MLB - Saturday, 4/9/16

**DrUppercut** · 04-09-16, 07:08 AM

Thanks LT, keep up the good work!

**Breadloser** · 04-09-16, 07:18 AM

I think that the Rays might be the best value of the day.

**Ghenghis Kahn** · 04-09-16, 07:19 AM

what does your model say about sf? madbum at plus money at home? if i can remember doesn't he own kershaw?

**Spartak** · 04-09-16, 07:26 AM

You know we love the 60s

**gambler705** · 04-09-16, 07:29 AM

Originally posted by Breadloser

I think that the Rays might be the best value of the day.

It is raining / snowing in baltimore.. At best this game is played in sub 40 temps...

**Breadloser** · 04-09-16, 07:56 AM

Originally posted by gambler705

It is raining / snowing in baltimore.. At best this game is played in sub 40 temps...

Oh, forget it then. I wouldn't want any part of that situation.

**Conqueror** · 04-09-16, 08:28 AM

Looks like this is your model from last year.

**Nateboogy** · 04-09-16, 08:38 AM

I have U7 -125, rays -137. Too far off, LT?

**Breadloser** · 04-09-16, 08:47 AM

Do you look at weather before you post the selections? Do you factor it into your model? Thanks.

**LT Profits** · 04-09-16, 09:11 AM

Originally posted by Nateboogy

I have U7 -125, rays -137. Too far off, LT?

Yeah too far off. Limits are -129 and U7 -120

**LT Profits** · 04-09-16, 09:12 AM

Originally posted by Breadloser

Do you look at weather before you post the selections? Do you factor it into your model? Thanks.

It is not literally part of the model no.

**LT Profits** · 04-09-16, 09:17 AM

Originally posted by Ghenghis Kahn

what does your model say about sf? madbum at plus money at home? if i can remember doesn't he own kershaw?

I am looking at other side, you almost never get Kershaw this cheap. And model has Dodgers 59% (-144). I am passing though because I never almost never lay more than -130 on single event.

**blackHIPPY** · 04-09-16, 09:19 AM

I can get lad -135 rn would you take that ?

**Breadloser** · 04-09-16, 09:20 AM

Greinke pretty cheap too. The roof should be open there.

**LT Profits** · 04-09-16, 09:23 AM

60%ers:

White Sox 65% (-186)
Washington 61% (-156)
St. Louis 62% (-163)
Mets 61% (-156)

**LT Profits** · 04-09-16, 09:24 AM

Originally posted by blackHIPPY

I can get lad -135 rn would you take that ?

As I said, I never lay more than -130. But for those that don't mind doing so. yes there is value in Kershaw -135.

**LT Profits** · 04-09-16, 09:30 AM

Originally posted by Breadloser

Greinke pretty cheap too. The roof should be open there.

Model only has Arizona 52% (-108), so price seems right.

**Louisvillekid1** · 04-09-16, 09:50 AM

Good start to season

**mr. leisure** · 04-09-16, 10:06 AM

Greinke -106 at home

**jgold254** · 04-09-16, 10:15 AM

Originally posted by mr. leisure

Greinke -106 at home

I wouldn't be so fast on Greinke. Let's not forget just a few days ago he gave up 7 runs in 4 innings. Also, this Cubs team is a World Series favorite right now. There's a reason for that "value line".

**LT Profits** · 04-09-16, 10:17 AM

Originally posted by mr. leisure

Greinke -106 at home

See Post #18.

**Louisvillekid1** · 04-09-16, 10:44 AM

He gonna struggle all year in that stadium

**Spartak** · 04-09-16, 10:53 AM

10x for it

Originally posted by LT Profits

60%ers:

White Sox 65% (-186)
Washington 61% (-156)
St. Louis 62% (-163)
Mets 61% (-156)

**Redscot** · 04-09-16, 10:54 AM

Originally posted by Louisvillekid1

He gonna struggle all year in that stadium

Not to mention losing one of the best pitch framers in the game, couple that with his quirky personality-psyche.

**UBNVS** · 04-09-16, 11:15 AM

I wouldn't trust greinke just yet. Didn't look good slat all the other days. Houston Astros is the play of the day.

**mr. leisure** · 04-09-16, 11:37 AM

Originally posted by jgold254

I wouldn't be so fast on Greinke. Let's not forget just a few days ago he gave up 7 runs in 4 innings. Also, this Cubs team is a World Series favorite right now. There's a reason for that "value line".

Yep , passing on Greinke

**Ghenghis Kahn** · 04-09-16, 12:59 PM

Originally posted by LT Profits

I am looking at other side, you almost never get Kershaw this cheap. And model has Dodgers 59% (-144). I am passing though because I never almost never lay more than -130 on single event.

yeah i'm passing myself. looks like it's gonna rain... with the delays and what not, i don't want to deal with the mess. gl today lt.

**Winner_13** · 04-09-16, 04:57 PM

LT, how come you do not lay more than -130?
Value is value, no?

Congrats on a good season so far!