Na Li - Future Bet - Opinions?

[sapidoc]

Hey Guys,

Put this little ditty in before the tourney started and my girl made it pretty far as you can see.

I think it makes sense to see what the results of the other semi-finals game is, but of course we can speculate also. Do you think Li ends up as a favourite in the finals? If she is, then I would be tempted to hedge on the spread and hope she wins but doesn't cover netting me both bets... but I'm not sure if that will be the case (or if its even the right move).

The alternative is to just ride it out and hope she wins which I'm also willing to do. I guess I just want to make the most +EV move here.

Appreciate any input.


Wager Type: Future Wager
Status:Pending
Risk/To Win Amount:40.00 / 1,152.80 (USD)
Date Accepted:21-May-2011
Time Accepted: 0:22:04 AM (Pacific)
Description
Tennis: WTA French Open 2011 Player To Win French Open Which Player Will Win 2011 French Open? (All In) N. Li +2882

[EaglesPhan36]

I think you obviously hammer Schiavone on the ML to guarantee money. You're looking at $1150 if Li wins & you only spent $40. Schiavone opens at -101 at Pinnacle. I would easily put $500 down on Schiavone. If she wins, you wind up making about $460 [minus Li original bet]. If Li wins, you still get about $600 from Li winning minus the Schiavone loss. Or you can do less on Schiavone and try to take the large payout on Li with a small payout for Schiavone - like maybe $200.

[koscheckbaby]

Yeah, this match is too close to call. I'd definitely hedge like half of what you could win.

[beefcake]

Gotta love this win either way situations..Nice pick !

[sapidoc]

Whoops!!!!!!

[MCherry281]

Schiavone 7-6 0-6 6-4

[sapidoc]

Schiavone 7-6 0-6 6-4

ty sir... I have some fixing to do!

[vincanity15]

I have future on schiavone, gonna ride it out.

[chinoloco212]

i think li wins but a smart move would be to take the spread +w/e games wid schiavone to have a chance to win both

[arabbeast13]

hedge

[dannyt76]

Nice pick. Hedge and lock in guaranteed profit.