It's A New Week. Time To Make Some $$ On Monday

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  • mgoncalves10
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 01-01-14
    • 931

    #281
    After a quick glance, I like the Nationals. Coming off a walk off win against the padres who haven't put much on the board, I can see Zimmerman having another solid outing ..
    Comment
    • pokerwhiz90
      SBR MVP
      • 10-02-10
      • 2618

      #282
      The only spread I like for the Nba is OKC -2.5, they should come back out strong especially considering the way they went down in Game2
      Comment
      • mgoncalves10
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 01-01-14
        • 931

        #283
        Padres @ Nationals

        The Padres haven't been scoring much, and apart from last night in the bottom of the 9th, the Nats hadn't put much on the board either. Washington has scored more than three runs just once in their last 7 games. The Padres have scored more than three in one of their last 8, so neither team is knocking it out of the park. Stults is 1-2 (4.35) with 9 K's in 20.2 IP. Zimmerman is 1-1 (3.92) with 23 K's in 20.2 IP.

        They've both had a rocky start this season, but I think this could be another tight game. Only edge I think is that the Nats could come in on a high after winning last night's game in walkoff fashion, which could give them some extra pep to their step.

        Stults is 1-0 against Washington in the last 3 years, with a 1.13 ERA, with the current Nats squad batting .079 against him in 38 at bats. Zimmerman is 1-2 with a 1.95 ERA, and the Padres have a .203 BA against him in 69 at bats.

        I'm gonna ride the Nats here.. Don't let me down Zimmerman!

        Nationals ML - Risking $46.50 to win $30
        Last edited by mgoncalves10; 04-24-14, 05:34 PM.
        Comment
        • pokerwhiz90
          SBR MVP
          • 10-02-10
          • 2618

          #284
          thats a good play, the padres have been1-6 the last 7 against the nats
          Comment
          • mgoncalves10
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 01-01-14
            • 931

            #285
            Bruins & Thunder (-2) - Risking $25 to win $52.42

            Blue Jays, Red Sox, Warriors (+5), Avalanche
            - Risking $26 to win $261.77
            Comment
            • pokerwhiz90
              SBR MVP
              • 10-02-10
              • 2618

              #286
              oh man, we must think alike, just placed the same bruins/thunder bet lol- im sure a million other people as well ROFL
              Comment
              • mgoncalves10
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 01-01-14
                • 931

                #287
                After that outrageous comeback, the damn Thunder blow it in OT..

                Come on Nationals!! Already in the 12th inning...
                Comment
                • mgoncalves10
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 01-01-14
                  • 931

                  #288
                  And a wild throw looks like it's gonna hurt the Nats unless they can pull of some magic in the bottom of the 12th
                  Comment
                  • mgoncalves10
                    SBR Wise Guy
                    • 01-01-14
                    • 931

                    #289
                    What a way to end that Nationals game.. outstretched SS makes a great catch, and then doubles up Harper who thought the ball was hit through the infield, game over!.. 2-4 for the day.. Might play a live bet on some hockey or basketball but still checking to see what I like...
                    Comment
                    • pokerwhiz90
                      SBR MVP
                      • 10-02-10
                      • 2618

                      #290
                      wow stupid thunder... two massive comebacks, just to choke it away lol
                      Comment
                      • Bullywully
                        SBR High Roller
                        • 04-16-14
                        • 215

                        #291
                        i'm sorry to say but i'm glad that stupid Washington team lose, they screwed up my last bet against LA angels, which they deserved to lose, grrr
                        Comment
                        • mgoncalves10
                          SBR Wise Guy
                          • 01-01-14
                          • 931

                          #292
                          I see a few games that stand out tonight in MLB, NBA and NHL.. Will share my thoughts a little later. Too bad there are no early games. Will have to look into some friday soccer matches

                          Hopefully we can get back on the winning train and make some money tonight
                          Comment
                          • RollinDo
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 09-04-13
                            • 13322

                            #293
                            Can you share some of your early thoughts on mlb specifically?
                            Also nhl faves?
                            I'm already on SF Giants -1 and Nats ML.
                            Also like Ducks and Blackhawks +1
                            Comment
                            • Bullywully
                              SBR High Roller
                              • 04-16-14
                              • 215

