10/30 Plays

**Mendozaaaa** · 10-29-09, 11:48 PM

Thoughts on Stepanek?

Like your picks tongiht.

**Ulver86** · 10-30-09, 12:16 AM

i actually lean Melzer in that match, though its a no play

**ryanvick** · 10-30-09, 08:05 AM

Damn, missed the Kohlschrieber bet, gl, will have to ride with Cilic instead

**Tsonga** · 10-30-09, 09:19 AM

Originally posted by Ulver86

Kohlschrieber -200 (3u)

Cilic -235 (1u)

Laying down the chalk I see - big change from yesterday

I agree with your picks - good work!

**Ulver86** · 10-30-09, 12:30 PM

theres a difference between picking -200 plays (which means you should win them back about 68% of the time or better) and laying -600 and up plays.

You haven't figured out the difference apparently.

**Tsonga** · 10-30-09, 10:37 PM

Originally posted by Ulver86

theres a difference between picking -200 plays (which means you should win them back about 68% of the time or better) and laying -600 and up plays.

You haven't figured out the difference apparently.

So are you telling me your own personal picks of -200 or better are hitting 68% of the time or is that a statistic that you can reference in general? Just interested in seeing where you get that number.

**Ulver86** · 10-30-09, 10:40 PM

Originally posted by Tsonga

So are you telling me your own personal picks of -200 or better are hitting 68% of the time or is that a statistic that you can reference in general? Just interested in seeing where you get that number.

Sounds like you have some things to learn about odds

a -200 bet theoretically hits 2 out of every 3 times to break even, 66.6666%, so basically you should hit those 67/68% of the time or better if you want to win any money

maybe you should take the time to learn some basic math?

**Tsonga** · 10-31-09, 08:08 AM

thanks for educating me o master of mathematics