3 Tennis plays for Sunday

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  • Tsonga
    SBR MVP
    • 10-12-09
    • 2349

    #1
    3 Tennis plays for Sunday
    Strongest play for me i think is Djokovic/Federer over 22 games at -140. This should be a good battle and wouldn't be surprised if it was 3 sets. I would think at least one set will go 7-5,7-6. (3units) WIN

    Small play on Youzhny/Murray for Youzhny at +3.5 games at +114 - good value here. (.5 unit) loss

    Paris Masters - taking Llodra over Becker at -224 for a medium play. I think Llodra is playing great tennis lately and he is a homecourt favorite. The two have split their previous meetings 1-1 but Llodra is in good form lately. Becker has lost 10/11 matches Llodra is 7-3 and Llodra is an impressive 32-18 in his last 50 on indoor hard. (1.5 units) loss

    Still a $profitable day
    Last edited by Tsonga; 11-08-09, 12:35 PM.
  • Waiting4Godot
    SBR High Roller
    • 10-30-09
    • 226

    #2
    I've got a question on the Djokovic/Federer match. BookMaker has the odds as Djokovic +250, Federer -310, but if I look at the set options it's:

    2-0 Djokovic +350
    2-1 Djokovic +450
    2-0 Federer -130
    2-1 Federer +250

    Why would Federer by -310 to win, but either -130 or +250 by the sets scores?
    Djokovic also looks odd, the 2-0 score will pay less than the 2-1 score?
    Comment
    • Tsonga
      SBR MVP
      • 10-12-09
      • 2349

      #3
      nothing unusual about those odds...odds decrease (by that I mean from -something to +something) when you are predicting something specific...ex., federer to win 2-1 is assuming djokovic takes a set so the odds are set at +250 even though you still pick federer to win.
      Comment
      • Waiting4Godot
        SBR High Roller
        • 10-30-09
        • 226

        #4
        I guess my point is if you think Djokovic is going to win, doesn't it make more sense to make two set bets (2-0 and 2-1) than the straight moneyline bet?
        Comment
        • Tsonga
          SBR MVP
          • 10-12-09
          • 2349

          #5
          i think you will find that if you play on 2-0 and 2-1 the $ you have to put down is increased - and if you just did the one play you would probably make close to the same amount.
          Comment
          • Tsonga
            SBR MVP
            • 10-12-09
            • 2349

            #6
            my big play for the over came through - I was surprised the odds were so good for that.
            Comment
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