MLB Picks - Tuesday, 8/30/22

[LT Profits]

4 MLB Plays Tuesday

Cardinals / Reds OVER 10 -108
Mariners / Tigers UNDER 7.5 -103
Red Sox +120
Padres -117


YTD: 292-303-16, -17.91


All plays are Listed Pitchers unless ACTION is stated

Season low was -35.16 entering games of Thursday, 8/11/22

[spippen]

Good Luck today

[LT Profits]

1 MLB Pick Addition

5 MLB Plays Tuesday

Cardinals / Reds OVER 10 -108
Mariners / Tigers UNDER 7.5 -103
Red Sox +120
Pirates / Brewers OVER 9 -103
Padres -117

[44 Mag]

5 MLB Plays Tuesday

Cardinals / Reds OVER 10 -108
Mariners / Tigers UNDER 7.5 -103
Red Sox +120
Pirates / Brewers OVER 9 -103
Padres -117

Tigers game under 7.5 ? GL with that Boss.
Red Sox will be a tough bet, the sloppy way they are playing. They don't seem to care much. A guy on third with one out and the runner forgets to tag up?
The third baseman fields a DP ball and thinks it's out #3 ?
Little league stuff.

Once again, Cora and Bloom should be gone. JMO.

[Hugh Madbrough]

4 MLB Plays Tuesday

Cardinals / Reds OVER 10 -108
Mariners / Tigers UNDER 7.5 -103
Red Sox +120
Padres -117


YTD: 292-303-16, -17.91


All plays are Listed Pitchers unless ACTION is stated

Season low was -35.16 entering games of Thursday, 8/11/22

If I could pick your brain. Why do you like the Red Soxs? You picked them yesterday and today again. I'm just wondering.

[jjgold]

if this guy ever gets under 10 units watch out

[LT Profits]

1 Last MLB Pick Addition

6 MLB Plays Tuesday

Cardinals / Reds OVER 10 -108
Mariners / Tigers UNDER 7.5 -103
Red Sox +120
Pirates / Brewers OVER 9 -103
Angels +147
Padres -117

[LT Profits]

If I could pick your brain. Why do you like the Red Soxs? You picked them yesterday and today again. I'm just wondering.

Pretty boring answer, model liked them at the price as it has Minny 52% (-108) and it looked like Sox were taking a bit of money at the time.

That money has leveled off since, but still the best price I see now is +117, so I remain ever so slightly ahead of the game.

[LT Profits]

Tigers game under 7.5 ? GL with that Boss.
Red Sox will be a tough bet, the sloppy way they are playing. They don't seem to care much. A guy on third with one out and the runner forgets to tag up?
The third baseman fields a DP ball and thinks it's out #3 ?
Little league stuff.

Once again, Cora and Bloom should be gone. JMO.

I am high on Kirby and low on Tigers offense.

[Hugh Madbrough]

Pretty boring answer, model liked them at the price as it has Minny 52% (-108) and it looked like Sox were taking a bit of money at the time.

That money has leveled off since, but still the best price I see now is +117, so I remain ever so slightly ahead of the game.

In your model. Does pitching come into account? Even though Chris Archer gives up some early runs, I still like the twins for today. I have a small wager on them and Phillies @ Diamondbacks O 7. What are your thoughts on that game?

[LT Profits]

In your model. Does pitching come into account? Even though Chris Archer gives up some early runs, I still like the twins for today. I have a small wager on them and Phillies @ Diamondbacks O 7. What are your thoughts on that game?

Of course, model is at player level and uses default lineups until real lineups are known. I am not high on either starter but I actually have Crawford slightly "less bad".

No opinion on Zona total at 7.2

[44 Mag]

I am high on Kirby and low on Tigers offense.

The Tigers are in the midst of their best offensive stretch of the season. They have scored 32 runs in the last four games, including 20 while winning the last two games of a three-game series at Texas. Just my guess. GL Boss.

[LT Profits]

The Tigers are in the midst of their best offensive stretch of the season. They have scored 32 runs in the last four games, including 20 while winning the last two games of a three-game series at Texas. Just my guess. GL Boss.

You know me, I am a full body of work guy, small stretches like 4 games mean nothing to me.

[Hugh Madbrough]

Of course, model is at player level and uses default lineups until real lineups are known. I am not high on either starter but I actually have Crawford slightly "less bad".

No opinion on Zona total at 7.2

I agree on Crawford. Archer always starts off sloppy. Always allows a couple runs in the 1st couple until he settles down. Also what I've noticed on the games I've wagered on this past 3 weeks. The team that scores 1st ends up losing. Been on both sides the winning and losing side.

[SlickFazzer]

LT's model is getting HOT!

[spippen]

Cardinals look uninterested in competing tonight. It happens.

[Mike Huntertz]

Cardinals look uninterested in competing tonight. It happens.

BoSox could use some motivation also?

[GreatWallofTrump]

Back under 20 units. Time is running out LT.

[LT Profits]

Lost some momentum with worst night in about a month. Still around +14 since season low 3 weeks ago with one month + Playoffs left.

[spippen]

Red Sox are stuck with Cora. Players probably wanted him gone. If you watch a full Red Sox game, as 44mag pointed out, they are severely non motivated. They just want the season to end. There is not one spark of fire in any of these guys. Nothing.

[44 Mag]

Lost some momentum with worst night in about a month. Still around +14 since season low 3 weeks ago with one month + Playoffs left.

Tough night Boss. You'll rebound today with a sweep.