Matt's updated picks

**poet** · 10-22-13, 03:33 PM

Originally posted by losschaser

Word of advice on challengers. Sometimes the guys have someone else bid against themselves to ensure that either if they win or lose they make money.

Would not doubt it a bit.

**matt1216** · 10-22-13, 03:38 PM

Originally posted by poet

Matt, the longer you stay at the table the greater the chance of giving back what you won. It is a sure fact, and one that vegas bets on to win. The best thing to do is to take a break, like those players that tanked today, enjoy your past success and wait until next season.

I hear ya man. I honestly cut down my wagers a ton here. Nothing near my last streak. Ill keep trying to chip away at challengers. I just won't put a ton of faith into ATP

**Stokes36** · 10-22-13, 03:39 PM

Originally posted by matt1216

Challenger Play#14

Alund ML 2.15 x 2 units

Gl

One of the few times I'm against you here. Good luck though. Let's root for a 1st round retirement! lol

**matt1216** · 10-22-13, 03:54 PM

Last 2 days

3-7 -900$ 4 plays pending all challenger* including large play****

YTD:

ATP: 57-57 +2000$

Challenger: 33-47 -3050$ 1-1 +150$ 3 plays pending....

Large wager: 28-19 +7700$ 0-1 -500$ 1 pending play Aussie challenger

Alright guys. I got a feeling I'm riding out the storm. Lost last 5 days in a row. I hit karlovic live today. FIRST big win in a solid few days. Let's get back at it!

**matt1216** · 10-22-13, 03:55 PM

Originally posted by Stokes36

One of the few times I'm against you here. Good luck though. Let's root for a 1st round retirement! lol

Good luck man.... I need my guy to pull through though!

**matt1216** · 10-22-13, 04:41 PM

October 22nd Challenger Play#1

Pella G+Sugita 1.90 ML x 2.5 units

Gl

**matt1216** · 10-22-13, 07:46 PM

Alright, Pella G came thru! Just need that stupid rain to hold up in austrailia

**matt1216** · 10-22-13, 07:58 PM

Originally posted by matt1216

ATP Play#9

Isner vs Gulbis Isner ML 2.30 x 2 units

Starting with this play tommorow

**matt1216** · 10-22-13, 08:08 PM

Here's my plays for Oct 23 wensday:

Isner ML 2.25 x 5 units****Large wager****
Chardy ML 2.05 x 2 units
Niemenen ML 2.25 x 5 units****Large wager****
Kudla ML 2.35 x 2 units
Pospisil ML 1.74 x 2.5 units
Dodig ML 2.25 x 2 units
Bautista Agut ML x 2 units
Dimitrov ML x 2.5 units

8 Plays total All ATP. I like these plays. Some are part of my system others i just like.

Gl

**rockmvp1209** · 10-22-13, 08:58 PM

what do yall think bout Izner

**matt1216** · 10-22-13, 09:09 PM

Originally posted by rockmvp1209

what do yall think bout Izner

Toss up. @ +130 I'll take it. Gulbis had a good run. Plus gulbis gets frustrated vs big servers. He's a yoyo.

**EaglesPhan36** · 10-22-13, 11:37 PM

I foresee some shenanigans with Mr.Sharapova tomorrow.

**frugalgambler** · 10-22-13, 11:48 PM

Ebden is 1 for 9 on breakpoints so far; what a spazz. LOL, 1 for 11 now. Almost every receiving game he has a BP, but just does not convert. I see an big upset coming up.

**alpinepetey** · 10-22-13, 11:55 PM

Originally posted by frugalgambler

Ebden is 1 for 9 on breakpoints so far; what a spazz.

He better figure his sh!t out

**matt1216** · 10-22-13, 11:58 PM

Originally posted by EaglesPhan36

I foresee some shenanigans with Mr.Sharapova tomorrow.

He needs to step up and be consistant. Hopefully he built some confidence

**matt1216** · 10-23-13, 12:01 AM

Holly geez ebden making this close

**frugalgambler** · 10-23-13, 12:46 AM

Yeah, finally Ebden wins but not without making very very nervous. Up 2-0 30-0 on his serve and some hows back to 3-3 in the 3rd set. Still a win is a win.

