MLB Picks - Monday, 8/8/22

**GreatWallofTrump** · 08-08-22, 08:35 AM

Baltimore Toronto over 9 today. Risk 31 units. Get back to even.

**dirtycash66** · 08-08-22, 10:35 AM

Originally posted by LT Profits

1 MLB Play Monday

Yankees / Mariners UNDER 7.5 +102

YTD: 225-248-14, -31.62

All plays are Listed Pitchers unless ACTION is stated

Lt I would like to welcome you to the Minus 30 hotel. We were expecting you last week, what took you so long to get here? Hope you enjoy your stay. You forgot to add (season low)

**jjgold** · 08-08-22, 10:43 AM

Wow over 30 units

I thought I would never say it

**SlickFazzer** · 08-08-22, 10:43 AM

We must stay positive in regards to LT's model.

Paver has documented that historically the model's metrics begin to thrive
on or around August 15th.

**pavyracer** · 08-08-22, 10:49 AM

Originally posted by SlickFazzer

We must stay positive in regards to LT's model.

Paver has documented that historically the model's metrics begin to thrive
on or around August 15th.

We are on target for the season low on August 14th and then start hammering plays on August 15th. One more week of patience.

**LT Profits** · 08-08-22, 10:51 AM

Basically matches my Season Low from last season except this time it is MUCH later in the year, so no time for another 64-unit turnaround (-32 to +32).

Oh well, no choice but to see where this goes.

**LT Profits** · 08-08-22, 10:52 AM

1 MLB Pick Addition

2 MLB Plays Monday

Giants / Padres UNDER 7.5 -108
Yankees / Mariners UNDER 7.5 +102

**dirtycash66** · 08-08-22, 10:57 AM

Originally posted by LT Profits

Basically matches my Season Low from last season except this time it is MUCH later in the year, so no time for another 64-unit turnaround (-32 to +32).

Oh well, no choice but to see where this goes.

Its probably going to -40 in a couple of weeks.

**jjgold** · 08-08-22, 12:58 PM

If LT can get out -15 units by the end of the year he will consider it winning

**SlickFazzer** · 08-08-22, 01:04 PM

That would be a great come back.

**Brock Landers** · 08-08-22, 01:21 PM

Maybe he can be committed for being a serious compulsive gambler

**SlickFazzer** · 08-08-22, 02:24 PM

imagine if you followed the model from day 1 and are now down 30 units.

Would be very hard to continue - when do you throw in the towel?

**pavyracer** · 08-08-22, 03:39 PM

Originally posted by SlickFazzer

imagine if you followed the model from day 1 and are now down 30 units.

Would be very hard to continue - when do you throw in the towel?

A few people followed LT the first 2 weeks when he was up 18 units. Rich Boy (a big bettor from Canada ..he bets $10,000 on single hockey games and posts tickets). He made good coin with LTs picks. But he stopped after the first two weeks because he detected an anomaly in the model (model was giving unders on every single play and the hitters started getting hot). You got to know when to tail the model. There are a few weeks throughout the year where it does good.

**SlickFazzer** · 08-08-22, 03:48 PM

Being able to determine when a model is developing an anomaly is both a science and an art.

Bettors with the skillset to do so can often maximize a model's hot streaks while minimizing damage
when a model is in a downtrend/correction.

**dirtycash66** · 08-08-22, 04:23 PM

Originally posted by SlickFazzer

Being able to determine when a model is developing an anomaly is both a science and an art.

Bettors with the skillset to do so can often maximize a model's hot streaks while minimizing damage
when a model is in a downtrend/correction.

best comment I've come across all week.

**SlickFazzer** · 08-08-22, 05:27 PM

I wonder if the model ever says - Lets stop this, this fukking aint working anymore.

**matt711** · 08-08-22, 05:31 PM

Originally posted by SlickFazzer

I wonder if the model ever says - Lets stop this, this fukking aint working anymore.

Can you please post your picks stick, preferably in your own thread, let’s see what you have instead of complaining about Lt’s plays.

**SlickFazzer** · 08-08-22, 05:42 PM

Matt,

Sorry to offend.

