Yanks/Bos over: It should be more of the same between these two. Mussina is shaky, and Schilling can get hit. It will be tough for each to get through too many innings before suffering a big one.
Hou RL: If Wells goes 7 or 8 and gives up 1 or 0 runs, a small possibility, Stl should win. But if he goes 5 and gives up 6 or 7 runs, a very real possibility, Houston should win by a lot. Sampson is also very good when he is on.
Cle ML, over: Detroit could slug their way to a win here, as they always could, but will they do it over 40% of the time? Durbin and the Detroit pen don't inspire confidence at all. A good way to play it might be a bet on the Cle RL, cover that with a bet on the Cle ML, and then cover those 2 with a parlay on Det and the over. I'd wait on the parlay since Det is likely to go up, and the over may go up or down but is not likely to go up so much as to offset Detroit's movement.
Florida ML: Capuano is too shaky to be this much of a favorite IMO. Florida's pen is now bolstered with the return of Owens, and Kim, when he is on, can be effective. Florida has the bats to win a slugfest, and the pen to hold a late lead. This game should be competitive, the line on Fla is too big IMO.
SD ML: This is a game to go against Washongton IMO. Speigner is a few notches below the other unknown Washington starters who have contributed greatly to their recent winning ways. On the other side, Germano does not seem to be a fluke, and going against a so-so offense in a pitcher's park suits him well.
Minn/Oak under: Both of these starters should be solid in this game at pitcher-friendly McAfee, trading shutout innings and the occasional run. The game could get over 9, but will more likely stay under IMO.
Hou RL: If Wells goes 7 or 8 and gives up 1 or 0 runs, a small possibility, Stl should win. But if he goes 5 and gives up 6 or 7 runs, a very real possibility, Houston should win by a lot. Sampson is also very good when he is on.
Cle ML, over: Detroit could slug their way to a win here, as they always could, but will they do it over 40% of the time? Durbin and the Detroit pen don't inspire confidence at all. A good way to play it might be a bet on the Cle RL, cover that with a bet on the Cle ML, and then cover those 2 with a parlay on Det and the over. I'd wait on the parlay since Det is likely to go up, and the over may go up or down but is not likely to go up so much as to offset Detroit's movement.
Florida ML: Capuano is too shaky to be this much of a favorite IMO. Florida's pen is now bolstered with the return of Owens, and Kim, when he is on, can be effective. Florida has the bats to win a slugfest, and the pen to hold a late lead. This game should be competitive, the line on Fla is too big IMO.
SD ML: This is a game to go against Washongton IMO. Speigner is a few notches below the other unknown Washington starters who have contributed greatly to their recent winning ways. On the other side, Germano does not seem to be a fluke, and going against a so-so offense in a pitcher's park suits him well.
Minn/Oak under: Both of these starters should be solid in this game at pitcher-friendly McAfee, trading shutout innings and the occasional run. The game could get over 9, but will more likely stay under IMO.