Alex de Minaur vs Novak Djokovic Wimbledon prediction from SBR's Gary Pearson for their Round of 16 Wimbledon match on Monday:
Pick to win: Novak Djokovic 3-1 (+270 via BetMGM)
"de Minaur has been waiting for the opportunity to slay the beast at Wimbledon since being forced to withdraw from last year's quarterfinal against the 24-time major champion due to an injury.
And while the 11th seed will be optimistic about his chances after beating the 38-year-old in one of their previous three meetings, de Minaur rarely plays his best tennis against top-10 opponents.
He's 18-54 in such matches. That's nowhere near good enough against the king of grass.
However, de Minaur is versatile, resilient, and arguably the quickest player on tour. He'll have enough to trouble Djokovic momentarily, which is why he should take one, if not two, sets from the GOAT."
Best prop bet: Djokovic Over 19.5 games (-124 via FanDuel)
"I'm a massive advocate of this prop for various reasons. First, Djokovic can cash the Over in a straight-sets victory if two of the three sets extend to a tiebreak.
The more likely outcome, though, is de Minaur winning a set to bolster the Over chances. Djokovic would only need to win two games in the set he concedes for the prop to pay out.
You can opt for 20.5 games at BetMGM and DraftKings, with the former offering +105. The plus-money odds are more enticing than chugging a few Pimm's on a sweltering day out at the All England Club.
But I'm sticking with 19.5 games as 20.5 makes it significantly more challenging to hit on a straight-sets victory, requiring three successive tiebreakers."
Pick to win: Novak Djokovic 3-1 (+270 via BetMGM)
"de Minaur has been waiting for the opportunity to slay the beast at Wimbledon since being forced to withdraw from last year's quarterfinal against the 24-time major champion due to an injury.
And while the 11th seed will be optimistic about his chances after beating the 38-year-old in one of their previous three meetings, de Minaur rarely plays his best tennis against top-10 opponents.
He's 18-54 in such matches. That's nowhere near good enough against the king of grass.
However, de Minaur is versatile, resilient, and arguably the quickest player on tour. He'll have enough to trouble Djokovic momentarily, which is why he should take one, if not two, sets from the GOAT."
Best prop bet: Djokovic Over 19.5 games (-124 via FanDuel)
"I'm a massive advocate of this prop for various reasons. First, Djokovic can cash the Over in a straight-sets victory if two of the three sets extend to a tiebreak.
The more likely outcome, though, is de Minaur winning a set to bolster the Over chances. Djokovic would only need to win two games in the set he concedes for the prop to pay out.
You can opt for 20.5 games at BetMGM and DraftKings, with the former offering +105. The plus-money odds are more enticing than chugging a few Pimm's on a sweltering day out at the All England Club.
But I'm sticking with 19.5 games as 20.5 makes it significantly more challenging to hit on a straight-sets victory, requiring three successive tiebreakers."