Most Homerun props, where´s the value?

DoctorStrong · 06-28-20, 08:10 PM

Gallo is worth it

FlaxMartin · 06-28-20, 09:31 PM

Originally posted by DoctorStrong

Gallo is worth it

Indeed, that´s what I think. I can also manage to get JD Martinez at +3000...

FlaxMartin · 07-07-20, 08:33 PM

Whaddaya think, Cody Bellingar at +1800? Had 30 HRs before all star game last year..

Bob Loblaw · 07-14-20, 09:03 PM

I locked in Kris Bryant at 100/1 if ur looking for value. Gallo's the favorite. Not a whole lot of value there.

Bob Loblaw · 07-14-20, 10:16 PM

I can get Conforto 150/1 right now. Is he worth a shot? He's the only guy I bet last year. He still finished with 33 hr's in what I feel like was a disappointing year, at least in the first half

Also took Dylan Bundy 150/1 for the Cy and actually pretty stoked about that bet. He has the stuff, was a high pick and very highly touted for years, a change of scenery, has had great stretches where he shows his potential, and we see guys every year that you wouldnt think would be in the running that are either in the running or win it. The homerun ball has annihilated him, 70 hr's allowed the last 2 years, getting out of the AL east and camden yards should help tremendously. There isn't a whole lot of competition in the AL on name value at the moment. Obviously he probably wont win but I do think he has a shot in this strange season and 150/1 is ridiculous. Anybody with me?

FlaxMartin · 07-15-20, 12:42 AM

Originally posted by Bob Loblaw

I can get Conforto 150/1 right now. Is he worth a shot? He's the only guy I bet last year. He still finished with 33 hr's in what I feel like was a disappointing year, at least in the first half

Also took Dylan Bundy 150/1 for the Cy and actually pretty stoked about that bet. He has the stuff, was a high pick and very highly touted for years, a change of scenery, has had great stretches where he shows his potential, and we see guys every year that you wouldnt think would be in the running that are either in the running or win it. The homerun ball has annihilated him, 70 hr's allowed the last 2 years, getting out of the AL east and camden yards should help tremendously. There isn't a whole lot of competition in the AL on name value at the moment. Obviously he probably wont win but I do think he has a shot in this strange season and 150/1 is ridiculous. Anybody with me?

Joey Gallo down at +1000 at most books, I got him at +1600 so I cant be disappointed with that. Conforto at 150/1 is probably a good bet, I have no experience betting for the cy award.

I think Yelich at +2500 must be a decent bet also. Guy had 44 HR in 130 hames last year, still finished 6th overall.
Eugenio Suarez, who I haven´t seen play at all, finished 2nd last season, 4 HR behind Pete Alonso. He must be playable at +2500 also, right?

Fred The Hammer · 07-15-20, 02:21 AM

Betonline has Nick Castellanos Over 30.5 rbis -115. I'm a homer Reds fan, but thats a a gift if he doesn't miss time. The Reds picked up Moustakas and a Japanese All-Star Akiyama who had like a .400 obp over there. The Reds are going to score a ton of runs

FlaxMartin · 07-15-20, 02:31 AM

Originally posted by Fred The Hammer

Betonline has Nick Castellanos Over 30.5 rbis -115. I'm a homer Reds fan, but thats a a gift if he doesn't miss time. The Reds picked up Moustakas and a Japanese All-Star Akiyama who had like a .400 obp over there. The Reds are going to score a ton of runs

Shit, I can´t get that action since no books in europe have any lines on Castellanos

FlaxMartin · 07-20-20, 01:09 AM

Okay I settled for:
Bellinger most HR +1800
Yelich most HR +2500
Suarez most HR +2500

Bob Loblaw · 08-11-20, 10:11 PM

Originally posted by Bob Loblaw

I can get Conforto 150/1 right now. Is he worth a shot? He's the only guy I bet last year. He still finished with 33 hr's in what I feel like was a disappointing year, at least in the first half

Also took Dylan Bundy 150/1 for the Cy and actually pretty stoked about that bet. He has the stuff, was a high pick and very highly touted for years, a change of scenery, has had great stretches where he shows his potential, and we see guys every year that you wouldnt think would be in the running that are either in the running or win it. The homerun ball has annihilated him, 70 hr's allowed the last 2 years, getting out of the AL east and camden yards should help tremendously. There isn't a whole lot of competition in the AL on name value at the moment. Obviously he probably wont win but I do think he has a shot in this strange season and 150/1 is ridiculous. Anybody with me?

Dylan Bundy anyone?

Bob Loblaw · 08-11-20, 10:20 PM

Maybe I'm wrong but I feel like all stats being equal that Bundy would be a major underdog. It wouldn't be good enough to match Bieber/Cole/etc, he would have to significantly outpitch them in the eyes of the voters which sucks. Hope I'm wrong.

Also I know this is Dylan Bundy and 7 runs in 2 innings is likely coming any start now and the chance of a Cy will become an afterthought, but in the meantime this guy is in the top 3 and I'm having some fun with this bet. I didn't bet 50 dudes hoping 1 would pan out. Bundy is the only guy I got

FlaxMartin · 08-12-20, 06:28 AM

Originally posted by Bob Loblaw

Maybe I'm wrong but I feel like all stats being equal that Bundy would be a major underdog. It wouldn't be good enough to match Bieber/Cole/etc, he would have to significantly outpitch them in the eyes of the voters which sucks. Hope I'm wrong.

Also I know this is Dylan Bundy and 7 runs in 2 innings is likely coming any start now and the chance of a Cy will become an afterthought, but in the meantime this guy is in the top 3 and I'm having some fun with this bet. I didn't bet 50 dudes hoping 1 would pan out. Bundy is the only guy I got

I can get him at +2500 right now, doesn´t seem like much value, right?

Bob Loblaw · 08-14-20, 08:34 PM

Originally posted by FlaxMartin

I can get him at +2500 right now, doesn´t seem like much value, right?

No I wouldn't. 25-1 on a top 3 candidate seems great but it only takes one blowup in a short season to fall out of the running. Bundy will have that. Other guys can get away with it in the eyes of the voters but I don't think Bundy can

Bob Loblaw · 08-18-20, 09:20 PM

The ride was fun while it lasted but one bad start going up against Bieber and co. is all it takes to drop out of the race. As good as he was before today, he was still a longshot