White Sox 51% - This game has a high degree of uncertainty to it as both starters can be dominant, but have both also faltered a bit recently. Contreras, however, is more likely to have a strong game, and the White Sox' lineup is more likely to as well. Johnson, however, is well aware of, and bothered by, talk of his decline, and he is sure to be gunning for a dominant outing. At this stage of his career, he has been much more effective when well rested, as he is here. His natural ability and winning attitude will clash with his obvious age-related decline and the White Sox' strong lineup, and it's not clear which is more likely to win out.
Pittsburgh 56% - Washington will be hurt by having a thinner bullpen overall, but for this game that won't matter, and their offense, which was already improving at the end of the first half, will get a boost from their new hitters. Duke has thrown his better starts at home, however, and Ortiz' final start of the first half was troubling. Both starters are likely to get knocked around here, and Pittsburgh plays better at home, and has a capable pen.
Detroit 61% - Rogers is likely to decline in performance in the second half, and his final three starts before the break indicate that might already have begun. Redman is likely to get hit as well in the second half, but he has pitched well in his career at Comerica, and this is a good spot for him; he is likely to have a quality outing. If he does, the Kansas City offense should be able to get a few runs off of Rogers and they will have a good shot at winning.
Cincinnati 52% - Guardado won't make much of a difference in the Cincinnati pen, but Majewski and Bray might. Jennings and Harang rate roughly even, and the Colorado bullpen has been struggling of late. Colorado rates a lineup edge.
Pittsburgh 56% - Washington will be hurt by having a thinner bullpen overall, but for this game that won't matter, and their offense, which was already improving at the end of the first half, will get a boost from their new hitters. Duke has thrown his better starts at home, however, and Ortiz' final start of the first half was troubling. Both starters are likely to get knocked around here, and Pittsburgh plays better at home, and has a capable pen.
Detroit 61% - Rogers is likely to decline in performance in the second half, and his final three starts before the break indicate that might already have begun. Redman is likely to get hit as well in the second half, but he has pitched well in his career at Comerica, and this is a good spot for him; he is likely to have a quality outing. If he does, the Kansas City offense should be able to get a few runs off of Rogers and they will have a good shot at winning.
Cincinnati 52% - Guardado won't make much of a difference in the Cincinnati pen, but Majewski and Bray might. Jennings and Harang rate roughly even, and the Colorado bullpen has been struggling of late. Colorado rates a lineup edge.