the last 5 years. Faders, be on the look out, baby.

I changed my avatar to KCC so I can start kicking ass but keep my head. We'll see if I can change my luck. If not, you are welcome to all the faders out there.

E