                              #294
                              I like the phillies, who are on a good run, against the diamondbacks, tonight. anyone else share my thought?
                              Comment
                              • pokerwhiz90
                                SBR MVP
                                • 10-02-10
                                • 2618

                                #295
                                i love the brewers tonight!
                                Comment
                                • mgoncalves10
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 01-01-14
                                  • 931

                                  #296
                                  Reds @ Braves

                                  Cincinnati: +135 ML / -170 RL
                                  Atlanta: -145 ML / +150 RL

                                  Atlanta continues their 6 game home stretch on Friday night against the Reds, who are coming off three straight victories against the Pirates. The Braves took two of three from the Marlins, and scored a combined seven runs in 3 games. They hand the ball to Ervin Santana (2-0, 0.86) who has been fantastic this season. In 21 innings pitched, he has given up 13 hits, 2 runs, 2 er's, 1 HR, 2 BB and has 24 k's. Opponents are batting .178 against him. Two of his games came against the Mets, who aren't the greatest offensive team, but nonetheless, impressive numbers.

                                  He will get his first look at the Reds tonight. Home or away, Santana has been lights out. And he will be up against a Cincinnati team that has scored 32 runs in their last 7 away games.

                                  The Reds have more right handed batters in their lineup, and Santana has been at his best against them. Righties are batting .226 against him in the last 4 years, with lefties posting a .251 batting average. And from the batters on the Reds that he has faced, they've been held to a .118 batting average in 34 at bats.

                                  His three performances this season have left the Braves very excited that they signed him after their injuries heading into the season.

                                  Homer Bailey will try to build off his last outing against the Cubs at Wrigley Field, where he went 6 innings, while giving up 6 hits, 3 walks and 8 k's. His previous three starts were far from impressive. 5 ER's at home against the Pirates, while he also gave up 4 ER's twice, home and away to the Cardinals. He's 1-1 this season with a 5.75 ERA, and things don't look to get much easier at Turner Field, where he is 0-1 (3.55) in 2 starts since 2011. He's pitched 12.2 innings there, giving up 16 hits, 5 ER's, 3 walks and 10 k's, with the Braves tagging him with a .314 batting average.

                                  Atlanta's has scored four runs just once in their last four games, so if Bailey can come up with a solid performance, this could be another tight game.

                                  Given Bailey's numbers this year, lefties have hit him well. They've put together a .486 ba against him, while right handed batters have hit .235. The Braves have a decent balance of right and left handed batters, but majority are right handed.

                                  With the way Santana has been pitching, coupled with how well the Braves play at home, I have to side with the Braves here.

                                  I also think that Under 7 could have some value, but it all depends which version of Homer Bailey shows up tonight.

                                  Share your thoughts..
                                  Comment
                                  • mgoncalves10
                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                    • 01-01-14
                                    • 931

                                    #297
                                    Originally posted by pokerwhiz90
                                    i love the brewers tonight!
                                    Yeah I'm not sure a write-up is needed for this game. Cubs have been collectively batting under .200 lately, and going up against the Brew Crew who have the best record in the majors, it doesn't look promising for them. Matt Garza is gonna have to sort himself out against his former team. He started the season well, but has been inconsistent as of late.

                                    Fortunately, Villanueva has been even worst. He's clearly just filling in until Jake Arrieta gets thrown into the rotation, and he knows that. He's 1-4 this season, and in his three starts, he's given up 15 ER's in just 12.12 innings pitched.

                                    The ML for the Brewers is at -171 right now, but I think as the day goes on, it could probably get much higher than that. I like the Brewers tonight, and may even take the chance of the RL in a parlay at +120.
                                    Comment
                                    • RollinDo
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 09-04-13
                                      • 13322

                                      #298
                                      I liked Atlanta at 1st too, but leaning more to Under 7.
                                      I have never done well backing or going vs Homer...seem to predict him to do the opposite.
                                      Probably going with Braves ML and Under 7 (bigger bet)
                                      Comment
                                      • mgoncalves10
                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                        • 01-01-14
                                        • 931

                                        #299
                                        Originally posted by RollinDo
                                        I liked Atlanta at 1st too, but leaning more to Under 7.
                                        I have never done well backing or going vs Homer...seem to predict him to do the opposite.
                                        Probably going with Braves ML and Under 7 (bigger bet)
                                        Yeah it's a tough one because Santana has been lights out, but you get the sense that sooner or later he's going to have a bad outing. But I like my chances taking the Braves at home. If it was in Cinci, I'd be more cautious..
                                        Comment
                                        • mgoncalves10
                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                          • 01-01-14
                                          • 931

                                          #300
                                          Also, for some afternoon footy... I like Marseille with the PK option. They are 3 pts back of Lyon, who have the last European spot, so they need the points. Nantes on the other hand are missing some players, and already guaranteed their spot in Ligue 1 for next year. So they don't have much to play for. And up until their last game when they beat Valenciennes 6-2, they were the worst offensive team in the league. They are still one of the worst.

