Florida 56% - Nolasco has had a high degree of volatility this year, but when he has been good, he has been very good. Unless he gets crushed, Florida will have a strong edge. Both Milwaukee and their starter, Dave Bush, have had road problems this season, and the scheduling spot for this game does not help; Milwaukee had to make a long trip yesterday, while Florida got the day off. Florida's bullpen has also been reasonably capable in general, and they are likely to be able to make any small lead stick here.
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Seattle 43% - Of course Boston has a major edge in starting pitching for this game. However, they will have a real disadvantage in the bullpen, although Schilling's presence does greatly reduce the statistical impact of that disadvantage. Still, Boston is not a team in a good state right now, and they should not be this much of a favorite on the road considering the conditions of the game.
Jake Woods has pitched reasonably well of late, and the forgiving nature of Safeco to pitchers mitigates the egde Boston will have due to Schilling. If Woods can give a outing of even 5 innings and 2 runs, Seattle will have an edge.Comment -
Cincinnati 53% - Cincinnati again has value as a road underdog here, for reasons similar to yesterday. They will have a small edge in all areas of this game, combining for a small overall edge on the road, where they have played particularly well all season long.Comment