[loufunk]

trying to make a good start martic vs lisicki pick: lisicki odd: 1.66stake: 10muller vs bennetau pick: muller odd: 2.10stake 10berlocq vs bennelmans pick: bennelmans odd 1.66stake : 10gl :-)

[loufunk]

Sorry if i wrote so but i'm on the car driving and posting

My ratings:
Martic 76.32
Lisicki 77.63

Berlocq 72.48
Bennelmans 103.37

Muller 96.82
Bennetau 93.39

[jbart28]

Thanks Lou! Will you be making more plays throughout the day?

[loufunk]

Yes I'll do, I am still on the road but at least in two hours I will be in front of a pc at work so I will post. Sabine already won but I am so sorry for Muller's call, at the moment he is not doing well, too many mistakes

[Crowing Capers]

You don't have to apoligise Loufunk...
Just found this thread but man you seem to be on the money.
Here's hoping we smash Wimbledon

[silvap]

I got a question - do you always take the player with the better rating or do you factor the price as well? For example, in the Lisicki-Martic match, the rating you attributed was super close, so shouldn't you bet on the player that has the better price (i think Martic was like 2.3 in some books) as it would offer better value for what seems like a coin-flip in your ratings? Cheers and best of luck my friend

[loufunk]

I got a question - do you always take the player with the better rating or do you factor the price as well? For example, in the Lisicki-Martic match, the rating you attributed was super close, so shouldn't you bet on the player that has the better price (i think Martic was like 2.3 in some books) as it would offer better value for what seems like a coin-flip in your ratings? Cheers and best of luck my friend

usually I do so, but today i chose also Sabine because I know Petra, she is quite good player, but on grass.. mmm she is also too young to keep the pressure.. and Sabine knows how to play, she is above the average.
On the other hand, my rating just "says" tha player A is better than B... i can say is a close match or not, but then, if i win 6-0 6-0 i'm happy the same

later on i will post maybe two or three more picks.. i'm just having a deep look, trying to do my best.



ps: i subscribed to a contest sponsored by WH and i paid 10 points but, also if i read the rules, i did not understand how to play. could someone pls help me?

[loufunk]

ERRATA CORRIGE: when i was on the car i wrote many times BENNELMANS instead of BEMELMANS, hope you understood whom i was talking about

[loufunk]

Picks = 16
Won = 12
Lost = 4
Void = 0
Winning % = +75.00%
Staked = 160 u
Won = 222.90 u
Profit = +62.90 u
ROI: +39.31%

[loufunk]

Zvonareva - Barthel
Pick: Zvonareva
Odd: 2.26 (BF)
Stake: 10 u

My rating:
Zvonareva 109,66
Barthel 94,84

Stephens - Pliskova
Pick: Pliskova
Odd: 2.06 (BF)
Stake: 10 u

My rating
Stephens 62,02
Pliskova 86,26

[loufunk]

Bolelli - Janowicz
Pick: Janowicz
Odd: 2.04 (BF)
Stake: 10 u

My rating
Bolelli 98,69
Janowicz 110,30

[colout]

Bolelli - Janowicz
Pick: Janowicz
Odd: 2.04 (BF)
Stake: 10 u

My rating
Bolelli 98,69
Janowicz 110,30

Why Janowicz?

[adila1401]

thx for your picks lou..just starting to tail u with your last 2 picks and hopefully onwards..BOL

[alta]

Zvonareva - Barthel
Pick: Zvonareva
Odd: 2.26 (BF)
Stake: 10 u

My rating:
Zvonareva 109,66
Barthel 94,84

Stephens - Pliskova
Pick: Pliskova
Odd: 2.06 (BF)
Stake: 10 u

My rating
Stephens 62,02
Pliskova 86,26

Pliskova lost 2-6, 2-6

[colout]

How do you make these ratings? Could you explain that?

[benandjerry]

ps: i subscribed to a contest sponsored by WH and i paid 10 points but, also if i read the rules, i did not understand how to play. could someone pls help me?

I think the rules said your bracket had to be submit at latest 6 am EST of this morning so I'm afraid it might be too late. I'd check this with shari before putting time and work into submiting your picks, and ask for a refund of points if its too late.

Thanks for your efforts in this thread!

[jbart28]

Don't tail if you failed to read the opening posts in he thread where he explained the ratings system

[loufunk]

How do you make these ratings? Could you explain that?

