July 25 Ganchalysis

[Ganchrow]

Washington 51% - Both starters have pitched relatively well the past few months after poor starts to the season. Both could get hit, but both are much more likely to have decent starts. The offenses and bullpens are roughly even as well, making this game a very even matchup.

Detroit 53% - Both starters are shaky going into this game. Detroit rates a bullpen edge, however, and probably a small lineup edge as well with Victor Martinez dealing with a sore foot. Other than that, the game rates roughly even in all areas.

Arizona 52% - Arizona is a very undervalued team on the road, while Philadelphia is a very overvalued team at home. Batista has been surprisingly decent, while Madson has been inconsistent and mostly sub-par all season. The lineups and bullpens rate roughly even.

[Ganchrow]

St. Louis 57% - This game has a high degree of uncertainty to it, and a low confidence factor, for a couple of reasons. First off, Jennings has had a high degree of volatility this year. He is likely either to throw a shutout or get hit hard. Secondly, if he does throw a shutout, the game will likely be close, making the bullpens a big factor, and both teams' bullpens have also had a high degree of volatility this year as well. Carpenter has had surprising troubles on the road this year. He has never pitched at Coors before, and the thinner air could affect him negatively. If he doesn't have a deep outing, St. Louis will be greatly negatively affected, as their shaky pen will be exposed to the solid Colorado lineup.

[Ganchrow]

Boston 63% - Schilling has been very strong and consistent for a while now. His less stellar road record is mostly due to starts earlier in the year; in June and July his road starts have been on par with his home starts. He is very likely to have another quality start here. Windsor is less likely to have a quality start, but still may well have one. He has been a winner at every level, and his first outing in the majors was generally promising.

Toronto 52% - Meche outdueled Randy Johnson in his last start, and he is likely to keep Seattle in the game against Halladay here. He has steadied his stuff, and he is well-suited to pitching at Safeco. Unless he has a mental lapse, as he has been prone to in the past, he should have another quality start here. Halladay has slipped a notch the past few months, but he should still have a strong start. Seattle's bullpen has quality relievers, and with Vernon Wells injured, the lineups rate very close.