I give up

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  • curious
    Restricted User
    • 07-20-07
    • 9093

    #1
    I give up
    Well, I cannot get a handle on capping baseball this year. Last two seasons it was my strongest sport. This year I feel like I have no idea how the game is even played.

    I'm out.
  • Panekkkk
    SBR MVP
    • 03-12-09
    • 2430

    #2
    Just track your systems without laying money down and wait for things to even out. GL dude.
    Comment
    • curious
      Restricted User
      • 07-20-07
      • 9093

      #3
      Spoke too soon....

      Just made back all my losses and then some with a $7,500 win on Texas. I just love dogs at home who are on a win streak vs away teams on a losing streak!!

      WOOOOOOHAAAAAHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH

      Comment
      • Panekkkk
        SBR MVP
        • 03-12-09
        • 2430

        #4
        Haha yeah I was backing you on that Texas pick!!! We both cashed :P. For future reference, bet on any team that scored in 6 or more innings the previous game when they're at home 14-6 so far this season and largely profitable over last 5 years.
        Comment
        • texhooper
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 01-05-09
          • 10001

          #5
          do they have to be at home when they scored in six innings in the previous game?
          Comment
          • cocknocker
            Restricted User
            • 11-06-08
            • 8001

            #6
            It's the relief pitching, curious. Worst I have ever seen. This also is usually my strongest sport for wagering, but I have had teams win the first 7 innings and then have the bullpen implode and steal victory from the jaws of defeat. Rest up and enjoy the summer and come back at football season with the "Counter" plays you're making in Vegas. Luv ya boy! Be safe
            Comment
            • solobass
              SBR MVP
              • 01-15-09
              • 1277

              #7
              CK right on the money. Bullpens have torched me so many effing times but it is part of the game. Now how do we adapt and overcome? This year i have adopted a lot of sabermetrics that are newer to me such as pythagorean expectation formula (with custom exponent of course). Curious, take a fresh look and to move forward you have to shatter old paradigms. Best of luck!
              Comment
              • Panekkkk
                SBR MVP
                • 03-12-09
                • 2430

                #8
                Originally posted by texhooper
                do they have to be at home when they scored in six innings in the previous game?
                Nope, it rarely happens that the team scores in 6 or more innings on the road the last game of a series before travelling home, but in those few rare occassions its still is profitable.
                Comment
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