Taking a hard look at Cibulkova -275

[SBR Lou]

Here is the lady she will be facing.

Natalie Dechy (10 yrs older)


Match will be played on grass.

Any opinions?

[Tsoprano]

That is one ugly creature

[flyingillini]

Louie, have you wacked to her?

[EaglesPhan36]

No offense, but I'll take Dechy now. Cibulkova has 3 grass matches in her career. Dechy has been serviceable on the surface. Narrowly lost to your girl Ana at Wimbledon in 2008. No point spending -275 in this situation Lou. You know this, but you're drawn to train wrecks.

[KingRevolver]

Yeah, stay away from it. lol

[SBR Lou]

No offense, but I'll take Dechy now. Cibulkova has 3 grass matches in her career. Dechy has been serviceable on the surface. Narrowly lost to your girl Ana at Wimbledon in 2008. No point spending -275 in this situation Lou. You know this, but you're drawn to train wrecks.

Not sure I'd say this is a potential train wreck. The 20year old is far superior to the much older Dechy, and as we know when Ivanovic is blowing cold I think even I could backhand her around the court.

[mathdotcom]

Yeah because the hot Ivanovic treated you so well

Laying chalk on women.. might as well burn your fukkin money

[SBR Lou]

Unless Ana is actually playing this game, I don't see the connection to her match earlier.

[yisman]

do it, Lou. I need something to fade. Please tell me this is a confirmed pick. Thanks.

[SBR Lou]

Making this a play.

[EaglesPhan36]

I'm just sayin' fella ... this is the best play your model comes up with for ALL of Tuesday?


If this is the biggest edge you find for Tuesday, I think you gotta relook at your 1,089 filters and such because I mean sure in theory Cibulkova should roll, but other than "theory" this shouldn't be a big enough edge to lay the wood. Changing from surface to surface is enough of a variant that most big favorites should be avoided outside of maybe your Top 5, especially 20 year olds with little experience on the surface. I didn't put much on Dechy, just enough to sprinkle some fun in this, but man I just do not get where you see a significant advantage here. See you at the pay window, someone will be happy. Who knows who.

[EaglesPhan36]

Dechy takes 1st set, 6-3.

[EaglesPhan36]

Dechy up a break 2-0 in the 2nd. You can't make this stuff up.

[EaglesPhan36]

3rd set. Sweat it out.

[SBR Lou]

3rd set. Sweat it out.

If I gave you a coin and said it'll land heads 75% of the time, would you hesitate making the play or lament a loss?

[pavyracer]

If he loses this bet too he should be fired. Plain and simple.

[tullamore]

If he loses this bet too he should be fired. Plain and simple.

Pavy they cant fire Lou, I need his plays.

[yisman]

http://bahistv.somee.com/Ordina%20Open.html

password: ihop

battle of the flat-chested here. Dechy is better.

Thanks for the fade, Lou!

[yisman]

Dechy wins!

6-3 3-6 6-3

[EaglesPhan36]

Dechy wins! Don't even talk about firing Lou, just make your picks accordingly to what you think of his selections.

[Matt Rain]

Wimbledon, here we come.

[mathdotcom]

If I gave you a coin and said it'll land heads 75% of the time, would you hesitate making the play or lament a loss?

Lou, the point is that it wouldn't land heads 75% of the time. That's your problem - you don't know shit about tennis.

[illmatick]

Newt Gingrich for president

[single shaker]

great pick as always crazyl, 4 feet cibulkova on grass, where the serve is the most important thing followed by volleys, against 5'10 dechy, who is a decent volleyer as well at -275, i think crazyl, just looking for some most unlikely bets to make us laugh.

[Fischnasty]