Pliskova v Putintseva

[flabrah5]

I knew this was going to be a tough spot for Pliskova. That being said, I didnt pre-game bet it just in case.

She is down 0-4 as we speak at +113 to win the match. I had a great day today and wagered half of my winnings ($1137) on her to come back and take the match.

Am I in the wrong? I really thought this was a great value pick for Putintseva, but +113 on someone like Pliskova on hard is something I dont think I would regret - win or lose - on taking the shot.

Who is on who? I know some of yall sharks got Putintseva in pre-match at +270? Odds were all over the place, Bovada only had her at +200. Below is what the online books had:

	+260	-345
	+200	-275
	+278	-328
	+255	-357
	+278	-328

[flabrah5]

She just dropped another service to 0-5 and only moved to +133. Do I get greedy and double down today's entire bankroll, or just sit it out and watch?

Its just way damn too tempting. Live tennis is the best value out there IMO.


Maybe do the spread at +5.5? But if she drops this 0-6, thats still the same unless she just sweeps her 2nd set and loses the 3rd in a closer margin.
BOL to all.

[flabrah5]

Well crap, she broke back and now +3.5 is slightly favored at -120. +5.5 was a gift and I didnt open it so now its in the past.

Cmon Pliskova, would love to see her make it far. Like her style alot.

[flabrah5]

Ya know, Im on a full rant here clearly. But maybe, just maybe, the over 22.5 at the time would have been a better lay. Then I could have just not had to sweat the possible 3rd set.

[flabrah5]

Should have waited even longer. Now +230 after the break in the 2nd set. She was back to -135. Oh live tennis, espcially women's. Crazy ride.

[flabrah5]

My computer died at +185 and I was going to lay only another $300 on it, but just charged back up and look at that. Broke back, up 3-2. Lot of money to be made after that first break in the 2nd.

Over and Pliskova to win 2nd set. All were outrageous odds. The over was 18.5 at +137... sometimes you just have to blindly keep doubling down if you had the feeling in the beginning.

[flabrah5]

Pliskova breaks in the 3rd and gets broke back. Was at -627. Now back to the underdog. This stuff drives you nuts.

I put another $1k on her at -107 in the 2nd. This is no fun. Cmon Pliskova!

[flabrah5]

Oh boy, went to 30-30 and Pliskova was at +137. Just nailed it for another $1k. All the Miami Open money is on the line.

BOL to you all, I hope I can keep going after this match.

[flabrah5]

What a ride, never doing that again. Thank you, Pliskova, but you didnt have to make me sweat like that.

BOL to all