JC's Tennis (& Motorsport) MEGA Thread

[JC1186]

There's only one way to start this thread off, and that's with an odds of 11ish multi.

All bets are real and in Australian dollars.


Bet No. 1:

Multi Bet (3)

• Arantxa Rus vs Kristina Kucova - Kristina Kucova @ 2.2
• Venus Williams vs Daria Kasatkina - Daria Kasatkina @ 1.67
• Simona Halep vs Naomi Osaka - Naomi Osaka @ 3

$95 AUD @ 12.32 (Boosted).

[Honeybadger44]

Good luck, JC!

[JC1186]

Thanks bud, but I don't need luck.

[JC1186]

So many ppl on here are full of shiite and that's why I said that this is "real money".

It will always be real bets, with real money!

Here's the proof:

[Optional]

What Motorsports do you bet cobber?

[JC1186]

What Motorsports do you bet cobber?

I have no choice but to risk sounding cocky, but I know Supercars (formerly V8 Supercars) inside and out, and I'd even back myself and say - better than anyone in the world. I also follow and know incredibly intimately and extensively, Formula 1, Moto GP, World Superbikes, Moto 3 & Moto 2.

If anyone on this thread also follows those sport, let's talk!! Starting tomorrow with day 1 of season '18 Moto GP in Qatar.

[Optional]

I kind of lost interest in Aussie racing when they turned the cars into a spec series, and dont bet it much, but did hit the Giz in race 2 at Adelaide.

I am pretty good with F1 and like NASCAR a lot. I throw a dart at Indycars most weeks too. Used to spend every Sunday with a group of mates watching MotoGP but dont bet it really.

You should make a thread in the NASCAR forum for your car stuff. All motorsports series are in there. Well not much in the way of other series. But it's mostly Americans here so... ya know.

[Wesley]

nice hit

[alexalexex]

Del Potro and Osaka. Don’t overthink it.

[slayer14]

Federer losing against coric wtf

[JC1186]

There's only one way to start this thread off, and that's with an odds of 11ish multi.

All bets are real and in Australian dollars.


Bet No. 1:

Multi Bet (3)

• Arantxa Rus vs Kristina Kucova - Kristina Kucova @ 2.2
• Venus Williams vs Daria Kasatkina - Daria Kasatkina @ 1.67
• Simona Halep vs Naomi Osaka - Naomi Osaka @ 3

$95 AUD @ 12.32 (Boosted).

Win.

1-0
+$1,075.40

-------------------------------------------------------------------------
Bet No. 2:

1. Denis Istomin
Denis Istomin vs Miomir Kecmanovic
1.72

2. Victoria Azarenka
Victoria Azarenka vs Madison Keys
1.80

3. Scott McLaughlin
Supercars - Melbourne 400 Race 3
2.25

4. Svetlana Kuznetsova
Zarina Diyas vs Svetlana Kuznetsova
2.10

$200 @ 14.69.

[Honeybadger44]

what's your angle on Kuznetsova? Backed her in Indian Wells and it was obvious that she's pretty rusty. Struggled with stuff that are usually her bread and butter.

[JC1186]

what's your angle on Kuznetsova? Backed her in Indian Wells and it was obvious that she's pretty rusty. Struggled with stuff that are usually her bread and butter.

Ok so first of all, it's the one leg I knew I probably should have resisted, but still took haha.
You are right and easily have a reason to write off backing her then and there. I also thought she wasn't moving as well and wasn't as conditioned as I'm use to seeing her.

Though much can change in a players level of tennis from one day to another. In this case, Kuznetsova has had almost 3 weeks.

So her being out of form aside, we're talking about one player who absolutely IS better in every main category on court, and as far as I can think of quickly right now, in every department big or small.

That and Svetlana has an enviable record here and has frequently run deep. As recently as two years ago she was the finalist - losing to Azarenka. She also made it to the third round last year and has the extra motivation of defending those points given it's a 1000 event. The courts, the conditions, whatever. It suits her.

Anyway I think that you made the right play, one match too early hehe. It's almost never worth the risk you took. That was hard earned dollars down the drain if the player who was making a return after 5 months off, was simply, woefully out of form. It happens. Never a nice thing.

One could argue I'm doing a similar thing here, but err, nah.

(I sort of am and hope to not regret it.)

[Honeybadger44]

From what you wrote, you obviously saw pretty much same things as I did in that match. Yes, I also felt like her movement was not good enough. Late on bunch of shots, even though IW has some really slow courts (counter argument would be that Sabalenka does hit really hard). But what I was missing the most was her great depth that she usually gets on her groundstrokes. That is crucial for her to construct a point the way she likes to do it and there was just no sign of it. Very insecure hitting. Many errors with backhand (left wrist was injured if I remember well?).

Yes, I agree that 3 weeks are more then enough to improve but at this point I'd like to see that improvement before jumping on the bandwagon. Especially when it's not just one problematic area in her game, but few of them.

Argument on past result in that tournament is valid. But have to point out that she was defending the final appearance from 2017 in IW as well. And it didn't help her to get past the first round.
In general, she likes these slower hard courts where she can run down some shots and where her depth and point construction gives her edge over ball bashers, who would normally put her under a lot of pressure in faster conditions, but are unable to do that here. So yeah, she like both IW and Miami courts, but she must play her game on a high level to get the results.

