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Plays for 1/23:
Play #1
Li +5.5 games -150 x2.5
(risking 1.5u)
Total = -150
***Again, my thinking here is that Li will make this a somewhat competitive match. Makarova only lost by 8 games and she played terrible and she is NO where near the player that Li Na is. Again, if Li is focused in and hitting her shots, she can freaking hang with Pova for most of this match. I think saying she can win is a bit much, but she can definitely hang within 6 games. If Pova has ANY sort of trouble with her serve, than Li should make her pay and it would NOT surprise me one bit to see Li break Pova tonight several times. To me, this play will cash or will be really really close. I can't see Li tanking a set huge or losing horribly in straights. She has nothing to lose and if she is on, she can play really good offensive tennis. Hoping for a good start tonight. GL ev1! VAMOS!!!Comment -
[QUOTE=Dmoneytx;17591780]Plays for 1/23:
Play #1
Li +5.5 games -150 x2.5
(risking 1.5u)
Total = -150
Sorry D,
what -150x2,5 means, playing LI +5,5 games, odds -150 (x2,5 ??) risking 1,5u
2,5 is
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[QUOTE=mvanja;17593108]Sorry mvanja. The -150 are the odds. I decided to play it 2.5 times more than my usual $50 straight play. So the total I am risking is $150 on this play (1.5units).
It did look a little confusing, sorry! But usually I play my straights at $50 (0.5units), but since we are near the end I usually increase my straight bets. To start the night, I am going with a $150 play.
BOL to us!!!
Oh, and I wanted to say Thank You for giving me the points as much as you do. It is really a very kind gesture for saying "thanks". I just wanted you to know that I appreciate it!
(I have never used my points for anything, but I do see stuff you can buy in the SBR store, gift cards, etc....)Comment -
Thank you Ken! You too sirOriginally posted by Ken22nethI wish everyone the best of luck!!!
Oh, was that a picture in the box?? It didn't come thru to post, just so you know. I wish you the BOL, always!!!
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Nice call on Na..it appears DM...wished I listened...saw it to late...perfect reasoning in your write up ...so far...most impressive part of the pick..bolComment -
Nice one , had little bit on ML too
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Nice cash bro!
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Amazing again D
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Good job D...I wanted to play this too but I missed it by about 5 minutes. Starting to come down with something, I was stuck in bed all night.Comment -
Murray or Federer ?Comment -
Hey ev1!!! I have not been on my computer since last evening. I was thinking of playing the Djoko last night minus the games, but I flat out fell asleep before midnight even hit and I didn't put any play in for the late match. I was SO tired, I hope ev1 made some coin last night on that one. I am really really looking forward to tonight's match!!! I am going to come back on in about 30 mins and clean up yesterday and records. Then I am going to have one play for tonight & I will have a write up. Be back soon.....Comment -
Thanks Catchn!! It didn't really surprise me to see Li Na win that match. Once I saw the beg unfold, I knew Pova was in trouble. Thanks for the post & support Feel free to drop by anytime & add your comments. Take care.
Thanks Steve!!! Nice hit to you as well sir, ML............ nice play!!! I was not that bold, LOL!
Yes it was brotha!!! Thanks for the support, lets keep cashing those tickets!!!
I love that icon Thanks mvanja!!!
Thanks Snakey! Sucks you just missed it. I think I have a good play tonight, at least I sure as heck think I do! I hope you are feeling better sir. I hate for anyone to be not feeling well, get better quick!!! VAMOS!!!Comment -
dmoney, do you keep a ytd? just curiousComment -
Damn I sure hope its on Federer ML and the over 41 as I already made the bet
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Wake up call ring ring ring
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Play for 1/24:
Play #1
Federer/Murray games Over 40.5 -135 x4
(risking 2.0u)
Total = -135
***I know that Murray has not lost a set yet in this tournament. But honestly, he has had some average to slightly above average competition thus far. Now he has to face Roger. Fed will NOT go out without a fight. And there is no way on earth I see Roger getting beat in 3 straight sets. I actually can see Murray winning this match, but the desire and determination of Federer is out of this world at times. I think this match goes at least 4 sets. There should be a shift in two diff sets for both players, where one gets broken and holds out and vice versa. There is a good chance we see a breaker & in the breaker it will be a total coin flip, so maybe the player down wins the breaker to go multiple sets. I am not saying it will go the distance or be a 6 hour epic match, but I do see each player winning a set and the sets should be really really close. BOTH players are serving excellent and I can't see a ton of break chances, by either player, to capitalize on. This has the makings of being a freaking awesome battle. We had one semi that was garbage to watch. I can see this one being the match that everyone talks about. With all that being said, I will take my chances going over 40 games to win this play!!! I hope both players are dialed in and we see some amazing offensive tennis. I wish ev1 the best of luck, hope we get a good one tonight!!! VAMOS!!!Comment -
Sorry mvanja. I did fall asleep reading with my 10 yr old, got up about 30 mins ago. Hope we see an awesome match!!! BOL sir!!!
LOL!!! That's a great post Steve! Thanks
I'm up now. Teaching tonight wore me out man. BOL tonight!!!Comment -
I do keep a year to date record. I always post it when I post the previous days record. I did that all last year & I am proud to say that I finished the year with a positive profit and around 55% for over 450 posted plays Got a decent jump to this year, hoping to keep it moving forward!
I think Murray has the slight edge, BUT I really really like the over. Bookmaker had 40.5 at 135 instead of Dimes 140, so I took that one instead. I do think Fed can win, but Murray is playing great. But Fed is Fed, he's amazing in the clutch. Man, it should be a great match huh???Comment -
Yesterdays Plays 1/23:
1) CASH IT - (-150) Li Na destroyed Sharapova. Getting the 5.5 games was way too easy. +$100
***No BIG money plays (parlays) yesterday, happy to hit my only play.Comment -
Yesterdays Plays 1/23:
Combined Plays (1-0) +1.0 units
Overall Plays as of 1/23:
Total = (36-27-3) +8.22 units ($822)
Total Win % = 54.5%
***BIG money plays still at (24-5)Comment -
My book has the overs at 41.5, is it still a good bet??Comment -
The over 40 games is so tough because you're essentially saying a very very tight 4 sets or 5. The only way this comfortably hits is if it goes 5 sets and if thats the case, you can get a much better price on a prop. I went with over 3.5 sets. Pretty much the same bet but a MUCH safer route in case one of the scorelines goes 6-2 or something funky.Comment -
Over 41.5 here.
VAMOS!!!Comment -
My book doesn't offer that prop bet but thanks for your input. GL!!Comment -
over 3.5 sets ? risk 100 to win 35 ? when there are 4 sets I think we also hit the over, I see close sets : 6-4 , 5-7 , 6-3 , 7-6 here we also have over 40.5 but with a much better price. Risk 100 to win 80. Even when the first set is 6 - 2 in my example. Hope we both win
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I'll keep it short or might get fired. Thx for ur pick gl.Comment -
I'm gonna tail you D money but i got it at over 41.5, hope we cash it buddy!!Comment -
You're essentially in need of a tie break or a 5th set here. I can't say I blame you, just seemed much safer to me to take the +3.5... good luck buddy.over 3.5 sets ? risk 100 to win 35 ? when there are 4 sets I think we also hit the over, I see close sets : 6-4 , 5-7 , 6-3 , 7-6 here we also have over 40.5 but with a much better price. Risk 100 to win 80. Even when the first set is 6 - 2 in my example. Hope we both winComment -
Sharp snake , you allready win now two more long sets and we win too
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