Grade these MLB props.

Collapse
X
 
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts
  • seaborneq
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 09-08-06
    • 22556

    #1
    Grade these MLB props.
    To lead the major league in homers
    A Jones 15-1
    T Hafner 15-1
    M Texieria 20-1
    J Giambi 30-1

    Rangers 4-1 to win the AL West

    Lidge 11-1 to lead the league in saves

    Zambrano 10-1 to lead the league in wins

    Give me some feedback. Thanks
  • moses millsap
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 08-25-05
    • 8289

    #2
    Originally posted by seaborneq

    Lidge 11-1 to lead the league in saves
    Maybe look for a prop that has Lidge to lead the league in BLOWN saves?
    Comment
    • Willie Bee
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 02-14-06
      • 15726

      #3
      Yeah, sadly I have to agree with Owned on this one. Lidge may not even lead his own team in saves by the end of this month, much less the league at the end of the season.
      Comment
      • ShowMeDaMoney
        SBR MVP
        • 04-04-07
        • 1056

        #4
        Pujols ruined Lidge's career when he hit that earth shattering homer in the post season. Guy has been awful ever since. Like your Zombrano prop best of all those. Best of luck
        Comment
        • seaborneq
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 09-08-06
          • 22556

          #5
          Looks like I made a mess of these wagers as of now. No home runs, saves, or wins from any of the above.
          Comment
          • rjt721
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 02-06-07
            • 7929

            #6
            Rangers have no shot of winning the West.

            Hafner at 15-1 has some value.
            Comment
            • seaborneq
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 09-08-06
              • 22556

              #7
              Oh, I forgot, I also have Matt Holliday at 100-1 to lead the league in homers. Feedback. Thanks.
              Comment
              • RickySteve
                Restricted User
                • 01-31-06
                • 3415

                #8
                All of these have negative expectation.
                Comment
                • mavs1978
                  SBR Sharp
                  • 03-18-07
                  • 341

                  #9
                  rangers is a good bet.. buy you should do better than 4-1.. 6-1 is more like it
                  Comment
                  • seaborneq
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 09-08-06
                    • 22556

                    #10
                    Originally posted by mavs1978
                    rangers is a good bet.. buy you should do better than 4-1.. 6-1 is more like it

                    I had a choice of the Mariners 5-1, and just a few more ridiculous non existent teams to win their divisions. I wish I could have gotten better odds but the public thinks that the Cubs, Phils, Brew Crew and Giants have a great chance to win their divisions. Those prices have come down to the point where 7/5 are the best odds on the non favorites.
                    Comment
                    • RickySteve
                      Restricted User
                      • 01-31-06
                      • 3415

                      #11
                      Originally posted by seaborneq
                      I had a choice of the Mariners 5-1, and just a few more ridiculous non existent teams to win their divisions. I wish I could have gotten better odds but the public thinks that the Cubs, Phils, Brew Crew and Giants have a great chance to win their divisions. Those prices have come down to the point where 7/5 are the best odds on the non favorites.
                      Where the hell are you playing???

                      I took TEX +650 and SEA +1500 last week.
                      Comment
                      • seaborneq
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 09-08-06
                        • 22556

                        #12
                        Originally posted by RickySteve
                        Where the hell are you playing???

                        I took TEX +650 and SEA +1500 last week.
                        Bodog. Look on their website right now and you will see all of their odds for winning the division still. Where are you playing to get those great odds. The Mariners were only 5-1 to start.
                        Comment
                        • RickySteve
                          Restricted User
                          • 01-31-06
                          • 3415

                          #13
                          Originally posted by seaborneq
                          Bodog. Look on their website right now and you will see all of their odds for winning the division still. Where are you playing to get those great odds. The Mariners were only 5-1 to start.
                          You have to find some new books. Bodog's hold on futures is astronomical. Sometimes their utter incompetence at line-setting overcomes that, but not very often.
                          Comment
                          • seaborneq
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 09-08-06
                            • 22556

                            #14
                            Originally posted by RickySteve
                            You have to find some new books. Bodog's hold on futures is astronomical. Sometimes their utter incompetence at line-setting overcomes that, but not very often.

                            RickySteve, please help me. Who do you use? Who do you think is the best at offering future odds? Or better yet, do you know of anysportsbooks that offer parlays on regular season win totols. Thanks
                            Comment
                            • RickySteve
                              Restricted User
                              • 01-31-06
                              • 3415

                              #15
                              Originally posted by seaborneq
                              RickySteve, please help me. Who do you use? Who do you think is the best at offering future odds? Or better yet, do you know of anysportsbooks that offer parlays on regular season win totols. Thanks
                              For futures, you need to use everyone. These aren't like single game lines where 90% of the books have the exact same price. Just about every book has the best future price on something.

                              As far as season win parlays, I've never looked at that. There's too much correlation for any thinking book to offer them, but shockingly few books fall into that category so they may be out there somewhere.
                              Comment
                              • seaborneq
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 09-08-06
                                • 22556

                                #16
                                Originally posted by RickySteve
                                For futures, you need to use everyone. These aren't like single game lines where 90% of the books have the exact same price. Just about every book has the best future price on something.

                                As far as season win parlays, I've never looked at that. There's too much correlation for any thinking book to offer them, but shockingly few books fall into that category so they may be out there somewhere.
                                I used to be with Bowman's and they offered parlays on regular season win totals in MLB, NBA, and NFL. Of course they are now consumed. It has been hard trying to find another sportsbook that offers those wagers. I love them because it gives you action on EVERY game of the season for one price.
                                Comment
                                • seaborneq
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 09-08-06
                                  • 22556

                                  #17
                                  ARod is going to ruin my homer happy futures. Damn.
                                  Comment
                                  SBR Contests
                                  Collapse
                                  Top-Rated US Sportsbooks
                                  Collapse
                                  Working...