She has to come up with some goods here, because Diyas is one of those boring counter-punchers that doesn't give much away. She'll ask questions and Svetlana must come up with some good answers. I hope she comes through for you here.

[JC1186]

She has to come up with some goods here, because Diyas is one of those boring counter-punchers that doesn't give much away. She'll ask questions and Svetlana must come up with some good answers. I hope she comes through for you here.

A lot can be said about Diyas' form too, but I can't be bothered.

It's shocking. Has be shocking for over a year now. This is also a big part of the reasoning behind the play.

You are right about her form in Indian Wells though and perhaps I'm giving her too much credit and her passion for the game and focus lies elsewhere right now.

I have (more of the same thing) to ponder over again as this is actually with a bookie that allows me to remove the leg if I choose to do so (prior to any matches/legs starting).

Always good chatting to you Honeybadger.

[Honeybadger44]

Always good chatting to you Honeybadger.

Same

[JC1186]

Can't say you didn't warn me. The lack of effort was tough to take.

Have re placed the same bet with the other legs. Fortunately this leg was first enabling me to double dip.

[Honeybadger44]

Can't say you didn't warn me. The lack of effort was tough to take.

Have re placed the same bet with the other legs. Fortunately this leg was first enabling me to double dip.

In my case those type of situations proved to be more of an unfortunate thing then not

[JC1186]

In my case those type of situations proved to be more of an unfortunate thing then not

Haha I can relate.

That's tennis down. Supercars to go. Was actually 2.50u, but for the sake of this thread, obviously 2.0u.

[JC1186]

Bet No. 2:

1. Denis Istomin
Denis Istomin vs Miomir Kecmanovic
1.72

2. Victoria Azarenka
Victoria Azarenka vs Madison Keys
1.80

3. Scott McLaughlin
Supercars - Melbourne 400 Race 3
2.25

4. Svetlana Kuznetsova
Zarina Diyas vs Svetlana Kuznetsova
2.10

$200 @ 14.69.

3/4. Loss.

-$200

---

Can't say you didn't warn me. The lack of effort was tough to take.

Have re placed the same bet with the other legs. Fortunately this leg was first enabling me to double dip.

WON

So it was $200 @ 8.74 = $1,748

+$1,548

Overall Record:
2-1
+$2,423

[JC1186]

WON

So it was $200 @ 8.74 = $1,748

+$1,548

May as well update my thread with the French Open '18 around the corner.


Above winning multi print screen:


----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Latest Bet:

2-leg multi against some well known tankers, during the magic week before a Grand Slam. Don't like to throw my money on these sorts of bets very often, but I'm making an exception here.

[Honeybadger44]

Nice to see you posting in this thread again. I jumped on Putintseva as soon as they released the odds. Sloane well known for picking her spots, especially outside USA. Good luck!

[JC1186]

Cheers Honeybadger.

Always think of Daniel Ricciardo when I see your name.

^^^ Loss.

Overall Record:
+$2,293

The thread is, I guess in a sense, killing it! Though interestingly, I reckon if I was down over 2K instead, I'd have more "visitors" in here haha.

[Honeybadger44]

Cheers Honeybadger.

Always think of Daniel Ricciardo when I see your name.

^^^ Loss.

Overall Record:
+$2,293

The thread is, I guess in a sense, killing it! Though interestingly, I reckon if I was down over 2K instead, I'd have more "visitors" in here haha.

haha. Sure. Part that, part the fact that you remember to post every other month

[JC1186]

You could be on to something haha.

I'll be posting some Formula 1 Monaco bets for tomorrow and Sunday for anyone interested. I think the form guide from FP1 & 2 on Thursday is a little more misleading than usual.

Anyway back to tennis.

3-leg parlay:

[Honeybadger44]

Nice. Always interested in quality content. Whether it's tennis or racing.

Good luck with your bet. Hope you're wrong with Cibulkova though. Got a pending future on Buzarnescu that I'd be glad to cash
Hope you're right about Larsson for that same reason

Siniakova is dangerous when playing to her full potential. But this season, apart from that first week, was terrible for her. I can't find information if she changed her coach recently. If she did replace Cermak, that might be the reason for this decent form in Nurnberg. But then again, it might be just weak field. Saw only first set vs Cepede Royg and I wasn't that impressed with quality of tennis.

[JC1186]

Cheers bud. I was very reluctant to put Cilbulkova in and I really hope I don't regret it. The Larsson match no doubt many ups and downs, but I hope she wears Siniakova down mentally and physically in the end.

[Honeybadger44]

Yup, Siniakova changed her coach. Always thought that Cermak was too gentle with her. It's obvious that she needed a firmer guidance. Kick in the ass once she starts to behave like a spoiled brat.

[JC1186]

You could be on to something haha.

I'll be posting some Formula 1 Monaco bets for tomorrow and Sunday for anyone interested. I think the form guide from FP1 & 2 on Thursday is a little more misleading than usual.

Anyway back to tennis.

3-leg parlay:

Bet was a winner and will update the thread later on. Of course I feel robbed because Pav was well on track to win the +2.5 cap being a set and a break up, however Barty retired out of the blue and so that's a void.

Yes I did cash out and almost hit the full payout figure, but for the purpose of this thread that leg is void.

Anyway onto the next bet: