Robert Ross: Play Red Sox at Toronto

[SBRforum Staff]

Play Red Sox at Toronto

Game Time: 9/22/2006 7:07:00 PM
By: Robert Ross


The Red Sox take on the Blue Jays in Toronto tonight, and Boston is the best play.

The Red Sox should continue to play hard down the stretch.

We're not sure we can trust Toronto and starting pitcher Ted Lilly in this spot after the John Gibbons-Lilly blowup on the mound and in the dugout earlier in the season.

Boston is 13-8 against the money line in road games vs. a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better this season and Boston is 67-58 against the money line in road games vs. an AL team with an on-base percentage of .345 or better in the second half of the season since 1997.

Toronto is 10-21 against the money line when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51%-54%) over the last two seasons and 12-18 against the money line vs. poor baserunning teams who average 0.5 or less SBs/game in the second half of the season this season.

Play: Red Sox

[bigboydan]

I think the over is the better play in this game myself.

[moses millsap]

Tavarez is really pitching a gem tonight for Boston. Shocking.

[moses millsap]

14 in a row for him. WTF is going on. I totally wrote him off as a pitcher altogether.

[moses millsap]

Tavarez's quote after the game "That's the only good thing I've done this year"

[tacomax]

That game by Tavarez proves the theory that if you give an infinite number of monkeys an infinite number of typewriters then they'll eventually be able to type the complete works of Shakesphere.