                                          I think worst case this could be a draw, but seeing how Marseille need the points, I may side with them...


                                          Marseille PK (-112)
                                          Comment
                                          • RollinDo
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 09-04-13
                                            • 13322

                                            #301
                                            Not sure if you're into parlays, but what about Flyers +1 / Braves +1.5?
                                            If Braves don't win, Santana will hold them close and won't lose by more than 1 unless in extras.
                                            Comment
                                            • mgoncalves10
                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                              • 01-01-14
                                              • 931

                                              #302
                                              Originally posted by RollinDo
                                              Not sure if you're into parlays, but what about Flyers +1 / Braves +1.5?
                                              If Braves don't win, Santana will hold them close and won't lose by more than 1 unless in extras.
                                              Parlay was my middle name for quite some time haha. That's all I did. Would play small amounts with a lot of teams, and would hit one here and there, but when I'd hit one, it was always for big bucks, so even if i went 1-8 or 1-10, that one brought in big profits haha.. But now I play more single bets, with a parlay in the mix..

                                              I do like the Braves +1.5 as well. What's the price tag on that? And as for Hockey, at first glance I like all the home teams tonight, but haven't looked into it yet.
                                              Comment
                                              • RollinDo
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 09-04-13
                                                • 13322

                                                #303
                                                Braves +1.5 is -245
                                                Not too keen on that one.
                                                Cardinals +1.5 is -175...hard to believe that after 2 straight losses and returning home where they play Pirates tough.
                                                I have a parlay: Nats ML / Cards +2.5 that I have a hard time seeing it lose.
                                                Going to do an IF win bet...and 2nd parlay will be:
                                                Braves +1.5 / Flyers +1
                                                Comment
                                                • mgoncalves10
                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                  • 01-01-14
                                                  • 931

                                                  #304
                                                  Indians @ Giants

                                                  Indians: +135 ML / -170 RL
                                                  Giants: -145 ML / +150 RL

                                                  This game stuck out to me for one reason - Carrasco is pitching. This guy has given up 14 runs in just 16 innings pitched (0-2, 7.31). Now prior to SF's last game, they have only scored nine runs in their last five games, which were all away from home. On Wednesday, they hit a ton of HR's, beating Colorado at Coors Field 12-10 after 11 innings. The Giants will be happy to return home, where they haven't scored many runs either, but against Carrasco who is capable of giving up a ton of runs, they should like their chances.

                                                  Tim Hudson will get the start for the Giants, and he will face the Indians for the first time in nearly 10 years. His numbers against them aren't that great either. He's put together a 1-2 record against the tribe, with a 6.33 ERA in eight starts. Nothing to write home about.

                                                  His return to the Bay Area has gone well thus far. He's 2-1 with a 2.40 ERA in four starts. What's impressive is that he has yet to give up a walk this season, so the Indians' hitters are going to have to work real hard to get on base because he clearly doesn't like to give up free passes. He has limited opponents to .213 batting average, while Carrasco has allowed hitters to get away with a .302 batting average.

                                                  In the last 3 years, whether it's at home, away or at night, Carrasco has an ERA over 4.00 with at least 14 starts in each of those categories. As for Hudson, he has a 4.21 ERA away from home since 2011, but at home, he's done fairly well (22-9, 2.96). And although those home games were while he was in Atlanta, I like his chances tonight against the Indians. Francona's side ended a seven game home stand 4-3, but I see them running into some trouble tonight. They may be able to get a few runs against Hudson, but I think the major concern is how many runs will Carrasco allow to cross home plate...

