ok - ive seen this prop for his 3000th hit : double or a HR -115 OR the other prop is Single or a triple -125.........now let me share my thoughts.....hes got 61 hits ytd of which 12 of them are HR's and 11 of them are doubles so 11+12/ 61 gives me a 38% +/- probability that his 3000th hit will either be a HR or a double...vs his 3000th hit being a single or triple which has a 62% +/- chance of occurrence. am i missing something here or is this line skewed? looking forward to any insight here...tia 