First Inning Runs

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  • trendon
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 12-06-10
    • 534

    #36
    Originally posted by HarHar00
    My system for betting first innings besides looking at lineups to see who is sitting out, is when i look at the over and under lets say total is 8 and the individual team totals are 4 and 4.5. That Equals to 8.5. When this happens most of the time ive noticed i had lost in the past and they end up scoring in the first inning. But when the individual team totals added up are still less than the entire games total it tends to be a winning "no score" in the first inning. Hope that was clear enough.

    If u look at ur oakland/brewers game you lost that bet and if u had checked the team totals were both 4.5 and the game over and under was only 8!
    No, it was extremely clear and I will certainly add that to the list of things I look at. Awesome.

    To address something that someone said earlier about how volatile these props are: I just don't understand baseball enough to play traditional side/total bets. While we all know that there wouldn't be odds on something that is easier for us to bet on so I am sure the EV of betting these props is less than more traditional bets ... but I feel, for me, I can micromanage it a little better than I can see the whole game.

    And how was THAT for a run-on sentence?!
    Comment
    • trendon
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 12-06-10
      • 534

      #37
      TEX/BOS SC 1ST INN NO -115

      Obviously dangerous considering how the Sox have been hitting lately, but I like that price considering how well Ogando and Lackey have been pitching lately (and all season).
      Comment
      • trendon
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 12-06-10
        • 534

        #38
        Wed: 1-2 -1.15
        Total: 11-8 +2.85

        And just like that, a 5-7 funk. Undeterred!!!

        BAL/HOU SC 1ST INN NO -120

        Maybe MIN/KC NO later.
        Comment
        • trendon
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 12-06-10
          • 534

          #39
          .500 here we come! I should have quit while I was ahead and switched to betting on Australian volleyball or something.

          Anyway, let's get a little creative because, why the hell not! These are the types of plays that should prove to anyone why you should never follow me.

          PHILLIES SC 1ST -130
          PHI/MIL SC 1ST INN NO EV

          I like the even odds on the prop but I am seeing Philadelphia putting runs up first. A lot of ways for this to go up. Let's see!
          Comment
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