Colorado 54% - This game has a very high degree of uncertainty to it. The Colorado offense is strong, but has been underachieving of late. Here vs Wells, they are likely to put together a strong game. Wells, however, after giving up 5 runs in the first inning of his last game, shut out the strong Mets' lineup for the next 5 innings in a row, and that success might carry over here. Kim is also a very volatile pitcher, adding a lot more uncertainty to the game. He is also likely to get hit, but has a legitimate chance of throwing 6 or 7 shutout innings as well. Additionally, the Pittsburgh pen is very extended right now. The Colorado pen, while not extended, has been terrible of late. Ultimately, Pittsburgh's negatives have a greater chance of manifesting than Colorado's, giving Colorado a modest overall game edge.
Oakland 55% - This game has a very high degree of uncertainty to it. Windsor had a lot of minor league success this year, and in general is a seasoned guy for a rookie. He will be ready to make his major league debut, and he features a good changeup which is similar to the offerings of other rookies who have had great success in their first games up this year. Loewen, who was not good earlier in the year, was very sharp in his latest stint in the minors, and may have corrected his control problems which were what was hurting him in the majors. There is a lot of guesswork involved in figuring this game, and ultimately Windsor is probably better prepared for major league success at this time, and the Oakland bullpen should be able to protect any lead he leaves with.
Florida 60% - It's not clear why Nolasco was crushed in his last 2 outings, but if it was just due to usual rookie inconsistency, he is likely to have a much better outing here. Armas, on the other hand, is neither likely to have a good start, nor go deep into the game, so the capable Florida lineup might have a very good day at the plate.
Oakland 55% - This game has a very high degree of uncertainty to it. Windsor had a lot of minor league success this year, and in general is a seasoned guy for a rookie. He will be ready to make his major league debut, and he features a good changeup which is similar to the offerings of other rookies who have had great success in their first games up this year. Loewen, who was not good earlier in the year, was very sharp in his latest stint in the minors, and may have corrected his control problems which were what was hurting him in the majors. There is a lot of guesswork involved in figuring this game, and ultimately Windsor is probably better prepared for major league success at this time, and the Oakland bullpen should be able to protect any lead he leaves with.
Florida 60% - It's not clear why Nolasco was crushed in his last 2 outings, but if it was just due to usual rookie inconsistency, he is likely to have a much better outing here. Armas, on the other hand, is neither likely to have a good start, nor go deep into the game, so the capable Florida lineup might have a very good day at the plate.