Playing the Dog in a pitcher's park

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  • guitar711
    SBR High Roller
    • 12-14-08
    • 183

    #1
    Playing the Dog in a pitcher's park
    http://sports.espn.go.com/mlb/stats/parkfactor <--- MLB park factors

    So my theory is the dog beats the favorite more often than not in a close game (1 or 2 run differential) as opposed to a larger margin of victory.

    Since pitcher's parks should lend themselves to a lower scoring game (over time), I'm proposing a play on dogs at pitcher's parks (the top 10).

    Obviously some filtering would need to be done (i.e. don't bet on the Nationals etc. ). What do you think?
  • guitar711
    SBR High Roller
    • 12-14-08
    • 183

    #2
    I'm tracking this in my spreadsheet. Not actually placing the bets right now, just tracking.

    So far it is 5-4 +4.35 units. Looks like it will go 6-5 after 2 more games complete tonight for a net of +4.5 units.

    Only placing 1 unit per game. Taking the best available ML odds at any of the main books (mostly Matchbook).
    Comment
    • HoulihansTX
      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
      • 02-12-09
      • 30566

      #3
      Start posting plays, keep record, and the forum will keep on eye on your progress. Gl to you in the future.
      Comment
      • guitar711
        SBR High Roller
        • 12-14-08
        • 183

        #4
        Running at about 50% with the picks after almost a week. Right now +5.05 units.
        Comment
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