                                                  Share your thoughts..
                                                  Comment
                                                  • mgoncalves10
                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                    • 01-01-14
                                                    • 931

                                                    #305
                                                    Can someone explain to me how the DBacks are favored tonight? I understand they are at home, but they are 1-11 at home this season. And they also have Collmenter on the mound, who is 0-2 with a 4.50 ERA? And on the other side you have a Phillies team that is hitting well, and although Hernandez got roughed up in his last outing at Coors Field where the Rockies are scoring runs for fun, he wasn't all that bad in his previous 3 starts...

                                                    I LOVE the Phillies +1.5 at -170 here, and may even convince myself to take the Phillies ML at +125..

                                                    Go ahead, talk me out of it...! haha
                                                    Comment
                                                    • pokerwhiz90
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 10-02-10
                                                      • 2618

                                                      #306
                                                      yeah teh cubs dont need a write up... they're abysmal on the road in terms of offensive numbers, even if they win this game... it just means theyll lose the next few
                                                      Comment
                                                      • pokerwhiz90
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 10-02-10
                                                        • 2618

                                                        #307
                                                        Originally posted by mgoncalves10
                                                        Also, for some afternoon footy... I like Marseille with the PK option. They are 3 pts back of Lyon, who have the last European spot, so they need the points. Nantes on the other hand are missing some players, and already guaranteed their spot in Ligue 1 for next year. So they don't have much to play for. And up until their last game when they beat Valenciennes 6-2, they were the worst offensive team in the league. They are still one of the worst.

                                                        I think worst case this could be a draw, but seeing how Marseille need the points, I may side with them...


                                                        Marseille PK (-112)
                                                        im on this as well but only could get a -165 for the pick, you got a great price!
                                                        Comment
                                                        • RollinDo
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 09-04-13
                                                          • 13322

                                                          #308
                                                          Like SF tonight as my 2nd top ML play...actually will be playing -1 at -102 odds. Good write-up and this stuck out to me too as best value for tonight.
                                                          Gotta like Nats, but at -184, just can't play it alone...parlay with Cards +2.5
                                                          Comment
                                                          • mgoncalves10
                                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                                            • 01-01-14
                                                            • 931

                                                            #309
                                                            Oakland @ Houston...

                                                            Chavez has been outstanding this season, and after the beat down the Astros got last night, can we expect more of the same? Peacock gets the start, and he only allowed 2 ER's last week against the A's, but how will it play out today? Will Peacock have their offense figured out and shut them down, or does the offense have the upper hand against him? Cespedes is out with a hamstring injury.. He hasn't been hitting the ball well, so I don't think it will hurt the A's offense against the Astros who have lost something like 11 of their last 13 at home against Oakland...

                                                            Leaning Oakland here at -174, but may also take a gamble on the RL at -120.. Surprised that the ML isn't higher, considering the RL is at -120...
                                                            Comment
                                                            • pokerwhiz90
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 10-02-10
                                                              • 2618

                                                              #310
                                                              Alright my mlb lineup tonight is the braves, brewers and the athletics - what are your thoughts on the a's game?

                                                              just saw that you posted about the a's... also i think the braves and brewers both have big offensive nights, the as' have been pretty good offensively this year as well and consistent at that.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • mgoncalves10
                                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                                • 01-01-14
                                                                • 931

                                                                #311
                                                                Originally posted by RollinDo
                                                                Like SF tonight as my 2nd top ML play...actually will be playing -1 at -102 odds. Good write-up and this stuck out to me too as best value for tonight.
                                                                Gotta like Nats, but at -184, just can't play it alone...parlay with Cards +2.5
                                                                With the way Strasburg has been pitching, I'm not sure what to expect from him. The Nats have let me down two times in a row, and with a price tag of -180, I may also have to play that in a parlay, if I can convince myself to take them for a third successive time.

                                                                Robbie Erlin's starts have gotten worst this season. Started well against Clevland with 1 ER in 6IP, then got tagged for 3 ER against Colorado, and then 4 ER against SF in his last start. But Strasburg has been just as inconsistent. His last start against the Cards was much better, only giving up 2 ER, but can we expect that same performance tonight?

                                                                His numbers this season have been better at home, and over his career, home is where he is more comfortable. Against the Padres in the last 3 seasons he's gone 2-1, 4.50 ERA. Meanwhile Erlin has been better away from home this season. But over his career, he has an ERA of 7.06 when traveling. And he's pitched 4 innings against the Nats, with a... ready for it.... 20.25 ERA.. DAMN!!!

