Tennis In-Game-Thread, 8/3 Cincinnati Finals

**EaglesPhan36** · 08-03-08, 11:24 AM

You know this broseph! I don't know what he is now, but I took him last night at +240 because I didn't think I would be awake. Very interesting match here. Djoko will be on a high from demolishing Nadal, but Murray whipped Djoko just last week. Hoping for a let down & Murray wins.

**Wheell** · 08-03-08, 11:27 AM

I put Murray at under 25% if Djoker is 100%. He might be tired so I am staying away.

**EaglesPhan36** · 08-03-08, 11:28 AM

Speaking of value - taking a shot at Cibulkova +200 on the ladies side. She's been a giant killer all week. Safina has been as tough as anyone the last couple months, but she's shown some cracks in her last two matches.

**Wheell** · 08-03-08, 11:30 AM

I am too lazy to run the stats on the women. I. Just. Don't. Care.

**SBR Lou** · 08-03-08, 11:34 AM

It'll be several long rallies, Murray can return anybody in this game and he really shined versus Karlovic in that capacity, Djokovic will not be able to get a formidable ace count up at all so it'll all be in technique and who makes their shots.

**EagesBets** · 08-03-08, 11:52 AM

djoker -300 has no value, but thats the play

**SBR Lou** · 08-03-08, 12:00 PM

I think the best bet might be to take this one over the posted total, seems to be a sure three setter IMO.

**EagesBets** · 08-03-08, 12:03 PM

yes, maybe set betting. 2-1 for both guys.. as long as it goes 3.. you are ++

**Santo** · 08-03-08, 12:18 PM

Or, not to bet it at all

**daggerkobe** · 08-03-08, 12:28 PM

Djoker is the play. Murray will not beat the best hardcourter B2B. The value is also with the Djoker as he was -700 the last match with Murray.

Safina will destroy the little munchkin also.

**Stacocakes** · 08-03-08, 01:29 PM

Safina match not even close
Must both want to get the match in before the rain comes
Lots of line movement with DJO.Could get him at -250 last night and he is around -300 now

**EaglesPhan36** · 08-03-08, 01:51 PM

Can't believe I'm rooting for Andy Murray.

**HeeeHAWWWW** · 08-03-08, 02:33 PM

This is looking really close.

General rule of Murray matches: when he serves well, he wins. He's such a good returner he breaks the opponent often, so if his own serve his solid he's a total nightmare to play.

**SBR Lou** · 08-03-08, 02:45 PM

Originally posted by Stacocakes

Safina match not even close
Must both want to get the match in before the rain comes
Lots of line movement with DJO.Could get him at -250 last night and he is around -300 now

How about Wozniacki destroying Radwanska- wow..

**HeeeHAWWWW** · 08-03-08, 03:09 PM

Think Murray has this - he's serving well, returning well, not getting down on himself. When he has those three things, I've never seen him lose.

**SBR Lou** · 08-03-08, 03:12 PM

Originally posted by Santo

Or, not to bet it at all

Nice hit on Djokovic last night. I guess I got caught up with the public aspect of Nadal's 32 or so match win streak, plus I figured having finally eclipsed Fed's ranking he'd have enough motivation to at least win his next match, even if it had no real bearing for him.

**HeeeHAWWWW** · 08-03-08, 03:16 PM

Murray may just have let too many chances slip through his grasp there. He's threatened Djokovic's serve almost every game, and been very solid on his own. He should really have won this set by now, and the tiebreak probably favours Djokovic's extra experience.

**Stacocakes** · 08-03-08, 03:17 PM

DJO match has been great so far. Tiebreak can really go either way here.Don't have any faith in laying a bet at this point

**HeeeHAWWWW** · 08-03-08, 03:19 PM

I took some Murray mid set at 2.7, not so happy with that now.

**SBR Lou** · 08-03-08, 03:20 PM

God does Murray not even bother to shave correctly? He has odd patches of hair all over himself.

**HeeeHAWWWW** · 08-03-08, 03:21 PM

Us Scots are all hairy northern Europeans, we just can't help it.

**HeeeHAWWWW** · 08-03-08, 03:23 PM

Well, Murray the better player throughout the first set. Expected him to just falter slightly in the tiebreak and lose it though, but not a sign of it. Instead Djokovic made the TB errors.

Very impressed - Murray now looks like a contender for the US Open. Anyone can see better than +3000 at sportbet?

**SBR Lou** · 08-03-08, 03:29 PM

Murray takes 1st set 7-6 (4).

Djokovic will break Murray's opening service game set two and win 6-3.

**EaglesPhan36** · 08-03-08, 03:29 PM

This match isn't over. Djokovic could have stolen that set despite his piss poor play. Murray needs to maintain or step it up a notch I think to win still.

**SBR Lou** · 08-03-08, 03:31 PM

Wow! Murray is 26-1 when winning 1st set this year. That's impressive.

**HeeeHAWWWW** · 08-03-08, 03:32 PM

It's difficult for Djokovic here - he has to keep going for the lines, as he knows anything shorter is going to be retrieved. However, that means errors, and particularly the risk of dropping serve.

At the same time, he's so far got pretty much no reads on the Murray serve whatsoever - and Murray's serve % isn't even that good (only 51%). He's not had a single breakpoint, Murray has had two and a bundle more deuces.

**EaglesPhan36** · 08-03-08, 03:33 PM

Crazy, you need a timeout man.

**HeeeHAWWWW** · 08-03-08, 03:40 PM

Murray's first serve down at 45% now. That's not sustainable.

**SBR Lou** · 08-03-08, 03:43 PM

Originally posted by HeeeHAWWWW

Murray's first serve down at 45% now. That's not sustainable.

It's his second serve he's raping Novak with anyway.

**HeeeHAWWWW** · 08-03-08, 03:46 PM

Yeah, the 2nd serve is good, but he's still winning a higher % of his first than second serves (78% vs 68%).

Really interesting situation there - Murray serves, calls out, challenges. Djokovic then concedes the point, says it was an ace. However, Hawkeye comes on ..... and shows it out! Not sure of the rules there, commentators are suggesting that the moment Djokovic concedes the umpire should award the point to Murray, and cancel the challenge.

Djokovic..... wtf with his serve? two doubles....

**HeeeHAWWWW** · 08-03-08, 04:11 PM

Lol, Djoko saves championship point with a ridiculous netcord.

**SBR Lou** · 08-03-08, 04:14 PM

Murray ought to be ashamed of himself. A pair of double faults serving for match and can't capitalize off like 4 championship points? LOL!

**HeeeHAWWWW** · 08-03-08, 04:15 PM

Yeah, that's the experience thing I was thinking of - had to come up at some point.

**SBR Lou** · 08-03-08, 04:18 PM

imo djokovic wont let this slip away now, he's playing MUCH better now.