Actually, Paver and I have been supporters of LT and his model. Paver has
documentation that the model, based on previous years should produce nice results
on or around August 15th.

**LT Profits** · 08-08-22, 05:49 PM

2 Last MLB Pick Additions

4 MLB Plays Monday

WAS/CUB score 1st inning YES +100
Pirates / Diamondbacks UNDER 8 -103
Giants / Padres UNDER 7.5 -108
Yankees / Mariners UNDER 7.5 +102

**matt711** · 08-08-22, 06:01 PM

Originally posted by SlickFazzer

Matt,

Sorry to offend.

Actually, Paver and I have been supporters of LT and his model. Paver has
documentation that the model, based on previous years should produce nice results
on or around August 15th.

My fault, all good, I’m probably frustrated, Bol

**SlickFazzer** · 08-08-22, 06:03 PM

Keep fightin Matt!

**bigbaby1976** · 08-08-22, 06:16 PM

Picks for the day

Blue Jays - Mets - Nationals - Diamondbacks - Athletics - Padres - Yankees

**BCaldwell32** · 08-08-22, 07:10 PM

You should already be in jail already for being a damn stalker!!!!

Originally posted by Brock Landers

Maybe he can be committed for being a serious compulsive gambler

**GreatWallofTrump** · 08-08-22, 08:44 PM

LT I pray you took my advice and played the over. It would rid your of all these haters. I never post a play unless I’m 80% sure if it’s outcome. LT: down 0.

**jjgold** · 08-08-22, 08:47 PM

There is gonna come to a point I think he’s going to go to a loan shark

I’m telling you you read stories about guys like LT, a guy that had it all and in five years later you don’t know what the heck happened to them when you see him

These are the guys in a fierce rainstorm he’s out on a tractor just riding and riding like he whacked out

**SlickFazzer** · 08-08-22, 08:51 PM

He has so much faith in the model.

I hope Paver is right for all involved that the metrics are due to turn on or around Aug 15th.

**pavyracer** · 08-08-22, 09:04 PM

Originally posted by SlickFazzer

He has so much faith in the model.

I hope Paver is right for all involved that the metrics are due to turn on or around Aug 15th.

I didn't like yesterday. He made a new season low. I was praying he wouldn't break the -29.52 low until August 15th. Now I'm reassesing the whole situation and I may issue an alert to wait a little bit longer after August 15th. The next 5 days are critical. LT must fight to bring the record under -30 units. If a bottom is not formed we can't start tailing.

**SlickFazzer** · 08-08-22, 09:08 PM

Thanks for the updates Paver. The next week is critical as we all know, lucky for all of us here
at SBR you are monitoring the metrics closely.

Originally posted by pavyracer

I didn't like yesterday. He made a new season low. I was praying he wouldn't break the -29.52 low until August 15th. Now I'm reassesing the whole situation and I may issue an alert to wait a little bit longer after August 15th. The next 5 days are critical. LT must fight to bring the record under -30 units. If a bottom is not formed we can't start tailing.

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 08-08-22, 09:25 PM

Originally posted by LT Profits

1 MLB Play Monday

Yankees / Mariners UNDER 7.5 +102

YTD: 225-248-14, -31.62

All plays are Listed Pitchers unless ACTION is stated

LT...have you been tailing "The Rat"?

**Chiefs83** · 08-08-22, 09:57 PM

I jumped in on the last 3

**Mike Huntertz** · 08-08-22, 11:26 PM

Originally posted by pavyracer

I didn't like yesterday. He made a new season low. I was praying he wouldn't break the -29.52 low until August 15th. Now I'm reassesing the whole situation and I may issue an alert to wait a little bit longer after August 15th. The next 5 days are critical. LT must fight to bring the record under -30 units. If a bottom is not formed we can't start tailing.

Posted like a savvy investor, I concur!

**jjgold** · 08-09-22, 05:21 AM

Is today the day?

**pavyracer** · 08-09-22, 07:04 AM

Originally posted by jjgold

Is today the day?

He is due for are 5-1 or 6-2 type of day. He has been batting .400 for a couple weeks now and the record has stalled.