Phillies, Rockies Game 4 NLDS Preview

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  • Willie Bee
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 02-14-06
    • 15726

    #1
    Phillies, Rockies Game 4 NLDS Preview
    Phillies, Rockies Game 4 NLDS Preview

    With Sunday night’s icy Game 3 finally in the books, and the books finally releasing their numbers for Monday's contest, the Philadelphia Phillies are a win away from their second-straight trip to the NLCS.

    On a freezing night in Denver, Brad Lidge survived two walks in the ninth to complete the Phillies’ 6-5 win in Game 3 and give Philadelphia a 2-1 lead in their NLDS with Colorado. Now comes a possible deciding Game 4 in what should be a warmer, though still chilly Coors Field.

    Phillies fans and backers had to have been on edge Sunday evening when Lidge gave two Rockies hitters free passes to the basepaths, putting the tying run in scoring position and bringing Colorado slugger Troy Tulowitzki to the plate. The on again, off again Philly closer got Tulo to fly out to left and end a frosty contest that lasted over four hours and no doubt has Phillies fans bleary-eyed today with the game ending after the final out was recorded after 2:00 a.m. Eastern.

    Now comes the question can Lidge do it again?

    Lidge may not see the mound tonight with Charlie Manuel sending Cliff Lee to the hill for Game 4. The lefthander was masterful in Game 1, going the distance with a six-hitter as Philadelphia eased out to a 1-0 lead in the series with a 5-1 win. This will be his first start at Coors Field, however, and the bundled-up Colorado crowd will no doubt be urging their Rockies on.

    Jim Tracy counters with his Game 1 starter as well, Ubaldo Jimenez. The righthander started that contest back at Citizen’s Bank Park strong before hitting the wall in the fifth and sixth with the key hits off the bats of Raul Ibañez and Jayson Werth. There had been some talk that Jason Marquis might get the Monday assignment, but the veteran righthander will probably be the first arm in should Jimenez run into any early trouble.

    Going with Jimenez in this home tilt makes the most sense for Tracy and the Rockies. If Tracy had opted for Marquis, he would have been forced to consider Jimenez for a possible Game 5 back in Philadelphia where in three career starts Jimenez has an 8.40 ERA with Colorado 0-3.

    With last night’s game ending so late, tonight’s lines have been slow going up and currently make the game out to be a pick ‘em with either team available at -105 to -110 and the total set at 8½. As difficult as it is to think of the Rockies dropping both games at home, I see no reason to play against Lee at this time. Philadelphia -105.

    STARTING PITCHERS
    Game 4, Mon, Oct 12, 6:07 p.m. (ET): Cliff Lee (8-4, 3.39 PHI; 16-18, 3.22 Overall) vs. Ubaldo Jimenez (17-16, 3.47)

    UMPIRE
    Ron Kulpa gets the call to make the calls behind the plate in this one. The native of St. Louis has been calling MLB games since 1999 and this year sported a 12-11 Home/Visitor mark with a 9-13-1 O/U.

    His last appearance as the plate umpire in a playoff game was Game 3 of the 2008 ALDS in Chicago between the White Sox and Rays. Down 2-1 in that one, the ChiSox avoided elimination with a 5-3 win over Tampa Bay.

    WEATHER
    There will be cloudy skies but only a 10% chance of rain and the thermometer should be in the mid-to-upper 40s at first pitch on Monday. Practically sub-tropical by Sunday’s standards. Nighttime winds are currently forecast out of the South at 5-10 MPH (out to center).

    NOTE: The W-L records shown for starting pitchers are their team's W-L mark when they start games. Statistical sources for this article were Retrosheet.org, Baseball-Reference.com and ESPN.com and of course, S-BEE-R-dot-com!
  • Wilforth
    Restricted User
    • 05-10-08
    • 16309

    #2
    Great analysis!

    No reason to fade Lee right now. Go Phillies!
    Comment
    • moses millsap
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 08-25-05
      • 8289

      #3
      dont see how the rockies can win this one after losing that game last night, it ends today
      Comment
      • hockey216
        SBR MVP
        • 08-20-08
        • 4583

        #4
        good analysis
        Comment
        • CK
          SBR High Roller
          • 07-22-09
          • 198

          #5
          Originally posted by moses millsap
          dont see how the rockies can win this one after losing that game last night, it ends today
          Agree - I like the Phillies with Lee again to take it, even at @ Coors. Phillies ML is Even money now. I like the under as well - expecting another duel between Lee / Jimenez that will go past the 7th inning.
          Comment
          • KC
            SBR MVP
            • 04-12-07
            • 1613

            #6
            Yeah the Rockies can't possibly win a must win game at home with their ace going. Colorado forces game 5 whether it's easy or they beat Lidge in the 9th.
            Comment
            • Willie Bee
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 02-14-06
              • 15726

              #7
              The masochist in me hopes you are correct KC, if only so I'll have a ballgame to watch on Tuesday night. Good luck.
              Comment
              • jjgold
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 07-20-05
                • 388179

                #8
                Phils -101
                Comment
                • lolbear
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 09-10-09
                  • 756

                  #9
                  Phillies make more sense in this one but I sense a cliff lee breakdown today at coors
                  Comment
                  • Kav
                    SBR MVP
                    • 02-25-09
                    • 3281

                    #10
                    philly +100 today, i got nothing else to really say about it lol. Lee or Jimenez? im gonna go with the philly ace who shut down the rockies before.
                    Comment
                    • 1800Gambler
                      SBR High Roller
                      • 07-27-09
                      • 182

                      #11
                      Originally posted by lolbear
                      Phillies make more sense in this one but I sense a cliff lee breakdown today at coors
                      I think you are correct, statistically the Phillies should be the play but i dont see lee's breaking pitch to be on with that colorado air. I think im going to be on the Rockies
                      Comment
                      • Irish Lumberjack
                        SBR MVP
                        • 12-04-07
                        • 2086

                        #12
                        Thanks for the great write up!
                        Comment
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