MLB Picks - Monday, 6/21/21

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  • stake1
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 12-19-18
    • 18116

    #36
    10 points to the poster to simply quote post#35
    Comment
    • LT Profits
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 10-27-06
      • 90963

      #37
      Originally posted by Brock Landers
      Great play on ARIZONA asshole

      The worst baseball team in YEARS.

      TYPICAL of your picks out of a hat
      Case in point. Whether Arizona wins or loses tonight changes nothing about my main point, which is where I finish at the end of the season is all that matters. And I already gave reasoning of why I bet DBacks, you don't have the long term success I have had by picking out of a hat. Sadly you lack the mental capacity to understand that, but it is what it is.
      Comment
      • Orbison
        SBR MVP
        • 09-07-20
        • 4692

        #38
        Originally posted by stake1
        You do not have a bankroll. So sure, "if bet" all-in compulsive degenerates = You
        Cannot model or gamble like Lt, or anyone for that matter who bets every single day.
        You do not have the financial capacity to sustain a bad stretch, for you everyday is a sprint to eat 3,000 calories of fast food and gamble everything you have on dart tosses
        Originally posted by stake1


        Oh and fredo: Nice bet yesterday on the Sixers moneyline
        You are the Joke, just like those soft-serve sixers
        Originally posted by stake1
        Fredo landers got booted by Bas and took Nicky with him.
        ever since bas got rid of fredo, he has been an angry dwarf
        Comment
        • jjgold
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 07-20-05
          • 388189

          #39
          LT has a wicked temper

          He threatened to kill
          Me last week

          Reported him
          To Genie
          Comment
          • Brock Landers
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 06-30-08
            • 45360

            #40
            Originally posted by LT Profits
            Case in point. Whether Arizona wins or loses tonight changes nothing about my main point, which is where I finish at the end of the season is all that matters. And I already gave reasoning of why I bet DBacks, you don't have the long term success I have had by picking out of a hat. Sadly you lack the mental capacity to understand that, but it is what it is.
            Yes, picking the worst team on a 17 game losing streak is solid capping.

            Go f uck yourself
            Comment
            • stake1
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 12-19-18
              • 18116

              #41
              Angry dwarf fredo calling Lt “asshole” telling him to fukkk himself
              doing that BS in Lt’s own thread.
              Anyone want to know why fredo is exceptionally angry tonight?
              Ok I’ll tell ya: he lost his welfare check on the soft serve Sixers -340
              Comment
              • DrunkHorseplayer
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 05-15-10
                • 7719

                #42
                Originally posted by LT Profits
                At least you get the point that I look at each game in a vacuum, Brock can't even seem to grasp that much.

                And FYI, from that perspective I get Arizona as a slight 51% (-104) favorite. Kelly and Anderson both blow, but I have Anderson around 20% below average and Kelly "only" 10% below.
                Arizona favored? You're psycho. I think sometimes you have to bend even the most strict of systems and this is one of them. GL today.
                Comment
                • Orbison
                  SBR MVP
                  • 09-07-20
                  • 4692

                  #43
                  Originally posted by Brock Landers
                  LOLOL

                  Arizona

                  Good God
                  have you been auto-fading Arizona regardless of price, pitcher, or matchup?
                  Comment
                  • Brock Landers
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 06-30-08
                    • 45360

                    #44
                    Originally posted by Orbison
                    have you been auto-fading Arizona regardless of price, pitcher, or matchup?
                    YES
                    Comment
                    • Orbison
                      SBR MVP
                      • 09-07-20
                      • 4692

                      #45
                      Originally posted by Brock Landers
                      YES
                      always for the same amount or do ever increase the fade? how large on the Brewers tonight?
                      Comment
                      • DrunkHorseplayer
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 05-15-10
                        • 7719

                        #46
                        Originally posted by Brock Landers
                        I've told you and you can't seem to comprehend, so I'll say it again. Maybe you'll understand...

                        YOU'RE ONLY AS GOOD AS YOUR LAST ENVELOPE
                        Said no knowledgeable gambler ever.
                        Comment
                        • stake1
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 12-19-18
                          • 18116

                          #47
                          Originally posted by DrunkHorseplayer
                          Said no knowledgeable gambler ever.
                          He does not gamble per se. He gets $ and shoves it all in on "if bets"
                          Loses. reloads, when he gets some more, and the same exact thing happens to his dwarf ass. Then he has the nerve to attack and troll Lt. the one guy at Sbr that has shown posters how to manage their bankrolls. He never chases. Never tries to make a "marathon" a sprint
                          Comment
                          • Brock Landers
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 06-30-08
                            • 45360

                            #48
                            Originally posted by Orbison
                            always for the same amount or do ever increase the fade? how large on the Brewers tonight?
                            Pounded them hard in the Giants series, a little less on dodgers who are all beat up.

                            Brewers to win $750
                            Comment
                            • LT Profits
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 10-27-06
                              • 90963

                              #49
                              Originally posted by DrunkHorseplayer
                              Arizona favored? You're psycho. I think sometimes you have to bend even the most strict of systems and this is one of them. GL today.
                              Look at the actual line, if you assume +107 is skewed by 17-game losing streak, then being favored without the skew is not at all far-fetched, especially since I only get -104. It is not as if I ended up with Arizona -150
                              Comment
                              • jjgold
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 07-20-05
                                • 388189

                                #50
                                If Arizona wins LT a genius
                                Comment
                                • DrunkHorseplayer
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 05-15-10
                                  • 7719

                                  #51
                                  Originally posted by LT Profits
                                  Look at the actual line, if you assume +107 is skewed by 17-game losing streak, then being favored without the skew is not at all far-fetched, especially since I only get -104. It is not as if I ended up with Arizona -150
                                  I agree but I think in this case you have to assume the line is skewed; I can't touch Arizona until they win once.
                                  Comment
                                  • stake1
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 12-19-18
                                    • 18116

                                    #52
                                    Originally posted by jjgold
                                    If Arizona wins LT a genius
                                    And landers will be out of action for a month
                                    Comment
                                    • stake1
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 12-19-18
                                      • 18116

                                      #53
                                      Nice call on Arizona
                                      Comment
                                      • jjgold
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 07-20-05
                                        • 388189

                                        #54
                                        Good call
                                        Comment
                                        • k310
                                          SBR High Roller
                                          • 10-11-11
                                          • 111

                                          #55
                                          LT ROCKS!
                                          Comment
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