Hi,
I was at my kick boxing lesson and watching the second set of Zvona, and now I answer
As explained some posts ago, my rating simply matches some values like % of wins, attitude to a specific surface, historical percentage of winning and improvements, and so on. All is resumed in a function that assigns a rating, that of course changes every time a player makes a new match.
I try to post the matches where the rating says something important to me in relationship with the odd.

[loufunk]

Pliskova lost 2-6, 2-6

Yes I know, I was completely wrong with that, sorry

[loufunk]

Why Janowicz?

Because he won :P

It's a joke

The reason I took him was what I said before about combination of odds and my ratings

[loufunk]

Picks = 19
Won = 13
Lost = 5
Void = 0
Pending = 1 (Zvonareva - Barthel)
Winning % = +68.42%
Staked = 180 u
Won = 243.30 u
Profit = +63.30 u
ROI: +35.16%

[adila1401]

Picks = 19
Won = 13
Lost = 5
Void = 0
Pending = 1 (Zvonareva - Barthel)
Winning % = +68.42%
Staked = 180 u
Won = 243.30 u
Profit = +63.30 u
ROI: +35.16%

Nice cal Lou..any idea why Zvonareva match was interrupted

[loufunk]

Interrupted because of darkness, normal and nothing to worry about

[adila1401]

Interrupted because of darkness, normal and nothing to worry about

Gotcha..thx man BOL going forward

[loufunk]

Gotcha..thx man BOL going forward

[loufunk]

Good morning.
I would start today in the right way, so let's try something

Levine vs Beck
Pick: Levine
Odd: 1.67
Stake: 10 u

My rating:
Levine 117.14
Beck 106.22

Scheepers vs Shvedova
Pick: Shvedova
Odd: 1.72
Stake: 10 u

My Rating:
Scheepers 69.00
Shvedova 88.02

Robson vs Schiavone
Pick: Schiavone
Odd: 1.76
Stake: 10 u

My rating:
Robson 97.99
Schiavone 100.86


GL

[DaKing1515]

You're giving that much with Schiavone despite them being so close? I like Robson + ML, coinflip IMO

[loufunk]

You're giving that much with Schiavone despite them being so close? I like Robson + ML, coinflip IMO

Only because I'm italian, I know how Francesca loves battles, how she fights on every point, and I feel she would give her soul to make a good start in this tournament

[msharris1428]

Thanks for the picks Lou. Won big yesterday with J. Janowicz. Unfortunately I just missed your 6:30 picks. How do you feel about Ivanovic today though?

[msharris1428]

Thanks for the picks Lou. Won big yesterday with J. Janowicz. Unfortunately I just missed your 6:30 picks. How do you feel about Ivanovic today though?

Bartoli as well. Both look like safe bets, even if the juice is pretty high

[loufunk]

Thanks for the picks Lou. Won big yesterday with J. Janowicz. Unfortunately I just missed your 6:30 picks. How do you feel about Ivanovic today though?

my rating for jelena

jankovic 112,08
martinez 83,43

dell'acqua - bartoli

dell'acqua 100,17
bartoli 124,22

but personally I won't play those two, because of the odd

[MakeItRain14]

Damnn I missed them

[loufunk]

My pick for this early afternoon

Soeda vs Kunitsyn
Pick: Soeda
Odd: 1.60
Stake: 10 u

My rating:
Soeda 96.84
Kunitsyn 92.43

[silvap]

Missed the early picks, but on Soeda now, thanks my friend

[benandjerry]

My pick for this early afternoon

Soeda vs Kunitsyn
Pick: Soeda
Odd: 1.60
Stake: 10 u

My rating:
Soeda 96.84
Kunitsyn 92.43

Nice calls on the early matches. I know what you're basing your rating numbers on, as you've explained earlier in the thread. I was wondering if you dont have any concern regarding the the small spread between your rating numbers in relation to the low odds in some matches (one of them being this soeda match) for example? I obviously have little understanding of what to exactly make out of your rating numbers other than the larger difference the better. Have you been using this system for a long time successfully?

Forgive me for all the questions, and I'm by no means trying to sound negative, I'm just trying to get a better understanding for it all. Thanks for your efforts Lou, and of course I put a little on Soeda! Nice early break too.