MLB Picks - Friday, 4/15/22

**pavyracer** · 04-15-22, 08:45 AM

These NL unders are tricky. Does your model factor in the DH? What would the line be for this game if there was no DH? 6.5?

**dirtycash66** · 04-15-22, 09:14 AM

Originally posted by pavyracer

These NL unders are tricky. Does your model factor in the DH? What would the line be for this game if there was no DH? 6.5?

All these damn acronyms

**pimike** · 04-15-22, 09:17 AM

That seems to low. However Phil’s not hitting, Marlins not hitting.

Good luck LT

**pavyracer** · 04-15-22, 09:19 AM

Originally posted by dirtycash66

All these damn acronyms

NL = National League

DH - Designated Hitter (replaces the pitcher in batting order). Pitchers have a very low percentage on getting on base and are almost automatic outs.

**dirtycash66** · 04-15-22, 10:27 AM

Originally posted by pavyracer

NL = National League

DH - Designated Hitter (replaces the pitcher in batting order). Pitchers have a very low percentage on getting on base and are almost automatic outs.

Thanks for clearing that up.

**LT Profits** · 04-15-22, 11:48 AM

9 MLB Plays Friday

9 MLB Plays Friday

Diamondbacks / Mets UNDER 7.5 +102
Twins / Red Sox UNDER 10 -103
Nationals / Pirates UNDER 9 -108
Phillies / Marlins UNDER 7.5 +101 (ACTION)
Athletics / Blue Jays UNDER 9
Giants / Indians UNDER 7.5 -112 (ACTION)
Tigers +114
Braves / Padres OVER 8.5 -103
Mariners +103

**jjgold** · 04-15-22, 11:54 AM

Phils were never a good hitting team

**LT Profits** · 04-15-22, 12:01 PM

Originally posted by pavyracer

These NL unders are tricky. Does your model factor in the DH? What would the line be for this game if there was no DH? 6.5?

Yes I model at player level and I have default lineups for every team. I also have park factors and Miami is a -.

**Orbison** · 04-15-22, 12:52 PM

any thoughts on Indians +136?

**pavyracer** · 04-15-22, 02:06 PM

Originally posted by LT Profits

Yes I model at player level and I have default lineups for every team. I also have park factors and Miami is a -.

Thanks LT. Good to know that you are adjusting for the DH in NL. Will be hard to compare data from previous seasons when pitchers were hitting.

**jjgold** · 04-15-22, 03:21 PM

Posters are watching LT pics very closely before they make their plays

**Mike Huntertz** · 04-15-22, 03:55 PM

Originally posted by jjgold

Posters are watching LT pics very closely before they make their plays

In previous years I watch his picks early and when he is down about 25 units I jump in and make a killing.....alas I missed The SS LT this year.

**LT Profits** · 04-15-22, 03:57 PM

Originally posted by Orbison

any thoughts on Indians +136?

Don't like it, I have Giants 60% (-150)

I have Rodon a bit underrated, although not enough variance from real line to play Giants,

**LT Profits** · 04-15-22, 03:59 PM

Now up to 11 Plays

Like I always say when these days happen, I do not plan them in advance.

**LT Profits** · 04-15-22, 04:00 PM

2 MLB Pick Additions

11 MLB Plays Friday

Diamondbacks / Mets UNDER 7.5 +102
Twins / Red Sox UNDER 10 -103
Nationals / Pirates UNDER 9 -108
Phillies / Marlins UNDER 7.5 +101 (ACTION)
Athletics / Blue Jays UNDER 9
Giants / Indians UNDER 7.5 -112 (ACTION)
Tigers +114
Cubs / Rockies UNDER 10 -106 (ACTION)
Braves / Padres OVER 8.5 -103
Mariners +103
Reds / Dodgers UNDER 9 -108

**Pikachu** · 04-15-22, 04:03 PM

Wow big card today sir

**Rich Boy** · 04-15-22, 04:08 PM

**dirtycash66** · 04-15-22, 05:12 PM

Unders are not doing too good today, these pitchers are ass

**pavyracer** · 04-15-22, 05:26 PM

Originally posted by dirtycash66

Unders are not doing too good today, these pitchers are ass

It will be different at night games. Cooler weather and lights will give trouble to hitters. I trust in LT.

**pavyracer** · 04-16-22, 08:08 AM

Night games were good. Waiting for today's card. Maybe we get a dozen games again!

**LT Profits** · 04-16-22, 08:51 AM

Originally posted by pavyracer

Night games were good. Waiting for today's card. Maybe we get a dozen games again!

Just 3 to start