Serena Odds Tracker?

**JohnnyRudeboy** · 01-28-16, 09:08 PM

Looked at this but no movement thus far, I think:

http://www.oddsportal.com/coupon/#

**SirtySree** · 01-28-16, 09:08 PM

http://www.oddsportal.com/tennis/australia/wta-australian-open/williams-serena-kerber-angelique-tOqxzYHe/

Odds dropping so can't really get much out of hedging.

**JohnnyRudeboy** · 01-28-16, 09:16 PM

Thanks. Obviously not going to rake a big windfall but I'll take some free money

**JohnnyRudeboy** · 01-28-16, 09:19 PM

Have a couple open parlays with 1 spot to fill which will help mitigate the line too

**DeathAdder** · 01-29-16, 12:26 PM

Don't hedge long term -EV play bud. Ride it out, why make the play in the first place if you're gonna hedge? Makes no sense...

**GoBlue77** · 01-29-16, 12:51 PM

your bet is dead my friend, you can watch the movement all you want

**JohnnyRudeboy** · 01-29-16, 07:53 PM

You missed the point. I was watching the movement only in an attempt to get the best line on Serena. Kerber bet might be dead, but now it's basically insurance. I set myself up so that I'll make money no matter what, but was hoping the line would trend down if I waited. It looked be going up instead so I took it.

**JohnnyRudeboy** · 01-29-16, 07:55 PM

Originally posted by DeathAdder

Don't hedge long term -EV play bud. Ride it out, why make the play in the first place if you're gonna hedge? Makes no sense...

This is asinine. First of all, betting futures long term is itself a losing proposition. I have the book where I want them, guaranteed a profit, however small. Futures are not my bread and butter. And the reason I made it in the first place was because I was hoping Serena wouldn't make the final. She has though, and she looks unbeatable so I'm taking what I can even if only a couple hundred.

**JohnnyRudeboy** · 01-29-16, 08:04 PM

Like so.

Unfortunately this is a local who only allows a max of 3 team parlays with tennis. But I have another on 5D with Serena as the last leg now that pays approximately +230

**JohnnyRudeboy** · 01-30-16, 01:13 PM

All the lols in the world but I will settle for a risk free +1250 any day

**frugalgambler** · 01-30-16, 02:20 PM

Congrats buddy.

**kenz** · 01-30-16, 02:38 PM

**JohnnyRudeboy** · 01-30-16, 02:49 PM

Thanks guys!

**jordanft19** · 01-30-16, 03:12 PM

Dayum congrats man. That's probably the biggest hit i've seen on here

**JohnnyRudeboy** · 01-30-16, 03:21 PM

Originally posted by jordanft19

Dayum congrats man. That's probably the biggest hit i've seen on here