"Williams will lose" it says. I check the opponent - rank 674, stats 2-14 since 2018, definitely not touching that one. And then she goes on to win from a comeback. Very often my gut goes against the numbers but I go with the numbers because that's the rational thing to do, and then I lose.
I should just start tracking the gut angle again. I started doing it a few years ago and it was hugely protifable (in soccer) but then I stopped because the rational thing is to go with the numbers, not looking at the names and odds of two sides and deciding the winner within a second based on nothing. Hey, I even found the spreadsheet, I went 8-5 at +224 avg odds.
I should just start tracking the gut angle again. I started doing it a few years ago and it was hugely protifable (in soccer) but then I stopped because the rational thing is to go with the numbers, not looking at the names and odds of two sides and deciding the winner within a second based on nothing. Hey, I even found the spreadsheet, I went 8-5 at +224 avg odds.