**frugalgambler** · 10-23-13, 12:47 AM

The only three-set match out 12 played in Melbourne today, LOL.

**matt1216** · 10-23-13, 12:53 AM

Originally posted by matt1216

Challenger Play#7

Bhambri/Duckworth/Ebden Parlay 2.02 x 2 units

Bol

Cash it

**matt1216** · 10-23-13, 12:54 AM

Originally posted by matt1216

Challenger Play#8****Large Wager****

Stratham+Ebden parlay 1.80 x 6 units......

5/5

Bol

Big play comes thru

**matt1216** · 10-23-13, 12:55 AM

Originally posted by frugalgambler

Yeah, finally Ebden wins but not without making very very nervous. Up 2-0 30-0 on his serve and some hows back to 3-3 in the 3rd set. Still a win is a win.

Yes sir.

**matt1216** · 10-23-13, 12:56 AM

Originally posted by matt1216

Last 2 days

3-7 -900$ 4 plays pending all challenger* including large play****

YTD:

ATP: 57-57 +2000$

Challenger: 33-47 -3050$ 1-1 +150$ 3 plays pending....

Large wager: 28-19 +7700$ 0-1 -500$ 1 pending play Aussie challenger

Alright guys. I got a feeling I'm riding out the storm. Lost last 5 days in a row. I hit karlovic live today. FIRST big win in a solid few days. Let's get back at it!

Push that record to 6-8 +100$ last two days. large play hits.

**gottimhimmel** · 10-23-13, 01:01 AM

Matt any opinion on the Fognini V Granollers match?

**matt1216** · 10-23-13, 01:11 AM

Hey guys, I revised my plays above. I added two large wagers.

Granollers should pull it out tomorrow. HE dosnt have doubles to worry about now. Fognini can win but he hasn't been super consistant of late

Gl

**face** · 10-23-13, 01:21 AM

matt what do you think about dodig/nishikori over 22.5? they only played once and it was a 3 set battle w/34 games (2012). nishi won
dodig in good form?, was thinking of playing him

**matt1216** · 10-23-13, 01:41 AM

Originally posted by face

matt what do you think about dodig/nishikori over 22.5? they only played once and it was a 3 set battle w/34 games (2012). nishi won
dodig in good form?, was thinking of playing him

Dodig played well here last year. He took ferrer to 3 sets. The over is a possibly but I think dodig can win this if his serve is on.

**jugg1** · 10-23-13, 03:02 AM

Mate Dimitrov ML or -1.5 games? Bit better odds for the -1.5 games ofc

**matt1216** · 10-23-13, 05:22 AM

Originally posted by jugg1

Mate Dimitrov ML or -1.5 games? Bit better odds for the -1.5 games ofc

If he's consistant -1.5 games. He hasnt showed anything yet tho. Becareful

**matt1216** · 10-23-13, 06:59 AM

Challenger Plays #10 & 11

E.Swank 2.10 x 2 units
K. Mezaros 2.35 x 2 units

Gl

**reddZor** · 10-23-13, 07:19 AM

matt are you playing fognini and granollers? and who are you leaning? im leaning fogs..

**addictedto** · 10-23-13, 07:32 AM

What a douchebag is ISner ...winning with 2 tiebreaks lol

**dkthrilla33** · 10-23-13, 10:11 AM

What's your thoughts on T Haas??

**matt1216** · 10-23-13, 10:19 AM

T Hass coming off a tourney win.... He may be feeling good. Kohl has been injured on and off, but at full health can win. It's tough. I think Hass in current form but who knows

**gottimhimmel** · 10-23-13, 11:02 AM

Hey look at it this way- Gasquet just came off of an ATP event win and just lost to Llondra in the first round- probably due to exhaustion! So the whole winning their last event can go either way.

**matt1216** · 10-23-13, 11:26 AM

Challenger Play#12 & 13

Cuevas+Alund 1.70 X 4 units
Hidalgo 2.20 ML x 2 units

Gl