                                                                Third time is a charm right? Gotta go with the Nats here, and pray that Strasburg isn't throwing beach balls out there. Don't feel all that comfortable laying all that juice on the ML, so will likely play them in a Parlay...
                                                                Comment
                                                                • mgoncalves10
                                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                                  • 01-01-14
                                                                  • 931

                                                                  #312
                                                                  Originally posted by pokerwhiz90
                                                                  im on this as well but only could get a -165 for the pick, you got a great price!
                                                                  That price was PK, -0.5 ... Decided to take the chance and go with Marseille ML at +125... Risking $25 to win $31.25 ... Hopefully it's a good start to the day...
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • pokerwhiz90
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 10-02-10
                                                                    • 2618

                                                                    #313
                                                                    For late night, I think the giants roll the indians... the indians batters have never seen hudson pitch, and hudson is health and pitching fire.. while the indians young pitcher carrasco has been consistently giving up 4-5 runs every game....

                                                                    as for the a's, braves, and brewers im playing them small. reason being is villaneuva has been solid the last 2 games and has been historically good against the brewers, as for the braves - santana hasn't really played any good offensive teams this year so im hesistant as this might be a good letdown spot - lets hope todays not a bad day, but a good night

                                                                    for the nhl, i'm going to play the blackhawks and the bulls... i chose the blackhawks to win the series and if they dont win tonight, they wont win the series imo.... in addition, they could have easily won all 4 games as they gave up a goal in both games 1 and 2 in the final 2 minutes of the game to send them to OT

                                                                    for the nba, the bulls - everyone is now on the wizards bandwagon and calling for a sweep yet the line is only +2, the bulls might have already lost the series but these guys are fighters and literally never give up on any game.. this might be their "last stand"
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • mgoncalves10
                                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                                      • 01-01-14
                                                                      • 931

                                                                      #314
                                                                      Originally posted by pokerwhiz90
                                                                      For late night, I think the giants roll the indians... the indians batters have never seen hudson pitch, and hudson is health and pitching fire.. while the indians young pitcher carrasco has been consistently giving up 4-5 runs every game....

                                                                      as for the a's, braves, and brewers im playing them small. reason being is villaneuva has been solid the last 2 games and has been historically good against the brewers, as for the braves - santana hasn't really played any good offensive teams this year so im hesistant as this might be a good letdown spot - lets hope todays not a bad day, but a good night

                                                                      for the nhl, i'm going to play the blackhawks and the bulls... i chose the blackhawks to win the series and if they dont win tonight, they wont win the series imo.... in addition, they could have easily won all 4 games as they gave up a goal in both games 1 and 2 in the final 2 minutes of the game to send them to OT

                                                                      for the nba, the bulls - everyone is now on the wizards bandwagon and calling for a sweep yet the line is only +2, the bulls might have already lost the series but these guys are fighters and literally never give up on any game.. this might be their "last stand"
                                                                      While I can somewhat agree in regards to Santana, he did pitch well against the Phillies, who can put runs on the board. He faced the Mets twice, so we can agree that they aren't the best offensive team haha. As I said, the likelihood of him continuing to pitch lights out isn't the greatest, but at home, I can't go against him.

                                                                      And Villanueva has pitched well? You might want to go look at that again haha.. He's started 3 games, and after giving up 1 ER to the Phillies in 5IP, he's been tagged for 14 ER in 7.2 IP, against the Cardinals and the Reds. Bad enough that we are talking about the Cubs, Villanueva has been AWFUL! haha
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • mgoncalves10
                                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                                        • 01-01-14
                                                                        • 931

                                                                        #315
                                                                        I like the O's to roll the Royals tonight. And yes I know Ubaldo is pitching.. That dude's middle name should be Ubaldo HOME RUN Jimenez given how he's pitched this year. But he's 0-4, and although he's sucked, this guy has to put in a decent performance sooner or later because let's face it, his career numbers just don't match up with the start he's had this season. The Orioles offense has been lighting up the scoreboard, and returning home, against the Royals who have the lowest number of HR's this season, this could be a high scoring game. And not to mention, the Orioles with a ML of -111 at home is a good value. Might even take a gamble on my adventurous parlay of the day on the Orioles RL.
                                                                        Comment
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